680
FXUS63 KICT 181741
AFDICT
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
1141 AM CST SAT JAN 18 2025
..UPDATED AVIATION DISCUSSION
KEY MESSAGES
- MUCH COLDER AIR WILL REMAIN IN PLACE THROUGH TUESDAY. THE
LOWEST WIND CHILLS EXPECTED TUESDAY MORNING.
- INCREASING CHANCES FOR SNOW ON MONDAY.
- MODERATING TEMPERATURES BY THE MIDDLE OF THE WEEK.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 226 AM CST SAT JAN 18 2025
LOW LEVEL COLD AIR ADVECTION IS PROGGED TO PERSIST TODAY THROUGH
SUNDAY WITH ANOTHER REINFORCING SHOT OF COLD AIR ON MONDAY INTO
EARLY TUESDAY. LIGHT SNOW IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN WEST OF THE AREA
TODAY BUT A FEW SNOW FLURRIES MAY DRIFT INTO PARTS OF CENTRAL AND
SOUTHERN KANSAS THIS AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING. NO ACCUMULATION IS
EXPECTED WITH ANY OF THE SNOW FLURRY ACTIVITY. HIGH TEMPERATURES
TODAY MAY REMAIN STEADY OR FALL IN SOME AREAS WITH STRONG H85 COLD
AIR ADVECTION PROGGED THROUGH THE DAY. WITH CONTINUED LOW LEVEL COLD
AIR ADVECTION OVER THE CENTRAL CONUS TONIGHT WE EXPECT LOW
TEMPERATURES TO FALL INTO THE SINGLE DIGITS. EVEN WITH LIGHT WINDS
SPEEDS AT 10 MPH OR LESS, WIND CHILL VALUES WILL FALL INTO THE ZERO
TO 9 BELOW RANGE.
LIGHT NORTH TO NORTHEAST WINDS WILL PREVAIL OVER THE AREA ON SUNDAY
AS THE SFC RIDGE MOVES INTO EASTERN KANSAS. WE EXPECT SOME BREAKS IN
THE CLOUDS BUT BELOW AVERAGE TEMPERATURES WILL PREVAIL WITH HIGHS
STRUGGLING TO CLIMB OUT OF THE TEENS AND LOW 20S.
MON...PROBABILITIES FOR SNOW ARE INCREASING ACROSS MUCH OF THE AREA
ON MONDAY. A PERIOD OF ACCUMULATING SNOW IS ANTICIPATED AS A
FRONTOGENETICAL BAND OF SNOW IMPACTS MUCH OF THE REGION. GOOD LIFT
THROUGH THE DENDRITIC SNOW GROWTH ZONE IS PROGGED WITH HIGH SLRS AND
A PERIOD OF LOW STATIC STABILITY LEADING TO A PERIOD OF EFFICIENT
SNOWFALL PRODUCTION DURING THE DAY ON MONDAY.
TUE-FRI...THE SFC RIDGE AXIS IS PROGGED TO MOVE SOUTHEAST OF THE
AREA ON TUE ALLOWING BREEZY SOUTHERLY WINDS TO RETURN. THIS WILL
ALLOW TEMPERATURES TO BEGIN TO MODERATE ACROSS THE AREA. ANOTHER
CLIPPER SYSTEM IS PROGGED TO MOVE OVER THE NORTHERN PLAINS ON
WEDNESDAY KEEPING SEASONABLY COOL TEMPERATURES IN PLACE ACROSS THE
CENTRAL PLAINS INTO THURSDAY. A MORE SUBSTANTIAL WARMUP MAY ARRIVE
TOWARD THE END OF THE WEEK WITH RISING HEIGHTS/INCREASING THICKNESS
SUPPORTING RISING TEMPERATURES ACROSS THE CENTRAL PLAINS.
AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z SUNDAY/
ISSUED AT 1137 AM CST SAT JAN 18 2025
CURRENTLY, MVFR CIGS HAVE CONTINUED TO LINGER ALONG THE I-70
CORRIDOR LATE THIS MORNING, BUT THESE LOWER CLOUDS SHOULD BEGIN
TO DISSIPATE BY THIS AFTERNOON GIVING WAY VFR CONDITIONS AFTER
21Z. MEANWHILE, NORTHERLY WINDS AROUND 15 TO 20 KNOTS WITH GUSTS
AROUND 25 TO 35 KNOTS SHOULD CONTINUE THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF
THE AFTERNOON HOURS. AFTER 00Z, WINDS SHOULD DECREASE TO AROUND
10 KNOTS, BUT WILL REMAIN OUT OF THE NORTH. A FEW FLURRIES ARE
POSSIBLE ACROSS PORTIONS OF CENTRAL AND SOUTH-CENTRAL KANSAS
THIS AFTERNOON, BUT CHANCES OF THIS SHOULD COME TO AN END OVER
THE NEXT FEW HOURS.
ICT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
DISCUSSION...MWM
AVIATION...JC
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