656  
FNUS73 KICT 061606  
FWSICT  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR LCC FIRE SCHOOL LIVE BURN...KANSAS FOREST SERVICE  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS  
1106 AM CDT SAT APR 6 2024  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1700 CDT ON APRIL 06.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
 
PLEASE CONTACT US VIA NWS CHAT, 800MHZ RADIO OR PHONE IF YOU HAVE  
QUESTIONS OR CONCERNS WITH THIS FORECAST,  
   
..WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM CDT THIS EVENING
 
 
   
DISCUSSION
 
 
GUSTY SOUTHEAST WINDS TODAY WITH SPEEDS 25 TO 30 MPH LIKELY WITH  
GUSTS AROUND 40 MPH. WINDS WILL DECREASE SLIGHTLY TOWARD SUNSET.  
LINE OF SHOWERS AND STORMS WILL MOVE THROUGH THE AREA IN THE 6 PM  
TO 9 PM TIMEFRAME. THEY WILL BE MOVING VERY QUICKLY EAST WITH  
HEAVY RAIN NOT EXPECTED.  
   
REST OF TODAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (25-35 PERCENT).  
CWR.................0 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 75.  
MIN HUMIDITY........39 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........BREEZY. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 25 MPH WITH GUSTS TO  
AROUND 34 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......5200 FT AGL.  
MIXING WINDS........SOUTH AROUND 40 MPH.  
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED  
FIRE GROWTH.  
 
TIME (CDT) 12P  
SKY (%).........28  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CWR.............0  
TEMP............74  
RH..............39  
20 FT WIND DIR..S  
20 FT WIND SPD..25  
20 FT WIND GUST.34  
MIX HGT (KFT)...5.2  
MIXING WIND DIR.S  
MIXING WIND SPD.40  
HAINES INDEX....4  
   
TONIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING  
MOSTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING  
PARTLY CLOUDY (25-35 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING  
CLEAR (0-10 PERCENT). RAIN SHOWERS AND CHANCE  
OF THUNDERSTORMS.  
CWR.................10 PERCENT INCREASING TO 70 PERCENT EARLY IN  
THE EVENING, THEN INCREASING TO 80 PERCENT LATE  
IN THE EVENING DECREASING TO 20 PERCENT  
OVERNIGHT DECREASING TO 0 PERCENT.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 48.  
MAX HUMIDITY........90 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........BREEZY. SOUTH WINDS 17 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS TO  
AROUND 33 MPH DECREASING TO AROUND 14 MPH WITH  
GUSTS TO AROUND 21 MPH OVERNIGHT. GUSTY AND  
ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN  
THE EVENING. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED  
NEAR THUNDERSTORMS OVERNIGHT.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL.  
MIXING WINDS........SOUTH 24 TO 33 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST 20  
TO 21 MPH OVERNIGHT.  
HAINES INDEX........4 TO 6 OR LOW TO HIGH POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME  
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.  
 
TIME (CDT) 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID  
SKY (%).........39 42 58 72 58 65 47 35 22 15 10 5  
WEATHER COV..... LKY LKY LKY DEF DEF DEF SCH SCH SCH  
WEATHER TYPE.... RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW  
TSTM COV........ CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC SCH SCH SCH  
CWR.............10 70 70 70 80 80 80 20 20 20 0 0  
TEMP............72 70 67 65 62 61 59 58 57 56 53 51  
RH..............44 49 55 68 78 84 86 87 90 86 87 80  
20 FT WIND DIR..S S S S S S S S S S S S  
20 FT WIND SPD..25 22 21 21 21 20 17 14 14 14 14 14  
20 FT WIND GUST.33 30 29 29 29 26 23 21 20 21 21 21  
MIX HGT (KFT)...2.8 1.0 1.0 1.0 0.8 0.7 0.6 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5  
MIXING WIND DIR.S S S S S S S S SW SW SW SW  
MIXING WIND SPD.33 28 26 28 28 28 24 21 20 20 20 20  
HAINES INDEX....4 4 4 4 4 5 5 6 6 6 6 6  
   
SUNDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (0-10 PERCENT).  
CWR.................0 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 71.  
MIN HUMIDITY........24 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 14 TO 17 MPH WITH GUSTS TO  
AROUND 26 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......7900 FT AGL.  
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST 20 TO 29 MPH INCREASING TO 26 TO 31  
MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
HAINES INDEX........5 TO 6 OR MODERATE TO HIGH POTENTIAL FOR LARGE  
PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.  
 
TIME (CDT) 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P  
SKY (%).........4 3 3 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............50 48 49 52 57 61 64 67 69 70 71 71  
RH..............73 66 60 53 43 36 31 27 25 24 24 25  
20 FT WIND DIR..SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW  
20 FT WIND SPD..15 14 14 15 16 16 15 15 16 17 17 16  
20 FT WIND GUST.22 21 21 22 22 22 22 24 24 26 26 24  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.6 0.6 0.9 1.3 1.7 3.3 5.0 6.6 7.1 7.5 7.9 5.5  
MIXING WIND DIR.SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW  
MIXING WIND SPD.20 21 22 24 25 26 28 29 30 31 30 26  
HAINES INDEX....6 6 6 6 6 6 5 5 5 6 6 6  
 

 
FORECASTER...LAWSON  
REQUESTED BY...JEFF LAWLER  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 2409556.0/ICT  
.DELDT 04/06/24  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL JLAWLER@KSU.EDU  
 
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