809
FXUS64 KHGX 312302
AFDHGX
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON/GALVESTON TX
602 PM CDT SUN MAY 31 2026
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
- BENIGN CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL FOR THE REST OF TODAY AND
TONIGHT.
- WARM CONDITIONS EXPECTED THROUGH MID-WEEK. MAKE SURE TO BE
PREPARED FOR THE WARMER TEMPERATURES IF YOU PLAN TO WORK OR
SPEND TIME OUTDOORS.
- SLIGHT CHANCE FOR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EXPECTED MONDAY
AFTERNOON. CHANCES INCREASE TUESDAY AS WELL AS NEAR THE END OF
THE WORK WEEK.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 1248 PM CDT SUN MAY 31 2026
BENIGN CONDITIONS WILL PERSIST FOR THE REST OF TODAY AND TONIGHT.
EXPECT PARTLY CLOUDY SKIES ALONG WITH SOUTHEAST WINDS AT 5-10 MPH
THIS AFTERNOON AND RELAXING TO 5 MPH OR LESS TONIGHT. THE HIGHS
THIS AFTERNOON WILL PEAK IN THE LOWER 90S FOR MUCH OF THE INLAND
PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST TX AND THE UPPER 80S ALONG THE COASTS. HEAT
INDICES WILL RANGE BETWEEN THE UPPER 90S TO LOWER 100S.
UNFORTUNATELY, THESE HEAT INDICES WILL REMAIN IN THE UPPER 90S TO
LOWER 100S THROUGH AT LEAST TUESDAY. THUS, MAKE SURE TO PRACTICE
HEAT SAFETY AND DRINK PLENTY OF WATER, TAKE SEVERAL BREAKS FROM
THE HEAT/SUN, AND WEAR APPROPRIATE CLOTHING IF YOU PLAN TO WORK OR
SPEND TIME OUTDOORS. THE OVERNIGHT LOWS FOR THE NEXT FEW NIGHTS
WILL RANGE IN THE LOWER TO MID 70S INLAND AND THE UPPER 70S TO
LOWER 80S ALONG THE COASTS.
THERE IS A CHANCE FOR ISOLATED TO SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS WITHIN AND NEAR THE SEABREEZE ON MONDAY AFTERNOON,
MAINLY FOR AREAS NEAR AND SOUTH OF I-10. RAIN CHANCES DECREASE
MONDAY NIGHT AS DIURNAL HEATING DECREASES. CHANCE FOR SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO INCREASE ON TUESDAY AFTERNOON AND
EVENING, AS DIURNAL HEATING AND INSTABILITY INCREASES. WE MAY ALSO
HAVE A FEW VORT MAXES MOVES THROUGH THE AREA AS WELL AS A BOUNDARY
THAT COULD ENHANCE SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY. THUS, THERE
IS A GOOD CHANCE WE SEE RAIN ACTIVITY OCCUR OVER AREAS OUTSIDE OF
THE SEABREEZE BOUNDARY. ON WEDNESDAY, WE WILL ONCE AGAIN HAVE
AFTERNOON SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS DEVELOP AS DIURNAL HEATING
PEAKS, INSTABILITY INCREASES, AND LINGERING WEAK VORT MAXES PUSH
THROUGH.
FOR THE END OF THE WORK WEEK, RAIN CHANCES LOOK TO CONTINUE AS AN
UPPER LEVEL LOW MOVES EAST-NORTHEAST FROM BAJA CALIFORNIA INTO
NORTHERN MEXICO AND WEAK EMBEDDED DISTURBANCES AHEAD OF IT MOVE
ACROSS TEXAS. WE CONTINUE TO SEE THE TREND OF SOMEWHAT "COOLER"
TEMPERATURES THURSDAY AND FRIDAY, WITH HIGHS GENERALLY IN THE
UPPER 80S FOR BOTH DAYS. STAY TUNED FOR MORE!
COTTO
AVIATION
(00Z TAF ISSUANCE)
ISSUED AT 545 PM CDT SUN MAY 31 2026
SOUTHERLY WINDS BECOME LIGHT AND VARIABLE THIS EVENING AS LOWER
CLOUD DECKS AROUND 1000-2500FT DEVELOP OVER SE TEXAS. THESE DECKS
MAY FILL IN, BRINGING PERIODS OF MVFR CONDITIONS OVERNIGHT INTO
MONDAY MORNING. SOME PATCHY OF FOG COULD DEVELOP, THOUGH LESS
LIKELY DUE TO CLOUD COVER. MAY SEE SOME INSTANCES OF LOWER FLS TO
IFR, THOUGH LARGELY MVFR CONDITIONS WILL DOMINATE. CIGS & ANY FOG
SHOULD CLEAR UP MONDAY MORNING WITH VFR CONDITIONS PREVAILING
THROUGHOUT THE DAYTIME. SOME ISOLATED SHOWERS COULD DEVELOP IN THE
AFTERNOON, MAINLY SOUTH OF I-10 ALONG THE SEA BREEZE. STILL,
SHOWERS & STORM CHANCES REMAIN TOO LOW, NOT ENOUGH CONFIDENCE TO
INCLUDE WITH THE CURRENT TAF CYCLE.
03
MARINE
ISSUED AT 1248 PM CDT SUN MAY 31 2026
LIGHT ONSHORE WINDS AND LOW SEAS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH TUESDAY.
WINDS BECOME EAST-SOUTHEAST LATE TUESDAY AS A WEAK BOUNDARY MOVES
THROUGH. WINDS ALSO INCREASE LATE WEDNESDAY INTO THURSDAY AND MAY
BE MODERATE AT TIMES THROUGH THE END OF THE WORK WEEK, WHICH WILL
LEAD TO SEAS RISING TO AROUND 3 FEET OVER THE NEARSHORE WATERS
AND AROUND 5-6 FEET OVER THE OFFSHORE WATERS.
THE RISK OF STRONG RIP CURRENT WILL INCREASE STARTING ON
WEDNESDAY OVER THE GULF FACING BEACHES. SEABREEZE SHOWERS AND
STORMS ARE EXPECTED MONDAY, FOLLOWED BY DAILY CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS FOR THE REST OF THE WEEK.
COTTO
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
COLLEGE STATION (CLL) 74 92 75 93 / 0 10 10 20
HOUSTON (IAH) 76 92 77 93 / 0 20 10 30
GALVESTON (GLS) 80 88 80 88 / 0 10 10 10
HGX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
TX...NONE.
GM...NONE.
DISCUSSION...COTTO
AVIATION...03
MARINE...COTTO
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