268
FXUS64 KHGX 091907
AFDHGX
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON/GALVESTON TX
107 PM CST FRI JAN 9 2026
..NEW DISCUSSION, MARINE
KEY MESSAGES
- SHOWERS AND EMBEDDED STORMS THIS AFTERNOON INTO THE LATE
EVENING. A FEW COULD PULSE UP TO STRONG-SEVERE LEVELS.
- FRONT MOVES THROUGH OVERNIGHT FOLLOWED BY COLDER TEMPS AND
BREEZY NORTH WINDS SATURDAY.
- FAIR, SEASONABLE WEATHER INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK FOLLOWED BY
ANOTHER MIDWEEK FRONT.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 107 PM CST FRI JAN 9 2026
SCATTERED SHOWER AND ISOLATED TSTM COVERAGE IS ON AN UPTICK THIS
AFTERNOON IN ADVANCE OF THE NEXT FRONT THAT WILL BE MOVING INTO
THE REGION LATER TODAY AND OVERNIGHT. THERE'S PLENTY OF CLOUD
COVER OUT THERE NOW, BUT SAT PIX ARE SHOWING SOME INTERMITTENT
BREAKS. WITH A BIT MORE DESTABILIZATION ON TAP, WE'LL NEED TO KEEP
AN EYE OUT FOR THE POTENTIAL OF A FEW EMBEDDED STRONG-SEVERE
CELLS TO EMERGE. IN ADDITION, GIVEN THE HIGH PW'S IN PLACE AND
SOME REGENERATION/TRAINING, I WOULDN'T BE OVERLY SURPRISED TO SEE
A NARROW SWATH OF 1-3" RAINFALL AMOUNTS EMERGE SOMEWHERE GENERALLY
NORTH OF THE I-10 CORRIDOR BETWEEN NOW AND EARLY-MID EVENING.
GIVEN THE GROUND CONDITIONS, NOT OVERLY CONCERNED WITH A
WIDESPREAD FF THREAT, BUT COULD SEE SOME VERY LOCALIZED STREET
FLOODING IF, AND WHERE, IT DECIDES TO DO IT IN A SHORT TIME
PERIOD. FRONTAL BOUNDARY CATCHES UP WITH THE ONGOING PRECIP THIS
EVENING AND SHOULD SEE A MORE PROGRESSIVE SEWD MOVEMENT THRU THE
METRO AREA IN THE LATE EVENING AND OFF THE COAST 1-3AM.
PRECIP SHOULD MOSTLY TAPER OFF BEHIND THE FRONT FOR MAJORITY OF
THE AREA, THOUGH WE COULD SEE SOME LINGERING SHOWERS CLOSER TO THE
COAST SATURDAY UNTIL WE SEE A DEEPER NORTHERLY FLOW FILL IN. MUCH
COOLER TEMPERATURES AND BREEZY NORTH WINDS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS
THE REGION SATURDAY. WINDS WILL GRADUALLY TAPER OFF SATURDAY NIGHT
AND SUNDAY. FAIR, SEASONABLE WX IS ANTICIPATED INTO EARLY NEXT
WEEK.
A PORTION OF TODAY'S UPPER TROF WILL CUTOFF AND RETROGRADE BACK
TOWARD BAJA THIS WEEKEND...THEN EJECT BACK EWD AND ACROSS THE AREA
TOWARD MIDWEEK. GUIDANCE ISN'T TOO BULLISH IN REGARDS TO MOISTURE
RECOVERY BETWEEN NOW AND THEN...HENCE LOW/NIL ADVERTISED POPS AT
THIS TIME, BUT MAY NEED TO ADD SOME DOWN THE ROAD. LOOK FOR
ANOTHER MIDWEEK FRONT AFTER THIS SHORTWAVE PASSES. 47
AVIATION
(12Z TAF ISSUANCE)
ISSUED AT 545 AM CST FRI JAN 9 2026
PATCHY FOG AND LOW CIGS AROUND 600-1500FT WILL CONTINUE THROUGH
THE MORNING BEFORE SCATTERING OUT/LIFTING THIS AFTERNOON. VFR
CONDITIONS WILL LARGELY PREVAIL THIS AFTERNOON WITH SCT LOW CLOUDS
AND BKN/OVC MID-LEVEL CLOUDS. ALREADY SEEING SOME LIGHT STREAMER
SHOWERS ALONG THE COAST, AND AM EXPECTING TO SEE INCREASING
COVERAGE INLAND THROUGH THE MORNING. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS BEGIN TO DEVELOP THIS AFTERNOON WITH THE GREATEST
COVERAGE OF THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY OCCURING NORTH OF IAH, BUT THERE
WILL BE ISOLATED TS POSSIBLY ALL THE WAY TO THE COAST. A COLD
FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH THE AREA THIS EVENING CAUSING A
NORTHWESTERLY WIND SHIFT. AS THE FRONT APPROACHING THE COAST THIS
EVENING, THERE WILL BE AN INCREASE IN SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM
POTENTIAL FOR LBX AND GLS. MVFR CONDITIONS WITH CIGS AROUND 1500FT
WILL DEVELOP THIS EVENING AHEAD OF THE FRONT AND LINGER INTO
TONIGHT BEFORE SCATTERING OUT BE DAYBREAK. BREEZY NORTHERLY WINDS
WILL DEVELOP AS THE CLOUDS SCATTER OUT WITH GUSTS UP TO 20-25KT
THAT WILL CONTINUE THROUGH SATURDAY MORNING.
FOWLER
MARINE
ISSUED AT 107 PM CST FRI JAN 9 2026
PATCHY FOG WILL REMAIN POSSIBLE IN THE NEARSHORE GULF WATERS AND
SOUTHERN BAYS IN ADVANCE OF THE NEXT COLD FRONT THAT WILL BE PUSHING
OFF THE COAST TONIGHT. SHOWERS AND ISOLATED STORMS WILL ACCOMPANY
THE FRONT. WE SHOULD SEE A WIND SHIFT ALONG THE COAST AROUND OR
SHORTLY AFTER MIDNIGHT, FOLLOWED BY INCREASING SPEEDS AS WE HEAD
INTO THE 4-6AM TIMEFRAME. SMALL CRAFT ADVISORIES HAVE BEEN
ISSUED FOR LATE TONIGHT & SATURDAY. MODERATE TO OCCASIONALLY
STRONG NORTH WINDS AND BUILDING SEAS ARE ANTICIPATED SATURDAY AND
SATURDAY NIGHT BEFORE GRADUALLY DIMINISHING SUNDAY. LIGHT, MAINLY
ONSHORE FLOW IS ANTICIPATED EARLY NEXT WEEK FOLLOWED BY ANOTHER
COLD FRONT AROUND WEDNESDAY. 47
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
COLLEGE STATION (CLL) 46 58 37 60 / 70 0 0 0
HOUSTON (IAH) 54 63 41 61 / 80 10 0 0
GALVESTON (GLS) 58 66 48 60 / 50 30 10 0
HGX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
TX...NONE.
GM...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FROM 4 AM TO 6 PM CST SATURDAY FOR GMZ330-
335-350-355-370-375.
SMALL CRAFT SHOULD EXERCISE CAUTION UNTIL 4 PM CST THIS
AFTERNOON FOR GMZ370-375.
DISCUSSION...47
AVIATION...FOWLER
MARINE...47
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