059
FXUS64 KHGX 100411
AFDHGX
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON/GALVESTON TX
1111 PM CDT TUE JUN 9 2026
..NEW DISCUSSION, MARINE
KEY MESSAGES
- INCREASING HEAT RISK WITH "FEELS-LIKE" TEMPERATURES AROUND
97-107 DEGREES (36-42 CELSIUS).
- RISK OF RIP CURRENTS ACROSS GULF-FACING BEACHES THROUGHOUT THE
WEEK.
- ISOLATED/SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORM CHANCES DAILY,
MOSTLY DURING THE AFTERNOON HOURS. CHANCES WILL INCREASE SUNDAY
INTO NEXT WEEK.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 1101 PM CDT TUE JUN 9 2026
SUBTROPICAL RIDGING IS ANTICIPATED TO KEEP WARN, HUMID WEATHER IN
PLACE THROUGHOUT THE REMAINDER OF THE WEEK. ONSHORE WINDS SHOULD
REMAIN FIRMLY REMAIN IN PLACE DUE TO A BERMUDA HIGH OFF THE EASTERN
SEA BOARD. MIDLEVEL HEIGHTS ARE FORECAST TO BE AROUND 590-593 DAM,
ABOVE THE 90TH CLIMATOLOGICAL PERCENTILE FOR THIS TIME OF THE YEAR.
NAEFS HAS INDICATED THAT 200MB MEAN GEOPOTENTIAL HEIGHTS WILL ALSO
BE STRONGEST AROUND THE WEEKEND. SUBSIDENCE SHOULD LARGELY INHIBIT
STORM DEVELOPMENT, THOUGH AMPLE PWS OF 1.4-2.3 INCHES AND MODEST
AFTERNOON HEATING SHOULD STILL ALLOW FOR ISOLATED DAILY SHOWERS,
ESPECIALLY DURING THE AFTERNOON ALONG THE SEA BREEZE, WITH A
THUNDERSTORM OR TWO AS WELL. HIGHS ARE FORECASTED TO REACH THE
UPPER 80S TO MID 90S (31-36 CELSIUS) WITH LOWS IN THE 70S TO LOWER
80S (21-27 CELSIUS). EVEN WITH MIXING, AFTERNOON DEWPOINTS ARE
STILL ANTICIPATED TO REMAIN IN THE 70S (20-26 CELSIUS) EACH DAY,
RESULTING IN VERY HUMID WEATHER. MAX HEAT INDICIES ARE FORECASTED
TO REACH 97-107 DEGREES (36-42 CELSIUS) DURING THE AFTERNOON. WBGT
HEAT STRESS IS FORECASTED TO BE HIGH WITH EACH DAY AS WELL.
SENSITIVE GROUPS OR THOSE NOT ACCLIMATED TO THE SUMMER LIKE
WEATHER OF HOUSTON WILL BE AT A GREATER RISK OF EXPERIENCING HEAT
ILLNESS. CANNOT RULE OUT THE POTENTIAL FOR HEAT ADVISORIES,
ESPECIALLY THIS WEEKEND. IF YOU PLAN TO SPEND TIME OUTDOORS, MAKE
SURE TO DRINK PLENTY OF WATER TO STAY HYDRATED. IF YOU PLAN ON
HEADING TO THE BEACH TO BEAT THIS HEAT, MAKE SURE TO WATCH OUT FOR
RIP CURRENTS!
WE SHOULD SEE THE WEATHER PATTERN CHANGE HEADING INTO NEXT WEEK,
AS A MID/UPPER LEVEL TROUGH DIGS INTO THE PLAINS. THIS FEATURE
SHOULD SHOVE THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE FURTHER SOUTH, LOWERING HEIGHTS
OVER SE TEXAS. IN ADDITION, THIS FEATURE IS ALSO PROGGED TO PUSH
A COLD FRONT TOWARDS SE TEXAS. MODEL GUIDANCE HAS THIS COLD FRONT
REACHING THE BRAZOS VALLEY EARLY TUESDAY MORNING. SCATTERED
SHOWERS/STORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE AS THE FRONT PUSHES SOUTHWARD
TOWARDS THE COAST. AS WE HEAD DEEPER INTO SUMMER, THE POSSIBILITY
OF FRONTS REACHING/PUSHING THROUGH SE TEXAS GENERALLY DECLINES,
THUS THERE IS STILL POTENTIAL TO SEE SOME CHANGES IN THE FRONTS
POSITIONING THESE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS. REGARDLESS, DECLINING
TEMPERATURES/HEAT STRESS AND RISING RAIN CHANCES ARE ANTICIPATED
FOR THE FIRST HALF OF NEXT WEEK.
03
AVIATION
(00Z TAF ISSUANCE)
ISSUED AT 557 PM CDT TUE JUN 9 2026
VFR CONDITIONS CURRENTLY ACROSS ALL SE TX THIS EVENING ALONG WITH
SE WINDS AT AROUND 10 KTS WITH A FEW SEEING HIGHER GUSTS BETWEEN
15-20 KTS. FOR TONIGHT, WINDS WILL GRADUALLY RELAX TO AROUND 5 KTS
AND MVFR CIGS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP AND CONTINUE THROUGH EARLY
WED. SOME SITES COULD ONCE AGAIN SEE PATCHY FOG DURING THE
OVERNIGHT TO EARLY MORNING HOURS, BURNING OFF SHORTLY AFTER
SUNRISE. CIGS WILL GRADUALLY LIFT AFTER 15Z AND WINDS WILL
STRENGTHEN TO 08-12 KTS. WE COULD SEE SOME STREAMER SHOWERS FROM
THE GULF WATERS MOVING INTO AREAS NEAR AND SOUTH OF I-10 DURING
THE MORNING, FOLLOWED BY ISO-SCT SHOWERS AND ISO THUNDERSTORMS
DURING THE AFTERNOON HOURS. CHANCE FOR RAIN WILL DECREASE WED
EVENING. WINDS WILL RELAX AGAIN WED NIGHT.
COTTO
MARINE
ISSUED AT 1101 PM CDT TUE JUN 9 2026
LIGHT TO OCCASIONALLY MODERATE ONSHORE WINDS ARE EXPECTED THROUGHOUT
THE REST OF THE WORK WEEK WITH SEAS OF 2 TO 5 FEET. CAUTION FLAGS
MAY BE WARRANTED AT TIMES, ESPECIALLY THIS WEEKEND AS SEAS NEAR 6 TO
7 FEET OFFSHORE. ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE
EACH DAY WITH RAIN CHANCES RISING OVER THE WEEKEND INTO EARLY NEXT
WEEK. THERE WILL ALSO BE A MODERATE TO HIGH RISK OF RIP CURRENTS
ACROSS GULF FACING BEACHES THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK.
03
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
COLLEGE STATION (CLL) 92 76 91 76 / 10 10 20 10
HOUSTON (IAH) 91 78 91 78 / 20 10 20 10
GALVESTON (GLS) 87 82 88 82 / 10 20 20 10
HGX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
TX...NONE.
GM...NONE.
DISCUSSION...03
AVIATION...COTTO
MARINE...03
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