192
FXUS63 KICT 182055
AFDICT
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
255 PM CST WED DEC 18 2024
KEY MESSAGES
- FOG IS POSSIBLE OVER SOUTHEAST KANSAS FOR LATE TONIGHT INTO
THURSDAY MORNING
- COLDER ON FRIDAY FOLLOWED BY A WARMING TREND THROUGH MIDDLE OF
NEXT WEEK
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 239 PM CST WED DEC 18 2024
SOME RADIATIONAL FOG COULD TRY TO DEVELOP LATE TONIGHT/THURSDAY
MORNING ACROSS PARTS OF SOUTHEAST KANSAS WHERE RESIDUAL LOW LEVEL
MOISTURE IS BEING PRESERVED BY SLOW ERODING LOW CLOUDS. WARMER AIR
WILL RETURN TO THE REGION ON THURSDAY.
OTHERWISE A FAIRLY QUIET AND MOSTLY DRY WEATHER PATTERN IS EXPECTED
FOR KANSAS OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS. A FLEET-FOOTED UPPER LEVEL
SYSTEM WILL MOVE ACROSS THE NORTHERN PLAINS FOR TONIGHT THROUGH
THURSDAY. THIS WILL CAUSE A POLAR AIRMASS TO SPREAD SOUTHWARD ACROSS
THE HEARTLAND THURSDAY NIGHT INTO FRIDAY IN THE WAKE OF THIS SYSTEM.
BELOW NORMAL DAYTIME HIGHS ARE EXPECTED FOR KANSAS ON FRIDAY
FOLLOWED BY A WARMER TEMPERATURES AS UPPER RIDGING QUICKLY BUILDS
OVER THE REGION FOR THE WEEKEND. MODELS SHOW NEXT UPPER LEVEL WAVE
MOVING ACROSS THE REGION ON MONDAY-TUESDAY WHICH LOOKS TO BRING
MOISTURE NORTHWARD ACROSS TEXAS AND OKLAHOMA. A FEW MODELS ARE
SHOWING THIS MOISTURE MAKING IT FAR ENOUGH TO THE NORTH TO GENERATE
SOME POSSIBLE RAIN SHOWERS MONDAY NIGHT-TUESDAY ACROSS SOUTHEAST
KANSAS. WARM ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR
SUNDAY THROUGH MID WEEK.
AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z THURSDAY/
ISSUED AT 1134 AM CST WED DEC 18 2024
LOW MVFR TO HIGH IFR CLOUDS WILL GRADUALLY DISSIPATE FROM WEST
TO EAST THIS AFTERNOON ACROSS CENTRAL, SOUTH-CENTRAL, AND
SOUTHEAST KANSAS, AS HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS IN FROM THE NORTHWEST.
OTHERWISE, SOUTH-SOUTHWESTERLY LOW-LEVEL FLOW WILL BE ON THE
INCREASE OVERNIGHT, AS LOW PRESSURE DEEPENS OVER THE HIGH
PLAINS. A STRENGTHENING SOUTHWESTERLY LOW-LEVEL JET WILL SUPPORT
LOW-LEVEL WIND SHEAR WITHIN THE LOWEST 1500 FT AGL ACROSS
CENTRAL KANSAS OVERNIGHT. FURTHERMORE, THERE ARE SOME HINTS FOR
REDUCED VISIBILITIES IN FOG/BR FROM THE FLINT HILLS ON EAST
LATER TONIGHT INTO THURSDAY MORNING, BUT CONFIDENCE IS LOW SO
LEFT OUT OF THE 18Z ROUTINE TAFS.
ICT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
DISCUSSION...CDJ
AVIATION...ADK
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