535  
FXUS63 KICT 191127  
AFDICT  
 
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS  
527 AM CST THU DEC 19 2024  
   
KEY MESSAGES  
 
- PATCHY FOG IN SOUTHEAST KS THIS MORNING.  
 
- COLD ON FRIDAY FOLLOWED BY A WARMING TREND THROUGH MIDDLE OF  
NEXT WEEK.  
 
 
   
DISCUSSION  
 
ISSUED AT 319 AM CST THU DEC 19 2024  
 
A CLIPPER SYSTEM WAS RACING SOUTHEAST OVER THE NORTHERN PLAINS EARLY  
THIS MORNING. THIS WILL HELP DRIVE A COLD FRONT SOUTHWARD OVER THE  
CENTRAL PLAINS TONIGHT. MEANWHILE, PATCHY FOG HAS DEVELOPED  
OVER PARTS OF SOUTHEAST KS AND THIS ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO MID  
OUT EARLY IN THE PERIOD TODAY. THE STRONGEST H85 COLD AIR  
ADVECTION IS PROGGED TO REMAIN NORTH AND EAST OF OUR AREA  
TONIGHT AND FRIDAY BUT WE STILL EXPECT A PRETTY DECENT SHOT OF  
COLD AIR. HIGHS ON FRIDAY ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN IN THE MID AND  
UPPER 30S FOR MOST AREAS WHICH IS BELOW NORMAL FOR LATE DEC.  
 
SAT-SUN...A MID/UPPER RIDGE WILL IMPACT THE AREA ALLOWING  
TEMPERATURES TO MODERATE AS WE MOVE THROUGH THE WEEKEND WITH  
HIGHS ON SUNDAY RETURNING TO THE 50S. DRY WEATHER IS EXPECTED TO  
PREVAIL THIS WEEKEND.  
 
AS WE MOVE INTO NEXT WEEK, WE EXPECT TO SEE A CONTINUATION OF ABOVE  
NORMAL TEMPERATURES ACROSS THE AREA. ANOTHER PROGRESSIVE SHORTWAVE  
TROUGH MOVING OVER THE NORTHERN PLAINS EARLY IN THE WEEK WILL BRING  
A CHANCE OF LIGHT RAIN TO PARTS OF SOUTHEAST KS ON MON-MON NIGHT BUT  
TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN WELL ABOVE FREEZING.  
 
ANOTHER SHORTWAVE TROUGH IS PROGGED TO EMERGE FROM THE ROCKIES ON  
LATE ON CHRISTMAS BRINGING ANOTHER CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION TO THE  
AREA. WE CONTINUE TO SEE A WIDE RANGE OF SOLUTIONS IN THE PATH OF  
THIS SYSTEM LEADING TO LOW CONFIDENCE IN THE DETAILS AT THIS  
TIME.  
 
 
   
AVIATION /12Z TAFS THROUGH 12Z FRIDAY/  
 
ISSUED AT 524 AM CST THU DEC 19 2024  
 
SOME PATCHY FOG MAY IMPACT LOW-LYING AREAS OF SOUTHEAST KANSAS  
EARLY THIS MORNING BUT VFR IS ANTICIPATED AT KCNU. LIGHT SOUTH  
TO SOUTHWEST WINDS EARLY TODAY WILL GRADUALLY VEER TO THE  
SOUTHWEST AND WEST AHEAD OF AN APPROACHING COLD FRONT. THE FRONT  
WILL ARRIVE THIS EVENING AND TONIGHT SHITING WINDS TO THE  
NORTHWEST. VFR IS ANTICIPATED THROUGH THE 24-HR PERIOD.  
 
 
   
ICT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES  
 
NONE.  
 
 
 
 
 
DISCUSSION...MWM  
AVIATION...MWM  
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