888  
FNUS73 KICT 042234  
FWSICT  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR TPNP APRIL 5 PRESCRIBED BURN...THE NATURE CONSERVANCY  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS  
534 PM CDT THU APR 4 2024  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0000 CDT ON APRIL 05.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
 
PLEASE CONTACT US VIA NWS CHAT, 800MHZ RADIO OR PHONE IF YOU HAVE  
QUESTIONS OR CONCERNS WITH THIS FORECAST,  
   
DISCUSSION
 
 
CLEAR SKIES WITH NORTHERLY WINDS EXPECTED TO DIMINISH AFTER  
SUNSET. WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BE CLOSE TO CALM AFTER 9PM TONIGHT  
WITH COOL, BELOW NORMAL TEMPERATURES.  
   
FRIDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (10-20 PERCENT). AREAS OF FROST EARLY IN  
THE MORNING, THEN WIDESPREAD FROST EARLY IN THE  
MORNING. PATCHY FROST EARLY IN THE MORNING.  
CWR.................0 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 69.  
MIN HUMIDITY........25 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 13 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 24 MPH  
LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......3400 FT AGL.  
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHEAST 10 TO 17 MPH INCREASING TO AROUND 20  
MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
HAINES INDEX........4 TO 5 OR LOW TO MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE  
PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.  
 
TIME (CDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........2 3 11 19 27 20 13 6 9 11 14 22  
WEATHER COV.....AREAS WID PTY WEATHER TYPE....FST FST FST TSTM  
COV........ CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............35 33 37 44 53 59 63 64 66 67 68 67  
RH..............72 76 73 61 43 33 28 26 25 26 25 28 20 FT WIND  
DIR..E E E SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE 20 FT WIND SPD..5 5 5 6 7 8  
8 9 11 12 13 12 20 FT WIND GUST. 10 10 12 16 18 19 18 MIX HGT  
(KFT)...0.4 0.4 0.4 0.9 1.1 1.8 2.5 2.9 3.1 3.3 3.4 3.4 MIXING  
WIND DIR.SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE MIXING WIND SPD.10 12  
12 13 13 13 12 13 14 16 17 20 HAINES INDEX....5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 4  
4 4  
   
FRIDAY NIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (15-25 PERCENT).  
CWR.................0 PERCENT.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 41.  
MAX HUMIDITY........89 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 8 TO 12 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL.  
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHEAST 18 TO 21 MPH.  
HAINES INDEX........4 TO 5 OR LOW TO MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE  
PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.  
 
TIME (CDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM  
SKY (%).........29 37 32 28 23 16 8 1 1 2 2 4  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............65 62 56 53 51 49 48 46 45 44 44 42  
RH..............30 35 47 55 61 65 67 72 76 79 82 89  
20 FT WIND DIR..SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE  
20 FT WIND SPD..11 9 8 9 10 11 12 12 12 12 12 11  
20 FT WIND GUST.16 12 10 13 14 16 17 18 18 18 18 16  
MIX HGT (KFT)...3.4 1.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5  
MIXING WIND DIR.SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE  
MIXING WIND SPD.21 18 18 20 21 21 21 21 21 21 21 20  
HAINES INDEX....4 4 4 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5  
   
SATURDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (25-35 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN  
SHOWERS IN THE AFTERNOON. SLIGHT CHANCE OF  
THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
CWR.................0 PERCENT INCREASING TO 50 PERCENT IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 75.  
MIN HUMIDITY........33 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........BREEZY. SOUTHEAST WINDS 11 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS  
TO AROUND 30 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH 22 TO 26  
MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 39 MPH IN THE  
AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED  
NEAR THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......4500 FT AGL.  
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHEAST 20 TO 26 MPH INCREASING TO SOUTH 38  
TO 41 MPH.  
HAINES INDEX........4 TO 6 OR LOW TO HIGH POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME  
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.  
 
TIME (CDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........5 5 6 6 6 11 17 22 34 46 59 59  
WEATHER COV..... CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC  
WEATHER TYPE.... RW RW RW RW RW  
TSTM COV........ SCH SCH  
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 50 50 50 50 50  
TEMP............41 43 48 55 62 67 72 75 75 74 72 69  
RH..............95 91 82 68 55 45 37 33 33 36 41 46  
20 FT WIND DIR..SE SE SE SE SE SE S S S S S S  
20 FT WIND SPD..11 11 13 16 17 20 22 24 25 26 26 26  
20 FT WIND GUST.16 18 21 25 28 30 33 35 38 38 39 38  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.5 0.6 1.0 1.5 2.0 2.8 3.6 4.4 4.4 4.5 4.5 3.7  
MIXING WIND DIR.SE SE SE SE S S S S S S S S  
MIXING WIND SPD.20 20 22 26 30 33 37 39 40 41 40 38  
HAINES INDEX....5 5 5 6 6 6 5 5 5 4 4 4  
 

 
FORECASTER...METZGER  
REQUESTED BY...TONY CAPIZZO  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 2409515.0/ICT  
.DELDT 04/04/24  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL ACAPIZZO@TNC.ORG  
 
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