881
FXUS64 KHGX 010608
AFDHGX
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON/GALVESTON TX
1208 AM CST SUN MAR 1 2026
..NEW DISCUSSION, MARINE
KEY MESSAGES
- FOG WILL REMAIN A POSSIBILITY NIGHTLY THROUGH THE WEEKEND,
ESPECIALLY IN THE COASTAL AREAS.
- UNSEASONABLY WARM WEATHER WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE START OF
NEXT WEEK.
- FEW COLD FRONTS WILL TRY BUT ARE UNLIKELY TO REACH SE TEXAS NEXT
WEEK.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 1042 PM CST SAT FEB 28 2026
ANOTHER NIGHT OF PATCHY FOG IS EXPECTED FOR PORTIONS OF SE TEXAS
TONIGHT INTO SUNDAY MORNING, WITH THE POTENTIAL FOR DENSE FOG
DEVELOPING ALONG THE COAST AND ALONG/EAST OF I-45. OBSERVATIONS
AS OF 11PM HAS WIDESPREAD REPORTS OF HAZY CONDITIONS (2-6MI)
VISIBILITIES, BUT EXPECTING SOME DENSE FOG TO DEVELOP WITHIN THE
NEXT FEW HOURS - AGAIN MOSTLY ALONG THE COAST AND FOR AREAS ALONG
AND EAST OF I-45. FOG THAT DOES DEVELOP WILL DISSIPATE WITHIN A
FEW HOURS OF SUNRISE GIVING WAY TO MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES AND
TEMPERATURES RISING INTO THE LOW 80S FOR SUNDAY AFTERNOON. ANOTHER
NIGHT OF PATCHY FOG IS POSSIBLE SUNDAY NIGHT INTO MONDAY, BUT SREF
AND HREF PROBABILITIES OF DENSE FOG ARE MUCH LOWER COMPARED TO
THE PAST FEW NIGHTS.
THE ABNORMALLY WARM WEATHER WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE WORKWEEK AS
UPPER-LEVEL RIDGING MOVES IN MONDAY INTO TUESDAY, AND THEN
REPLACED BY SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW ALOFT WEDNESDAY THROUGH THE
REMAINDER OF THE WEEK. HIGH TEMPERATURES WILL BE IN THE LOW TO MID
80S THROUGH THE WORKWEEK (WITH SOME SPOTS POTENTIALLY RISING INTO
THE UPPER 80S BY THE END OF THE WEEK). OVERNIGHT LOWS WILL BE IN
THE MID TO UPPER 60S BY MIDWEEK, AND THEN UPPER 60S TO POTENTIALLY
LOW 70S BY WEEK'S END (WHICH WILL BE APPROACHING THE NORMAL HIGH
TEMPERATURE FOR THIS TIME OF YEAR).
FOR THE FIRST TIME IN AWHILE, WE ACTUALLY HAVE SOME CHANCES TO
SEE SOME RAINFALL ACROSS SE TEXAS THIS WEEK. THE FIRST CHANCE WILL
BE WEDNESDAY INTO THURSDAY AS A COLD FRONT APPROACHES FROM THE
NORTHWEST, THEN STALLS TO THE NORTHWEST OF THE REGION. WHILE THE
BEST DYNAMICS APPEAR TO STAY TO THE NORTHWEST OF OUR AREA, A
COMBINATION OF DAYTIME HEATING, PASSING WEAK DISTURBANCES EMBEDDED
IN THE SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW ALOFT, AND PWATS RISING TO 1.3-1.5"
AHEAD OF THE FRONT MAY LEAD TO SCATTERED SHOWERS IN PORTIONS OF SE
TEXAS ON WEDNESDAY. POPS CONTINUE FOR THE BRAZOS VALLEY AND PINEY
WOODS ON THURSDAY AS THE STALLED FRONT LINGERS BEFORE RETREATING
BACK TO THE NORTH. THE NEXT CHANCE FOR RAIN WILL BE OVER THE
WEEKEND AS THE NEXT COLD FRONT APPROACHES FROM NORTHWEST. AT THIS
TIME, THERE IS HIGHER UNCERTAINTY WITH THIS FRONT ON HOW FAR SOUTH
IT MAKES IT BEFORE STALLING. IT MAY STALL IN A SIMILAR POSITION TO
WEDNESDAY'S FRONT, BUT COULD SAG FURTHER SOUTH IN SE TEXAS AND
THUS INCREASING RAINFALL CHANCES. WE APPEAR TO BE IN A SIMILAR
UPPER-LEVEL PATTERN AS WE HEAD INTO THE SECOND WEEK OF MARCH, SO
I'D EXPECT US TO SEE CONTINUED WARM/HUMID CONDITIONS AND CHANCES
OF RAINFALL.
