446
FXUS64 KHGX 291951
AFDHGX
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON/GALVESTON TX
151 PM CST THU JAN 29 2026
..NEW DISCUSSION, MARINE
KEY MESSAGES
- COLD FRONT PUSHES THROUGH THIS EVENING, BUT ARCTIC AIR REALLY
DOESN'T FILTER IN UNTIL FRIDAY NIGHT.
- COLD WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FOR ALL LOCATIONS MINUS THE
BARRIER ISLANDS OVERNIGHT FRIDAY INTO SATURDAY MORNING. WILL
LIKELY
- HARD FREEZES FOR NORTHERN PARTS OF THE AREA FRIDAY NIGHT & MOST
OF THE REGION SATURDAY NIGHT.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 1239 PM CST THU JAN 29 2026
THE COLD FRONT IS SET TO ARRIVE TO THE BRAZOS VALLEY THIS EVENING, MOVE
THROUGH THE HOUSTON METRO AROUND 9 PM, AND BE OFFSHORE AROUND
MIDNIGHT. COLD, ARCTIC AIR WILL FUNNEL INTO SE TEXAS FRIDAY,
BRINGING TEMPERATURES DOWN INTO THE 40S TO MID 50S.
THE EFFECTS OF THE ARCTIC AIR WILL BE MORE PROMINENT DURING THE
OVERNIGHT HOURS FRIDAY INTO SATURDAY MORNING AS AREAS NORTH OF
I-10 DROP INTO THE 20S (WITH SOME LOCATIONS IN THE PINEY WOODS AND
BRAZOS VALLEY ENTERING HARD FREEZE TERRITORY). ELSEWHERE,
TEMPERATURES WILL BE IN THE UPPER 20S TO LOW 30S. WIND CHILL
VALUES WILL BOTTOM OUT IN THE TEENS FOR THE NORTHERN HALF OF THE
REGION WHILE AREAS SOUTH OF THE I-10 CORRIDOR WILL SEE WIND CHILLS
DROP INTO THE LOW TO MID 20S. MOST OF THE AREA, WITH THE EXCEPTION
OF THE BARRIER ISLANDS, WILL REACH INTO THE ADVISORY CRITERIA;
THEREFORE, A COLD WEATHER ADVISORY WILL BE IN EFFECT EARLY
SATURDAY MORNING THROUGH 10 AM.
COLD AIR WILL CONTINUE SATURDAY WITH HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO
MID 40S ACROSS THE AREA. SATURDAY NIGHT INTO SUNDAY IS PROJECTED
TO BE THE COLDEST NIGHT OF THE WEEKEND AS TEMPERATURES DIVE INTO
THE TEENS ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE PINEY WOODS AND BRAZOS VALLEY AND
INTO THE LOW TO MID 20S ELSEWHERE. WIND CHILL VALUES WILL DROP
INTO THE TEENS TO LOW 20S NORTH OF I-10 AND INTO THE 20S FOR SOUTH
OF I-10. A COLD WEATHER ADVISORY WILL LIKELY BE NEEDED FOR
SATURDAY NIGHT INTO SUNDAY MORNING AS WELL, AND WITH TEMPERATURES
DROPPING THAT LOW, EXPECT MOST OF THE AREA NORTH OF I-10 TO
EXPERIENCE A HARD FREEZE AS WELL.
HIGH PRESSURE WILL MOVE OFF TO THE EAST ON SUNDAY, REINTRODUCING
THE WARMING TREND THAT WILL CONTINUE INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK. ONSHORE
FLOW WILL BRING MOISTURE BACK INTO THE AREA JUST IN TIME FOR
ANOTHER FRONT LATER IN THE FORECAST PERIOD.
BAILEY
AVIATION
(12Z TAF ISSUANCE)
ISSUED AT 507 AM CST THU JAN 29 2026
PATCHY FOG WILL GENERALLY BRING MVFR TO IFR FLS EARLY TODAY WITH
SOME SPOTS POTENTIALLY REACHING LIFR BRIEFLY. A FEW AREAS ARE
NEAR OR AT THE FREEZING MARK, THUS FREEZING FOG WILL BE POSSIBLE
IN SOME SPOTS EARLY TODAY. FOG SHOULD CLEAR LATER THIS MORNING
WITH VFR CONDITIONS RETURNING. A DRY COLD FRONT SHOULD PUSH
THROUGH THE AREA THIS EVENING, MOVING OFF THE COAST AROUND
MIDNIGHT. BREEZY NORTH TO NORTHWEST WINDS DEVELOP BEHIND THE
FRONT.
03
MARINE
ISSUED AT 1239 PM CST THU JAN 29 2026
LIGHT WINDS AND LOW SEAS WILL PREVAIL THROUGH THE DAY. THE NEXT COLD
FRONT WILL PUSH OFF THE COAST LATE THIS EVENING FOLLOWED BY MODERATE
NORTH WINDS AND BUILDING SEAS. WITH A REINFORCING SHOT OF COLD,
ARCTIC AIR ANTICIPATED FRIDAY NIGHT, WINDS AND SEAS SHOULD
FURTHER INCREASE INTO SATURDAY, THEN GRADUALLY DECREASE SUNDAY. A
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT FOR THE BAYS FROM 2 AM THROUGH
NOON FRIDAY AND FOR THE GULF WATERS FROM 2 AM FRIDAY THROUGH 2 PM
SATURDAY. ON THE BAYS, ALREADY LOW ASTRONOMICAL TIDES WILL PRODUCE
SOME NEGATIVE WATER LEVELS THIS WEEK, EVEN MORE SO FRIDAY NIGHT
INTO THE WEEKEND WITH STRONGER NORTH WINDS IN PLACE. LOW WATER
ADVISORIES ARE ALREADY IN PLACE.
BAILEY
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
COLLEGE STATION (CLL) 65 33 52 26 / 0 0 0 0
HOUSTON (IAH) 67 38 54 32 / 0 0 0 0
GALVESTON (GLS) 63 43 54 36 / 0 0 0 0
HGX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
TX...COLD WEATHER ADVISORY FROM 3 AM TO 10 AM CST SATURDAY FOR TXZ163-
164-176>179-195>200-210>214-226-227-235>238-300-313-335>338.
GM...LOW WATER ADVISORY UNTIL MIDNIGHT CST SATURDAY NIGHT FOR GMZ330-
335.
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FROM 2 AM TO NOON CST FRIDAY FOR GMZ330-335.
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FROM 2 AM FRIDAY TO 2 PM CST SATURDAY FOR
GMZ350-355-370-375.
DISCUSSION...BAILEY
AVIATION...03
MARINE...BAILEY
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