920
FXUS64 KHGX 312338
AFDHGX
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON/GALVESTON TX
638 PM CDT FRI OCT 31 2025
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
- SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS SATURDAY. LET'S
KEEP AN EYE ON LOCATIONS CLOSER TO THE COAST DURING THE
AFTERNOON WHERE AN ISOLATED STRONGER STORM OR TWO COULD EMERGE.
- DRIER AIR FILTERS BACK INTO THE REGION AFTER SATURDAY'S FRONTAL
PASSAGE. IT SHOULD PERSIST FOR A DECENT PART OF NEXT WEEK.
- OTHER THAN SATURDAY WHEN WE'LL SEE HIGHER RH'S AND A LESSOR FIRE
RISK, FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS REMAIN ABOUT STATUS QUO GOING INTO
EARLY-MID NEXT WEEK WITH THE RETURN OF DRIER AIR.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 134 PM CDT FRI OCT 31 2025
LEE SIDE SHORTWAVE WILL DIG SOUTHWARD THRU THE PLAINS TONIGHT AND
INTO SCNTL TX SATURDAY. LOOK FOR SOME SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
ISOLATED TSTM DEVELOPMENT ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE REGION WITH AN
ACCOMPANYING FRONTAL BOUNDARY SAGGING INTO THE AREA. OVERALL
INSTABILITY ISN'T ALL THAT IMPRESSIVE, BUT THERE IS SOME CONCERN
WE MIGHT SEE AN EMBEDDED STRONGER STORM OR TWO EMERGE LATER IN
THE AFTERNOON/EVENING WHEN THE BETTER FORCING ENCOUNTERS SLIGHTLY
HIGHER MOISTURE AVAILABILITY CLOSER TO THE COAST AND OFFSHORE.
FRONT AND ASSOCIATED RAIN CHANCES WILL TRACK SEWD AND OFFSHORE IN
THE MID EVENING HOURS FOLLOWED BY DRIER AIR FILTERING INTO THE
REGION IN ITS WAKE SAT NIGHT & SUNDAY.
IT'S LOOKING A MOSTLY DRY/PLEASANT WORK WEEK WILL BE ON TAP AS
MID-UPPER RIDGING BUILDS INTO TX BEHIND THE DEPARTING TROUGH. THE
RIDGE SHOULD BEGIN FLATTENING THURS-FRI AS THE NEXT TROUGH MAKES
ITS WAY EWD ACROSS THE CENTRAL US. THOUGH LOW LEVEL ONSHORE WINDS
WILL BE IN PLACE BY THEN, PW'S STILL LOOK A BIT TOO LOW FOR
MENTIONABLE POPS ATTM. 47
AVIATION
(00Z TAF ISSUANCE)
ISSUED AT 615 PM CDT FRI OCT 31 2025
VFR CONDITIONS WITH LIGHT VRB WINDS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THE
OVERNIGHT PERIOD. ISO-SCT SHOWERS AND ISO THUNDERSTORMS CAN BE
EXPECTED, FROM LATE SATURDAY MORNING THROUGH SATURDAY EVENING, AS
A COLD FRONT PUSHES ACROSS SOUTHEAST TX. INLAND AREAS SHOULD BE
RAIN FREE AROUND MIDNIGHT. WINDS WILL BE E AT AROUND 04-06 KT
SATURDAY MORNING, THEN ENE AT 05-10 KT DURING THE AFTERNOON, AND
NNE IN THE EVENING. GUSTS OF 15-20 KT ARE POSSIBLE AT TIMES INLAND
AND 20-25 KT ALONG THE IMMEDIATE COASTS (GLS/LBX).
COTTO
MARINE
ISSUED AT 134 PM CDT FRI OCT 31 2025
WINDS WILL GRADUALLY VEER AROUND TO THE SOUTHEAST THIS AFTERNOON
AS HIGH PRESSURE MOVES AWAY FROM THE REGION. A FRONT IS EXPECTED
TO SAG INTO THE WATERS ON SATURDAY BRINGING SOME SCATTERED SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS (WOULDN'T DOUBT IF WE SEE A FEW STRONGER
CELLS...WITH BETTER CHANCES IN THE OFFSHORE GULF WATERS). THOUGH
WE WILL SEE A GRADUAL WIND SHIFT THROUGH THE DAY, SPEEDS PROBABLY
WILL NOT SUBSTANTIALLY INCREASE UNTIL WE HEAD INTO THE EARLY
EVENING AND OVERNIGHT HOURS WHEN SMALL CRAFT ADVISORIES ARE
LIKELY WITH 15-25KT WINDS AND SEAS BUILDING TO 4-7FT. WINDS/SEAS
SHOULD BEGIN TO GRADUALLY DIMINISH SUNDAY AFTERNOON. LIGHT ONSHORE
WINDS RESUME MONDAY AND SHOULD PREVAIL FOR A GOOD PART OF NEXT
WEEK. 47
FIRE WEATHER
ISSUED AT 134 PM CDT FRI OCT 31 2025
SOME IMPROVEMENT IN THE AMOUNT OF HUMIDITY WILL BE SEEN ON
SATURDAY ALONG WITH SOME SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED STORMS.
THESE WILL BE SITUATED ALONG/AHEAD OF OUR NEXT COLD FRONT MOVING
INTO THE REGION DURING THE DAY AND OFF THE COAST IN THE EVENING.
A DRIER AIRMASS FILTERS BACK IN BEHIND THE FRONT WHICH SHOULD
PERSIST INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK. DAYTIME MINIMUM RH'S SHOULD MOSTLY
BE IN THE 30-40% TERRITORY SUNDAY INTO EARLY WEEK, BUT WIND
SPEEDS DO NOT LOOK TO BE ELEVATED. CONTINUE TO EXERCISE CAUTION
AND OBEY ALL LOCAL BURN BANS. 47
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
COLLEGE STATION (CLL) 49 70 45 69 / 0 30 0 0
HOUSTON (IAH) 54 73 50 72 / 0 30 10 0
GALVESTON (GLS) 65 76 59 72 / 10 50 40 0
HGX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
TX...NONE.
GM...NONE.
DISCUSSION...47
AVIATION...COTTO
MARINE...47
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