693
FXUS64 KHGX 282316
AFDHGX
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON/GALVESTON TX
516 PM CST SAT FEB 28 2026
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
- FOG WILL REMAIN A POSSIBILITY NIGHTLY THROUGH THE WEEKEND,
ESPECIALLY IN THE COASTAL AREAS.
- UNSEASONABLY WARM WEATHER WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE START OF
NEXT WEEK.
- FEW COLD FRONTS WILL TRY BUT ARE UNLIKELY TO REACH SE TEXAS NEXT
WEEK.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 1130 AM CST SAT FEB 28 2026
ONSHORE ANOTHER WARM DAY IS IN STORE FOR THIS AFTERNOON. THERE'S
STILL A ~12F DEWPOINT GRADIENT FROM NORTH TO SOUTH ACROSS SE
TEXAS. THUS, RH VALUES ARE EXPECTED TO FALL TO GENERALLY 30-50%
ACROSS INLAND AREAS AND 50-80% NEAR THE COAST. HIGHS SHOULD REMAIN
IN THE 70S/MID 80S WITH LOWS IN THE 50S/LOWER 60S. WITH ONSHORE
FLOW REMAINING IN PLACE AND MOISTURE POISED TO KEEP RISING, SEA
FOG WILL REMAIN THE PRIMARY HAZARD TO FOCUS ON OVER THE WEEKEND,
APPEARING IN THE BAYS/NEARSHORE WATERS AND COASTLINE DURING THE
NIGHTTIME, THEN SPREADING INLAND AND BECOMING MORE EXTENSIVE
DURING THE EARLY MORNING HOURS. STILL, THE BROADER EXTENT AND
INTENSITY OF FOG SHOULD WANE HEADING INTO NEXT WEEK AS WATERS
SLOWLY WARM.
WE'RE STILL EXPECTING A FEW SHORTWAVES & DISTURBANCES TO PASS NORTH
OF OUR AREA NEXT WEEK. FIRST OF THESE OCCURS ON MONDAY, WHERE A COLD
FRONT ATTEMPTS TO SCOOT ITS WAY TOWARDS SE TEXAS, BUT STALLS NEAR
NORTH-CENTRAL TEXAS. THE NEXT FRONT SHOULD BE APPROACHING SE TEXAS
AROUND MID WEEK ON WEDNESDAY, BUT IT TOO IS ANTICIPATED TO STALL OUT
NEAR THE RED RIVER VALLEY. EVEN WITHOUT THE FRONT, DEEPER MOISTURE
AND SHORTWAVE ENERGY OVERHEAD MAY STILL BRING SOME SHOWERS AND
STORMS ACROSS THE AREA BEGINNING AROUND MID WEEK. YET ANOTHER FRONT
WILL TRY TO PUSH TOWARDS THE AREA ON FRIDAY, BUT EVEN THIS ONE
APPEARS TO STALL BEFORE REACHING SE TEXAS. LREF ENSEMBLES BACK THE
DETERMINISTIC MODELS, STILL SHOWING STRONG CONSENSUS ON A
SOUTHERLY WIND DIRECTION ALL THROUGH THE UPCOMING WORK WEEK.
CLOUD COVER AND SHOWERS MAY HELP SHAVE OFF SOME OF THE HEAT, BUT
WARM WEATHER WILL STILL DOMINATE WITH HIGHS IN THE 70S/MID 80S
WITH LOWS IN THE 60S.
03
AVIATION
(00Z TAF ISSUANCE)
ISSUED AT 516 PM CST SAT FEB 28 2026
ANOTHER ROUND OF MVFR/IFR CEILINGS AND VISIBILITIES IS EXPECTED
LATER THIS EVENING INTO SUNDAY MORNING. EXPECT CONDITIONS TO
GRADUALLY DETERIORATE FROM SOUTH TO NORTH AFTER 00Z-02Z. DENSE FOG
IS EXPECTED TO BE MAINLY AN ISSUE FOR TERMINALS NEAR AND SOUTH OF
I-10. REDUCED CEILINGS ARE ANTICIPATED AREAWIDE. THERE REMAINS
SOME UNCERTAINTY ON HOW FAR NORTHWARD THE LOWEST VISIBILITIES WILL
EXTEND. FOG/LOW CEILINGS WILL LIFT AFTER 15Z-16Z. SOUTHEASTERLY
WINDS AROUND 8-12 KT WILL PREVAIL THROUGHOUT THE DAY ON SUNDAY
WITH INTERMITTENT WIND GUSTS AROUND 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
EXPECTING ANOTHER ROUND OF REDUCED VISIBILITIES/CEILINGS
SUNDAY NIGHT INTO MONDAY MORNING.
BATISTE
MARINE
ISSUED AT 1130 AM CST SAT FEB 28 2026
SOME PATCHY FOG MAY LINGER IN THE COASTAL WATERS DURING THE
AFTERNOON HOURS. CANNOT RULE OUT ADDITIONAL EXTENSIONS OF THE MARINE
FOG ADVISORY IF CONDITIONS DO NOT IMPROVE. ANOTHER ROUND OF FOG IS
ANTICIPATED TONIGHT INTO SUNDAY MORNING. FOG MAY BE PATCHIER IN
NATURE COMPARED TO PREVIOUS NIGHTS, THOUGH ANTICIPATE LARGER
INCREASES IN COVERAGE AND INTENSITY BY EARLY SUNDAY MORNING. STILL,
WARMING WATER TEMPERATURES SHOULD START TO DECREASE THE CHANCES FOR
SEA FOG SUNDAY NIGHT INTO MONDAY AS WATERS WARM. OTHERWISE, EXPECT
LIGHT WINDS AND LOW SEAS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH AT LEAST MID WEEK.
03
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
COLLEGE STATION (CLL) 58 82 58 82 / 0 0 0 0
HOUSTON (IAH) 61 81 60 81 / 0 0 0 0
GALVESTON (GLS) 62 73 63 74 / 0 0 0 10
HGX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
TX...NONE.
GM...NONE.
DISCUSSION...03
AVIATION...BATISTE
MARINE...03
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