181
FXUS64 KHGX 231124
AFDHGX
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON/GALVESTON TX
524 AM CST TUE DEC 23 2025
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
- LONG STRETCH OF UNSEASONABLY WARM WEATHER WITH TEMPERATURES
10-20 DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL. THESE TEMPERATURES WILL BE NEAR
DAILY RECORD HIGH VALUES, AND A FEW RECORDS MAY FALL THROUGHOUT
THE WEEK.
- DAILY VISIBILITY REDUCTIONS DUE TO FOG AND SEA FOG, ESPECIALLY
ACROSS THE BAYS AND COASTAL AREAS. THE MAIN THREAT FOR FOG WILL
BE DURING THE NIGHTTIME AND EARLY MORNING HOURS, ESPECIALLY
TONIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING.
- LAST COLD FRONT OF THE YEAR ANTICIPATED SOME TIME SUNDAY/MONDAY.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 1054 PM CST MON DEC 22 2025
THE MAIN WEATHER STORY THIS WEEK CONTINUES TO BE THE DENSE COASTAL FOG
EXPECTED NIGHTLY THROUGH THE START OF THE WEEKEND. PATCHY FOG WILL
LIKELY DEVELOP FURTHER INLAND EACH NIGHT AS WELL, BUT THE DENSEST
OF THE FOG WILL REMAIN NEAR THE COAST WITH LINGERING SEA FOG
POSSIBLE DURING THE AFTERNOON HOURS.
OTHERWISE, FALL-LIKE WEATHER WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THIS WEEK WITH
HIGH TEMPERATURES IN THE UPPER 70S TO LOW 80S AND OVERNIGHT LOWS
IN THE 60S. THIS UNSEASONABLY WARM WEATHER (ON AVERAGE 15-20
DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL) IS THANKS TO SOUTHERLY FLOW AT THE SURFACE
AND STRONG RIDGING ALOFT. DAILY TEMPERATURE RECORDS MAY CONTINUE
TO BREAK THROUGH SATURDAY. A COLD FRONT IS EXPECTED TO MOVE
THROUGH THE AREA SUNDAY INTO MONDAY USHERING IN A RETURN TO MORE
SEASONAL WEATHER AND A CHANCE OF RAIN WITH THE FROPA.
HERE IS A SUMMARY OF RECORD HIGH MAX AND HIGH MIN TEMPERATURES
THIS WEEK:
CITY OF HOUSTON:
HIGH MAX | HIGH MIN
12/23:81 (2020) | 68 (1931)
12/24:82 (1955) | 71 (1982)
12/25:83 (2015) | 73 (2015)
12/26:84 (2016) | 73 (2015)
12/27:83 (2016) | 68 (2021)
HOUSTON-HOBBY:
HIGH MAX | HIGH MIN
12/23:83 (2015) | 69 (1931)
12/24:82 (2021) | 69 (1987)
12/25:84 (2021) | 75 (2015)
12/26:84 (2021) | 75 (2015)
12/27:82 (2016) | 70 (2016)
CITY OF COLLEGE STATION:
HIGH MAX | HIGH MIN
12/23:86 (1889) | 65 (2009)
12/24:83 (1955) | 68 (2016)
12/25:85 (1955) | 70 (2016)
12/26:82 (2021) | 73 (2015)
12/27:81 (2021) | 69 (2021)
CITY OF GALVESTON:
HIGH MAX | HIGH MIN
12/23:78 (2015) | 67 (1982)
12/24:78 (2021) | 69 (2021)
12/25:80 (2021) | 70 (2021)
12/26:79 (2021) | 71 (2021)
12/27:78 (2016) | 71 (2021)
FOWLER
AVIATION
(12Z TAF ISSUANCE)
ISSUED AT 516 AM CST TUE DEC 23 2025
MAINLY A "RINSE AND REPEAT" TAF FORECAST FOR THIS ISSUANCE WITH
LIFR-MVFR CONDITIONS EARLY THIS MORNING DUE TO LOW CLOUD DECKS AS
WELL AS AREAS OF PATCHY TO DENSE FOG (MAINLY OVER THE SOUTHERN
PORTIONS OF SE TEXAS). FOG IS EXPECTED TO BURN OFF AROUND 15Z AND
CIGS WILL GRADUALLY RISE THROUGHOUT THE DAY (POSSIBLY SCATTERING
OUT IN THE AFTERNOON)...HOWEVER, GLS/LBX WILL BE SLOWER TO IMPROVE
DUE TO SEA FOG CONTINUING OVER THE BAYS AND NEARSHORE WATERS FOR
MUCH OF THE DAY. SE WINDS AT 05-10 KTS TODAY, RELAXING TO 5 KTS OR
LESS TONIGHT. ANOTHER ROUND OF LIFR- MVFR CIGS/VIS EXPECTED
TONIGHT INTO TUE MORNING DUE TO LOW DECKS AND FOG/SEA FOG.
COTTO
MARINE
ISSUED AT 1054 PM CST MON DEC 22 2025
UNFORTUNATELY, THERE IS NO PATTERN CHANGE EXPECTED THROUGH THE
REMAINDER OF THIS WEEK, SO DENSE FOG IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TO BE
POSSIBLE THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT/SATURDAY MORNING. FOG WILL BE MOST
WIDESPREAD DURING THE EVENING TO MID MORNING HOURS, BUT PATCHY FOG
WILL CONTINUE TO BE POSSIBLE EVEN DURING THE AFTERNOON HOURS NEAR
THE BAY ENTRANCES/LOWER BAYS. THERE IS A CHANCE THAT THE FOG
POTENTIAL WILL DECREASE FRIDAY/SATURDAY AS THE CONTINUED
UNSEASONABLY WARM AIR COULD WARM THE OCEAN TEMPERATURES UP ENOUGH
TO LIMIT THE FOG DEVELOPMENT - BUT, AT THIS POINT HAVING AT LEAST
PATCHY DENSE FOG IS THE MOST LIKELY SCENARIO. OTHERWISE, LOW SEAS
AND LIGHT ONSHORE WINDS WILL PREVAIL THIS WEEK.
GUIDANCE DOES INDICATE THAT A COLD FRONT IS EXPECTED TO MOVE
THROUGH THE COASTAL WATERS LATE SUNDAY INTO MONDAY, WHICH WOULD
END THIS SEA FOG EVENT. HOWEVER, THE COLD AIR OVER THE WARMING
WATERS WILL LIKELY RESULT IN STRONG OFFSHORE WINDS AND ELEVATED
SEAS DEVELOPING BEHIND THE COLD FRONT'S PASSAGE.
FOWLER
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
COLLEGE STATION (CLL) 80 65 78 63 / 0 0 0 0
HOUSTON (IAH) 78 65 78 63 / 0 0 0 0
GALVESTON (GLS) 73 64 72 63 / 0 10 0 0
HGX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
TX...DENSE FOG ADVISORY UNTIL 10 AM CST THIS MORNING FOR TXZ214-238-
300-313-335>338-436>439.
GM...DENSE FOG ADVISORY UNTIL NOON CST TODAY FOR GMZ330-335-350-355.
DISCUSSION...FOWLER
AVIATION...COTTO
MARINE...FOWLER
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