FOWLER
AVIATION
(00Z TAF ISSUANCE)
ISSUED AT 516 PM CST SAT FEB 28 2026
ANOTHER ROUND OF MVFR/IFR CEILINGS AND VISIBILITIES IS EXPECTED
LATER THIS EVENING INTO SUNDAY MORNING. EXPECT CONDITIONS TO
GRADUALLY DETERIORATE FROM SOUTH TO NORTH AFTER 00Z-02Z. DENSE FOG
IS EXPECTED TO BE MAINLY AN ISSUE FOR TERMINALS NEAR AND SOUTH OF
I-10. REDUCED CEILINGS ARE ANTICIPATED AREAWIDE. THERE REMAINS
SOME UNCERTAINTY ON HOW FAR NORTHWARD THE LOWEST VISIBILITIES WILL
EXTEND. FOG/LOW CEILINGS WILL LIFT AFTER 15Z-16Z. SOUTHEASTERLY
WINDS AROUND 8-12 KT WILL PREVAIL THROUGHOUT THE DAY ON SUNDAY
WITH INTERMITTENT WIND GUSTS AROUND 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
EXPECTING ANOTHER ROUND OF REDUCED VISIBILITIES/CEILINGS
SUNDAY NIGHT INTO MONDAY MORNING.
BATISTE
MARINE
ISSUED AT 1042 PM CST SAT FEB 28 2026
MAIN FORECAST CONCERN THROUGH MONDAY WILL BE THE POTENTIAL FOR
PATCHY, DENSE FOG DEVELOPING NIGHTLY. AS OF 11PM, WEBCAMS AND
SATELLITE IMAGERY ARE SHOWING SOME HAZY CONDITIONS, BUT THE
EXPECTATION IS THAT AREAS OF DENSE FOG WILL LIKELY DEVELOP IN
GALVESTON BAY AND OUR NORTHERN COASTAL WATERS THROUGH THE NIGHT.
WE ARE NOT EXPECTING AS WIDESPREAD DENSE FOG LIKE THE PAST COUPLE
OF NIGHTS, BUT MARINERS SHOULD KEEP WEATHER AWARE AND USE SAFE
BOATING PRACTICES IF YOU ENCOUNTER DENSE FOG. ANY FOG THAT DOES
DEVELOP IS EXPECTED TO DISSIPATE BY THE MID-MORNING HOURS.
SOME PATCHY FOG IS POSSIBLE AGAIN SUNDAY NIGHT NIGHT INTO MONDAY,
BUT THE DAYTIME HEATING ON SUNDAY WILL WARM SSTS, AND THUS LIKELY
LIMITING SEA FOG DEVELOPMENT EVEN MORE.
OTHERWISE, EXPECT CONTINUED LOW SEAS AND LIGHT ONSHORE WINDS
THROUGH THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS.
FOWLER
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
COLLEGE STATION (CLL) 60 83 58 83 / 0 0 0 0
HOUSTON (IAH) 61 81 61 82 / 0 0 0 0
GALVESTON (GLS) 61 73 63 74 / 0 0 0 10
HGX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
TX...NONE.
GM...NONE.
DISCUSSION...FOWLER
AVIATION...BATISTE
MARINE...FOWLER
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