114
FXUS63 KICT 171149
AFDICT
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
549 AM CST TUE DEC 17 2024
KEY MESSAGES
- DRY WEATHER THE NEXT 7 DAYS.
- TEMPERATURE ROLLERCOASTER OVER THE UPCOMING WEEK.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 324 AM CST TUE DEC 17 2024
A PROGRESSIVE WESTERLY FLOW REGIME CONTINUES ACROSS THE AREA WITH
ANOTHER CLIPPER SYSTEM MOVING OVER THE NORTHERN PLAINS TODAY. THIS
WILL DRIVE A COLD FRONT SOUTH OVER THE AREA LATE TODAY AND TONIGHT.
AHEAD OF THIS FRONTAL BOUNDARY, BREEZY SOUTHERLY WINDS WILL DEVELOP
AND ADVECT LOW LEVEL MOISTURE INTO SOUTHEAST KS WHERE STRATUS WILL
BE COMMON AS WE MOVE INTO THE AFTERNOON HOURS, ESPECIALLY EAST OF
THE FLINT HILLS. MILD TEMPERATURES ARE ANTICIPATED WITH HIGHS IN THE
MID AND UPPER 50S.
MORE SEASONABLE TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE AREA ON
WEDNESDAY AS HIGH PRESSURE SETTLES OVER THE AREA BRINGING LIGHT
WINDS AS WE MOVE THROUGH THE DAY. AFTERNOON HIGHS ARE EXPECTED TO TOP
OUT IN THE LOW TO MID 40S FOR MOST AREAS.
THU-FRI...BREEZY SOUTHERLY WINDS WILL RETURN ON THURSDAY BEFORE
ANOTHER PROGRESSIVE CLIPPER SYSTEM DIGS OVER THE NORTHERN PLAINS
DRIVING ANOTHER COLD FRONT OVER THE AREA LATE IN THE PERIOD. PRIOR
TO THE FROPA, ANOTHER MILD DAY IS EXPECTED WITH HIGHS CLIMBING INTO
THE 50S. THE FRONT WILL USHER IN MORE SEASONABLE AIR AGAIN ON FRIDAY
WITH HIGHS STRUGGLING TO CLIMB OUT OF THE 30S FOR SOME AREAS.
SAT-MON...RISING HEIGHTS/INCREASING THICKNESS WILL SUPPORT
MODERATING TEMPERATURES THROUGH THE PERIOD WITH HIGHS CLIMBING INTO
THE 50S BY EARLY NEXT WEEK. WE COULD SEE A STORM SYSTEM IMPACT THE
AREA BY EARLY NEXT WEEK BUT BETTER CHANCES FOR WETTING RAINS MAY
REMAIN EAST OF THE AREA.
AVIATION /12Z TAFS THROUGH 12Z WEDNESDAY/
ISSUED AT 540 AM CST TUE DEC 17 2024
VFR WILL PREVAIL THROUGH THE MORNING HOURS BEFORE WE SEE MVFR
STRATUS BUILD INTO PARTS OF SOUTHEAST KANSAS. MVFR CIGS MAY
LINGER INTO THE OVERNIGHT HOURS BEFORE GRADUALLY MIXING OUT. SOUTHERLY
WINDS WILL INCREASE BY MID-MORNING WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 KTS,
ESPECIALLY ACROSS CENTRAL KS. A COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH THIS
AFTERNOON AND EVENING WITH VEERING WINDS EXPECTED. NORTHWEST
WINDS MAY GUST OVER 30 KTS DURING THE EVENING HOURS.
ICT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
DISCUSSION...MWM
AVIATION...MWM
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