401
FXUS63 KICT 191728
AFDICT
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
1128 AM CST TUE NOV 19 2024
KEY MESSAGES
- DRY FORECAST FOR THE NEXT 7 DAYS
- BELOW NORMAL TEMPERATURES FOR THE SECOND HALF OF THE WEEK
- WARMING TREND INTO THE WEEKEND
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 300 AM CST TUE NOV 19 2024
AS OF 3 AM, MUCH QUIETER CONDITIONS HAVE SETTLED INTO THE REGION
WITH THE MIDLEVEL TROUGH, RESPONSIBLE FOR YESTERDAY'S SHOWERS,
NOW ACROSS SOUTHERN MN. MODEST COLD AIR ADVECTION WILL BOTTOM
TEMPERATURES OUT IN THE UPPER 30S ACROSS CENTRAL KS TO THE MID
40S ACROSS SOUTHEAST KS. A RESIDUAL SURFACE PRESSURE GRADIENT
BEHIND YESTERDAY'S STORM SYSTEM WILL CONTRIBUTE TO NORTHWEST
WIND GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH. CLOUD COVER WILL ONCE AGAIN BE ON THE
INCREASE THIS AFTERNOON AS A SECONDARY MIDLEVEL TROUGH SLIDES
ACROSS THE CENTRAL PLAINS. YESTERDAY'S FRONTAL PASSAGE SWEPT THE
MOIST AIRMASS WELL-SOUTH OF THE FORECAST AREA. DESPITE THE
SUFFICIENT FORCING FOR ASCENT, THE LIMITED AVAILABLE MOISTURE
SHOULD KEEP MOST OF THE, IF NOT THE ENTIRE, FORECAST AREA DRY
THIS AFTERNOON. AFTERNOON TEMPERATURES WILL RANGE FROM THE UPPER
40S ACROSS CENTRAL KS TO THE LOW 60S IN SOUTHEAST KS.
FOR WEDNESDAY AND BEYOND, A GRADUAL INCREASE OF MIDLEVEL HEIGHTS
IS EXPECTED WITH SHORTWAVE RIDGING BUILDING ACROSS THE CENTRAL
PLAINS. TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN NEAR TO SLIGHTLY BELOW NORMAL
THROUGH WEEKS END WITH HIGHS GENERALLY IN THE LOW TO MID 50S.
MORNING LOWS TONIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING WILL BOTTOM OUT NEAR
30 EACH MORNING. TEMPERATURES WILL INCREASE THIS WEEKEND AS THE
RIDGE AXIS SLIDES ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA. HIGH TEMPERATURES
WILL RETURN TO THE MID TO UPPER 50S SATURDAY AND SUNDAY. ON THE
HEELS OF THE MIDLEVEL RIDGE AXIS IS PROGGED TO BE A SHORTWAVE
TROUGH LIFTING ACROSS THE NORTHERN PLAINS. THIS SHORTWAVE TROUGH
WILL SHUNT A COLD FRONT THROUGH THE FORECAST AREA LATE SUNDAY
WITH HIGHS REACHING THE UPPER 40S TO LOW 50S MONDAY AFTERNOON. A
PROLONGED PERIOD OF ZONAL FLOW APPEARS POSSIBLE NEXT WEEK WHICH
MAY YIELD MULTIPLE CHANCES FOR PRECIPITATION.
AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z WEDNESDAY/
ISSUED AT 1125 AM CST TUE NOV 19 2024
MID LEVEL CLOUDS WILL STREAM ACROSS CENTRAL KANSAS THROUGH THIS
AFTERNOON. OTHERWISE NORTHWEST WINDS WILL DIMINISH AROUND SUNSET
WITH VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED FOR ALL TAF SITES OVER
CENTRAL/SOUTHERN KANSAS FOR THE NEXT 24HRS. NORTHWEST WINDS WILL
INCREASE AGAIN DURING THE LATE MORNING HOURS ACROSS CENTRAL AND
SOUTH CENTRAL KANSAS.
ICT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
DISCUSSION...BRF
AVIATION...CDJ
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