210
FXUS64 KHGX 081112
AFDHGX
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON/GALVESTON TX
512 AM CST SUN FEB 8 2026
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
- WARM, AND MORE HUMID WEATHER IS EXPECTED THROUGH THE WEEK.
- A CHANCE SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS FOR PARTS OF THE AREA TUESDAY
AFTERNOON INTO WEDNESDAY AS A WEAK DISTURBANCE MOVES THROUGH.
- AREAS OF FOG AND SEA FOG DURING THE NIGHTTIME AND MORNING HOURS
ON A DAILY BASIS FOR MUCH OF THE WEEK COULD CAUSE
NAVIGATION/COMMUTING HAZARDS.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 1111 PM CST SAT FEB 7 2026
WARM TEMPERATURES WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE REST OF THE WEEKEND
INTO NEXT WEEK AS HIGHS REMAIN IN THE MID-UPPER 70S TO LOW 80S.
OVERNIGHT TEMPERATURES WILL BE IN THE UPPER 40S TO LOW 50S
OVERNIGHT INTO SUNDAY MORNING, AND WITH PERSISTENT SOUTHEASTERLY
FLOW, SHOULD SEE AN UPWARD TREND IN OVERNIGHT TEMPERATURES. BY
MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH AT LEAST MID-WEEK, LOWS WILL BE IN THE UPPER
50S TO LOW 60S. ADDITIONALLY, CALM WINDS, INCREASING MOISTURE AT
THE SURFACE AND A STABLE ENVIRONMENT WILL RESULT IN PATCHY TO
AREAS OF FOG DURING THE OVERNIGHT THROUGH EARLY MORNING HOURS
THROUGH AROUND MID-WEEK.
AN UPPER- LEVEL LOW WILL PASS THROUGH TEXAS
TUESDAY INTO TUESDAY NIGHT, AND WITH THE RETURN OF MOISTURE TO THE
AREA (NAEFS AND ECMWF ENSEMBLES ARE IN THE 90TH PERCENTILE FOR
PWATS ON TUESDAY), THIS COULD BRING OUR NEXT CHANCE FOR SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS. LIGHT SHOWERS MAY BEGIN AS EARLY AS TUESDAY
MORNING AS WEAK SHORTWAVES PASS OVER SE TX. THE FORECAST REMAINS A
BIT TRICKY AS FAR AS THE POTENTIAL FOR STRONG TO SEVERE
THUNDERSTORMS IS CONCERNED. MODELS CONTINUE TO SUGGEST A DECENT
AMOUNT OF SHEAR ACROSS THE AREA; HOWEVER, INSTABILITY IS LACKING.
AS SHORT-RANGE HI-RESOLUTION MODELS COME IN, SHOULD GET A BETTER
IDEA OF WHAT THE POTENTIAL FOR STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS WILL LOOK
LIKE.
THE DISTURBANCE WILL CONTINUE OFF TO THE EAST EARLY WEDNESDAY
MORNING AND A STRONG UPPER-LEVEL RIDGE WILL REPLACE IT FROM
BEHIND. CLEAR SKIES AND WARM TEMPERATURES WILL PREVAIL ALONG WITH
THE RIDGE WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH FRIDAY. HIGHS DURING THIS
TIME MAY REACH INTO THE LOW TO MID-80S.
BAILEY
AVIATION
(12Z TAF ISSUANCE)
ISSUED AT 507 AM CST SUN FEB 8 2026
LIFR CONDITIONS FOR MOST TERMINAL WITH LOW VSBY/CEILINGS WILL
GRADUALLY IMPROVE IN THE MID-LATE MORNING HOURS. VFR CONDITIONS
SHOULD PREVAIL FROM LATE MORNING THROUGH EARLY EVENING. SEA FOG IS
EXPECTED TO DEVELOP OFF THE COAST THIS EVENING AND ROLL INLAND AS
THE NIGHT PROGRESSES. WE SHOULD SEE A RETURN TO IFR/LIFR
CONDITIONS TO MOST TERMINALS AS THE NIGHT PROGRESSES. GRADUAL
IMPROVEMENT, AGAIN, IN THE MID-LATE MORNING HOURS MONDAY. 47
MARINE
ISSUED AT 1111 PM CST SAT FEB 7 2026
SOUTHEASTERLY TO SOUTHERLY WINDS WILL CONTINUE TONIGHT AND
REMAIN IN PLACE THROUGH THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS.
FOG WILL BECOME A CONCERN BEGINNING AS EARLY AS TONIGHT, AND
REMAIN POSSIBLE NIGHTLY THROUGH AT LEAST MIDWEEK NEXT WEEK. FOG
POTENTIAL TONIGHT LOOKS TO BE GREATEST IN THE NORTHERN PARTS OF
THE BAYS AS RADIATIONAL FOG SPILLS OVER INTO THE WATERS, BUT SEA
FOG BECOMES MORE LIKELY BEGINNING SUNDAY NIGHT AS THE
SOUTHEASTERLY WINDS USHER IN MOISTURE. FOG COVERAGE WILL BE
GREATEST DURING THE OVERNIGHT TO MORNING PERIODS, BUT CANNOT OUT
RULE SOME PATCHY FOG LINGERING INTO THE AFTERNOON IN THE NEAR
SHORE WATERS ON MONDAY.
A DISTURBANCE MOVING THROUGH THE AREA WILL BRING A CHANCE OF
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TUESDAY AFTERNOON INTO TUESDAY NIGHT FOR
THE COASTAL WATERS.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
COLLEGE STATION (CLL) 79 56 81 59 / 0 0 0 0
HOUSTON (IAH) 77 58 79 61 / 0 0 0 0
GALVESTON (GLS) 66 57 69 59 / 0 0 0 10
HGX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
TX...DENSE FOG ADVISORY UNTIL 9 AM CST THIS MORNING FOR TXZ197>199-
210>214-226-227-235>238-300-313-335>338-436>438.
GM...DENSE FOG ADVISORY UNTIL 10 AM CST THIS MORNING FOR GMZ330-335.
DISCUSSION...BAILEY
AVIATION...47
MARINE...BAILEY
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.
Main Text Page