652
FXUS64 KHGX 071830
AFDHGX
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON/GALVESTON TX
1230 PM CST SAT FEB 7 2026
..NEW DISCUSSION, MARINE
KEY MESSAGES
- WARM WEATHER IS EXPECTED THROUGH AT LEAST MIDWEEK NEXT WEEK.
- A CHANCE SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ON TUESDAY AS A WEAK
DISTURBANCE MOVES THROUGH THE REGION. WILL NEED TO MONITOR FOR
THE POTENTIAL FOR SOME OF THESE STORMS TO BE ON THE STRONGER
SIDE.
- POTENTIAL FOR FOG AND SEA FOG INCREASES TONIGHT, AND WILL BE
POSSIBLE NIGHTLY THROUGH AT LEAST MIDWEEK NEXT WEEK.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 1055 AM CST SAT FEB 7 2026
A WEAK BACKDOOR COLD FRONT (A COLD FRONT MOVING IN FROM THE NE
RATHER THAN THE W/NW) HAS MOVED THROUGH THE REGION, BUT THIS WILL
NOT REALLY BE NOTICEABLE OTHER THAN AN EASTERLY WIND SHIFT FOR
TODAY. PASSING UPPER-LEVEL RIDGING IS KEEPING US DRY AND WARM
(DESPITE THE PASSING COLD FRONT) FOR TODAY WITH HIGH TEMPERATURES
LIKELY RISING INTO THE MID TO UPPER 70S FOR MOST OF THE REGION.
AFTERNOON HIGH TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN IN THE MID TO UPPER 70S
THROUGH TUESDAY, BUT A WARMING TREND IN THE OVERNIGHT TEMPERATURES
IS EXPECTED THANKS TO SOUTHEASTERLY FLOW BRINGING MOISTURE BACK
TO THE REGION. OVERNIGHT TEMPERATURES WILL BE IN THE UPPER 40S TO
LOW 50S TONIGHT, THEN MID TO UPPER 50S SUNDAY NIGHT, AND THE UPPER
50S TO LOW 60S MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH AT LEAST MIDWEEK NEXT WEEK.
AN UPPER-LEVEL LOW WILL BE PASSING THROUGH TEXAS TUESDAY INTO
TUESDAY NIGHT, BRINGING OUR NEXT CHANCE FOR SOME SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. WE MAY BEGIN TO SEE SOME LIGHT SHOWERS BEGINNING AS
EARLY AS TUESDAY MORNING AS WEAK SHORTWAVES AHEAD OF THE MAIN
DISTURBANCE PASSES THROUGH THE REGION, BUT THE CHANCE FOR RAIN
INCREASES LATE TUESDAY/TUESDAY NIGHT. THERE WILL BE DECENT AMOUNTS
OF SHEAR IN THE AREA, SO WILL HAVE TO MONITOR FOR THE POTENTIAL
OF ISOLATED STRONG THUNDERSTORMS - BUT, AS OF NOW, INSTABILITY
LOOKS TO BE RELATIVELY LOW. THIS WILL BE SOMETHING TO MONITOR IN
THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS AS SHORT-RANGE GUIDANCE COMES INTO PLAY.
THE DISTURBANCE EXITS TO THE EAST BY EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING WITH
A STRONG UPPER-LEVEL RIDGE BUILDING IN BEHIND IT WEDNESDAY
AFTERNOON INTO FRIDAY. THE RISING HEIGHTS AND MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES
WILL LEAD TO HIGH TEMPERATURES INTO THE LOW TO POTENTIALLY MID-80S
WEDNESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY.
ANOTHER THING TO MONITOR BEGINNING TONIGHT INTO AT LEAST MIDWEEK
NEXT WEEK WILL BE THE POTENTIAL OF PATCHY, DENSE FOG DEVELOPING
NIGHTLY.
FOWLER
AVIATION
(12Z TAF ISSUANCE)
ISSUED AT 520 AM CST SAT FEB 7 2026
VFR CONDITIONS TODAY AND THIS EVENING. DIFFUSE BACKDOOR FRONTAL
BOUNDARY WILL PRODUCE A WIND SHIFT, ALBEIT WEAK, TO THE NE-E THIS
MORNING ALONG THE I-45 TERMINALS. IT'LL EVENTUALLY WASHOUT AND
WE'LL SEE A RETURN OF SE WINDS LATE IN THE DAY. EXPECT AREAS OF
FOG TO DEVELOP SOUTH OF I-10 AND WEST OF HIGHWAY 288 BETWEEN
6-9Z...EXPANDING NE TOWARD AREAS ALONG AND SOUTH OF CLL-CXO,
INCLUDING THE METRO AREAS AFTER 9Z. VISIBILITIES COULD BECOME
LOCALLY DENSE, BUT FOR NOW HAVE STARTED OUT ON THE CONSERVATIVE
ROUTE IN THE 12Z TAFS. IT SHOULD BURN OFF BY 15Z SUNDAY. 47
MARINE
ISSUED AT 1055 AM CST SAT FEB 7 2026
LIGHT TO OCCASIONALLY MODERATE EASTERLY WINDS WILL CONTINUE
THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON WITH SOUTHEASTERLY TO SOUTHERLY WINDS
DEVELOPING TONIGHT AND REMAINING IN PLACE THROUGH THE NEXT
SEVERAL DAYS.
FOG WILL BECOME A CONCERN BEGINNING AS EARLY AS TONIGHT, AND
REMAIN POSSIBLE NIGHTLY THROUGH AT LEAST MIDWEEK NEXT WEEK. FOG
POTENTIAL TONIGHT LOOKS TO BE GREATEST IN THE NORTHERN PARTS OF
THE BAYS AS RADIATIONAL FOG SPILLS OVER INTO THE WATERS, BUT SEA
FOG BECOMES MORE LIKELY BEGINNING SUNDAY NIGHT AS THE
SOUTHEASTERLY WINDS USHER IN MOISTURE. FOG COVERAGE WILL BE
GREATEST DURING THE OVERNIGHT TO MORNING PERIODS, BUT CANNOT OUT
RULE SOME PATCHY FOG LINGERING INTO THE AFTERNOON IN THE NEAR
SHORE WATERS ON MONDAY.
A DISTURBANCE MOVING THROUGH THE AREA WILL BRING A CHANCE OF
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TUESDAY AFTERNOON INTO TUESDAY NIGHT FOR
THE COASTAL WATERS.
FOWLER
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
COLLEGE STATION (CLL) 49 79 56 81 / 0 0 0 0
HOUSTON (IAH) 51 77 57 80 / 0 0 0 0
GALVESTON (GLS) 55 67 58 72 / 0 0 0 0
HGX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
TX...NONE.
GM...NONE.
DISCUSSION...FOWLER
AVIATION...47
MARINE...FOWLER
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