699
FXUS64 KHGX 101138
AFDHGX
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON/GALVESTON TX
638 AM CDT SAT OCT 10 2026
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
- HAZARDOUS MARINE CONDITIONS (WINDS/SEAS) ARE EXPECTED THROUGH
EARLY SATURDAY, WITH ELEVATED RISK OF RIP CURRENTS AND MINOR
COASTAL FLOODING CONTINUING THROUGH SATURDAY EVENING.
- LOWER HUMIDITY THROUGH SATURDAY, RESULTING IN SEASONABLE
OVERNIGHT LOWS BUT ABOVE NORMAL DAYTIME HIGHS.
- GRADUAL WARMING TREND INTO NEXT WEEK WITH ISOLATED RAIN CHANCES
DAILY.
- COLD FRONT ON THE HORIZON... GENERALLY AROUND FRIDAY-SATURDAY.
COOLER FALL TEMPS AND HIGHER RAIN CHANCES POSSIBLE.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 1121 PM CDT FRI OCT 9 2026
WEATHER WILL, FOR THE MOST PART, REMAIN BENIGN THROUGH THE WEEK
WITH HIGHS IN THE LOW 90S AND LOWS IN THE 60S TO LOW 70S. ONSHORE
WINDS WILL BEGIN PULLING IN MOISTURE SATURDAY THROUGH THE END OF
THE WEEK. WHILE SE TEXAS WILL REMAIN UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF A MID-
UPPER LEVEL RIDGE, SOME SHOWERS COULD DEVELOP ALONG THE SEA
BREEZE EACH AFTERNOON AS IT MOVES INLAND.
BEYOND DAY 7, MODELS CONTINUE TO SHOW A COLD FRONT SWEEPING
THROUGH SE TEXAS WITH COOLER TEMPERATURES ON THE HORIZON. WHILE
STILL PRETTY FAR OFF IN THE FORECAST, GENERAL TIMING APPEARS TO BE
NEXT WEEKEND.
BAILEY
AVIATION
(12Z TAF ISSUANCE)
ISSUED AT 634 AM CDT SAT OCT 10 2026
VFR CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE TO PREVAIL. LIGHT WINDS WILL VEER
SOUTHEAST TODAY. INLAND WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO PEAK AROUND 10
KNOTS, WITH NEAR 15 KNOTS POSSIBLE NEAR THE COAST. WINDS BECOME
LIGHT AND VARIABLE AGAIN OVERNIGHT, THOUGH SOME AREAS COULD
SUSTAIN A LIGHT S TO SE PREVAILING WIND.
MARINE
ISSUED AT 1121 PM CDT FRI OCT 9 2026
WAVE HEIGHTS COULD STILL REACH 6-8 FT AT TIMES THROUGH TONIGHT,
PUSHING 9 FT IN THE LIGHTERING AREA. SMALL CRAFT ADVISORIES REMAIN
IN EFFECT THROUGH 7 AM SATURDAY. AN INCREASED RISK FOR RIP
CURRENTS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH SATURDAY EVENING. CONDITIONS
IMPROVE INTO SATURDAY WITH WINDS VEERING SOUTHEASTERLY IN THE
AFTERNOON, THEN INCREASING SLIGHTLY INTO SUNDAY. SHOWERS AND
STORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE ALMOST DAILY WITH HIGHER RAIN CHANCES
EXPECTED NEXT WEEK.
BAILEY
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
COLLEGE STATION (CLL) 93 66 93 69 / 0 0 0 0
HOUSTON (IAH) 91 69 92 72 / 0 0 0 0
GALVESTON (GLS) 84 78 85 80 / 0 0 0 0
HGX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
TX...HIGH RIP CURRENT RISK THROUGH THIS EVENING FOR TXZ436>439.
GM...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 7 AM CDT THIS MORNING FOR GMZ350-355-
370-375.
DISCUSSION...BAILEY
AVIATION...SELF
MARINE...BAILEY
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