038
FXUS64 KHGX 251949
AFDHGX
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON/GALVESTON TX
149 PM CST WED FEB 25 2026
..NEW KEY MESSAGES, DISCUSSION, MARINE
KEY MESSAGES
- A WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH THE EARLY THIS EVENING
FOR AREAS ALONG AND SOUTH OF I-10.
- A WEAK COLD FRONT WILL PASS THROUGH ON THURSDAY. PATCHY FOG
NEAR THE COAST MAY BE POSSIBLE AHEAD OF THE FRONT AS THE WINDS
RELAX AND MOISTURE INCREASES.
- WHILE A SLIGHT COOL DOWN WILL FOLLOW THE COLD FRONT THURSDAY
NIGHT, ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE
WEEKEND.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 148 PM CST WED FEB 25 2026
ANOTHER WARM AND DRY DAY ACROSS SOUTHEAST TEXAS WITH BREEZY TO WINDY
SOUTHERLY WINDS IN RESPONSE TO A TIGHTENING PRESSURE GRADIENT OVER
THE SOUTHERN PLAINS. A WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR AREAS
ROUGHLY FROM I-10 COASTWARD THROUGH 6 PM THIS EVENING. WHILE WINDS
WILL BEGIN TO WEAKEN LATER THIS AFTERNOON; A MODERATE WEST TO
NORTHEAST LLJ WILL STILL STRENGTHEN OVER THE REGION TONIGHT.
CONSEQUENTLY, EXPECT SOUTHERLY WINDS AROUND 15 TO 25 MPH, GUSTING TO
30-35 MPH THROUGH EARLY THIS EVENING. CONDITIONS WILL REMAIN BREEZY
WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH THROUGH EARLY THURSDAY. HIGHER GUSTS ARE
EXPECTED ACROSS COASTAL COUNTIES AND ALONG THE ISLANDS.
A SURFACE LOW CURRENTLY LOCATED ACROSS NORTH TEXAS WILL CONTINUE TO
MOVE EAST-SOUTHEAST TONIGHT, DRAGGING A WEAK COLD FRONT ACROSS SE TX
ON THURSDAY. THE ARRIVAL OF THIS WEAK COLD FRONT WILL BRING WEAKER
WINDS, WARMER CONDITIONS AND INCREASED CLOUD COVER DUE TO RISING
GULF MOISTURE. HIGHS WILL GENERALLY REACH THE MID 80S. THIS FRONT IS
PROGGED TO MOVE THROUGH THE AREA BY MIDDAY, REACHING THE COAST BY
LATE THURSDAY NIGHT. BECAUSE LIGHT ONSHORE WINDS WILL LIKELY PERSIST
INTO THE EVENING, PATCHY FOG MAY DEVELOP ALONG THE COASTAL COUNTIES.
OVERALL, THIS IS A WEAK AND GENERALLY DRY FRONTAL PASSAGE; ASIDE
FROM SOME VERY LIGHT SHOWERS NEAR THE COAST, THE REGION SHOULD
REMAIN DRY.
BEHIND THE FRONT, LITTLE CHANGE IS ANTICIPATED. CONDITIONS WILL
REMAIN DRY AND WARM THROUGH THE WEEKEND AS A MID TO UPPER LEVEL
RIDGE STRENGTHEN OVER THE REGION, RESULTING IN ABOVE NORMAL
TEMPERATURES TO CLOSE OUT FEBRUARY.
AVIATION
(12Z TAF ISSUANCE)
ISSUED AT 529 AM CST WED FEB 25 2026
MVFR CLOUD DECK HAS DEVELOPED, MOST IMPACTFUL NEAR THE COAST FOR
GLS/LBX. HOWEVER, SPORADIC CIGS MAY BE SEEN AT ANY OF THE REST OF
THE TERMINALS FOR SHORT PERIODS, THOUGH THE PREVAILING CLOUD
CHARACTER SHOULD BE MORE SCATTERED. AFTER A FEW HOURS, CLOUD DECKS
SHOULD LIFT AND SCATTER, RETURNING US TO VFR WITH SOUTH WINDS
15-25G25-35 FOR THE AFTERNOON. SIMILAR TO THIS MORNING, EXPECTING
POTENTIAL FOR MVFR AGAIN TOMORROW MORNING. SOME GUIDANCE HINTING
AT LOW MVFR, BUT WILL STICK WITH SCT DECKS THAT LOW FOR NOW, AND
FAVOR HIGHER MVFR FOR NOW.
MARINE
ISSUED AT 148 PM CST WED FEB 25 2026
A SURFACE LOW OVER NORTH TEXAS AND HIGH PRESSURE TO OUR EAST WILL
CONTINUE TO BRING MODERATE TO STRONG ONSHORE WINDS AND SEAS AROUND 5
TO 10 FT ACROSS THE UPPER TX COAST THROUGH EARLY THURSDAY. SMALL
CRAFT ADVISORIES REMAIN IN EFFECT FOR THE BAYS AND GULF WATERS
THROUGH 6 AM THURSDAY. WINDS WILL GRADUALLY WEAKEN BY EARLY THURSDAY
AHEAD OF THE COLD FRONT; HOWEVER, SEAS MAY TAKE LONGER TO SUBSIDE
THROUGH THE DAY. THEREFORE, ADVISORIES COULD POTENTIALLY BE EXTENDED
THROUGH MIDDAY. THE FRONT WILL BE MOVING OVER THE WATERS BY THURSDAY
NIGHT; INCREASING THE POTENTIAL OF PATCHY FOG AHEAD OF IT. A FEW
LIGHT SHOWERS WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE AHEAD AND ALONG THE FRONT,
PARTICULARLY OVER THE GULF WATERS. LIGHT ONSHORE WINDS WILL QUICKLY
RESUME ON FRIDAY AND WILL PERSIST WELL INTO THE UPCOMING WEEK.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
COLLEGE STATION (CLL) 84 62 83 60 / 0 0 0 10
HOUSTON (IAH) 80 67 84 64 / 0 0 10 10
GALVESTON (GLS) 71 65 73 63 / 0 0 10 10
HGX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
TX...WIND ADVISORY UNTIL 6 PM CST THIS EVENING FOR TXZ210>214-226-227-
235>238-300-313-335>338-436>439.
GM...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 6 AM CST THURSDAY FOR GMZ330-335-350-
355-370-375.
DISCUSSION...JM
AVIATION...LUCHS
MARINE...JM
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.
Main Text Page