339
FXUS63 KICT 182020
AFDICT
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
220 PM CST SAT JAN 18 2025
KEY MESSAGES
- VERY COLD AIRMASS REMAINS IN PLACE INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK.
- CHANCE FOR LIGHT SNOW/FLURRIES ON MONDAY
- TEMPERATURES REBOUNDING TOWARD NORMAL BY THE END OF THE WEEK.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 210 PM CST SAT JAN 18 2025
HIGH PRESSURE CONTINUES TO BUILD INTO THE REGION BEHIND THE COLD
FRONT THAT PASSED THROUGH THE AREA YESTERDAY. STOUT NORTH-
NORTHWESTERLY WINDS WILL CONTINUE INTO TONIGHT WITH WINDS BETWEEN 15-
20 MPH THIS AFTERNOON AND GUSTS TO 25-30 MPH. WINDS WILL DECREASE
SLIGHTLY OVERNIGHT AND DECREASE FURTHER ON SUNDAY AS THE PRESSURE
GRADIENT BEGINS TO RELAX. OVERNIGHT LOWS TONIGHT WILL TUMBLE INTO
THE SINGLE DIGITS ACROSS CENTRAL KS WITH TEMPERATURES INTO THE LOW
TEENS FOR SOUTH-CENTRAL AND SOUTHEASTERN KS. WITH HIGH PRESSURE
SOLIDLY OVERHEAD ON SUNDAY, SOME CLEARING IS EXPECTED, BUT HIGHS
WILL ONLY CLIMB INTO THE LOW 20S DURING THE AFTERNOON HOURS ACROSS
SOUTH-CENTRAL AND SOUTHEASTERN KS. AFTERNOON HIGHS IN THE UPPER
TEENS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS NORTHERN PORTIONS OF THE FORECAST AREA
WHERE SNOW PACK HAS BEEN MORE STUBBORN.
FOR MONDAY, SOME WEAK MID-LEVEL WARM AIR ADVECTION WILL PROVIDE
ENOUGH LIFT TO PRODUCE SOME LIGHT SNOWFALL FOR SOUTHWEST AND SOUTH-
CENTRAL KS. THE MAIN FEATURE LOOKS TO REMAIN WEST OF THE FORECAST
AREA, BUT SOME LIGHT SNOWFALL ACCUMULATIONS ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE
CENTRAL AND SOUTH-CENTRAL COUNTIES. THEN ON MONDAY NIGHT INTO
TUESDAY MORNING, THE COLDEST TEMPERATURES AND WIND CHILLS OF THIS
EVENT ARE EXPECTED. OVERNIGHT LOWS WILL FALL INTO THE NEGATIVE
SINGLE DIGITS TO THE NORTH WITH SINGLE DIGITS FURTHER SOUTH. WIND
CHILL VALUES WILL FALL BELOW ZERO DEGREES FOR MOST, WITH THOSE IN
NORTHERN COUNTIES SEEING WIND CHILLS APPROACHING -20 DEGREES.
BY MID NEXT WEEK, THE SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE WILL SHIFT TO OUR EAST
AHEAD OF THE NEXT QUICK SYSTEM. WINDS WILL TURN SOUTHERLY ON TUESDAY
AFTERNOON AND INTO WEDNESDAY. AFTERNOON HIGHS ON TUESDAY WILL REACH
INTO THE 20S WITH HIGHS IN THE 30 EXPECTED ON WEDNESDAY. THE NEXT
TROUGH WILL SWING THROUGH THE AREA ON WEDNESDAY NIGHT INTO THURSDAY
LIMITING OUR WARM-UP THROUGH THE END OF THE WEEK. LITTLE MOISTURE IS
ASSOCIATED WITH THIS SYSTEM, SO NO WINTER WEATHER CONCERNS AT THIS
TIME. BY THE END OF THE WEEK AND INTO THE WEEKEND, THE TROUGH LOOKS
TO SHIFT EAST ALLOWING RIDGING TO BUILD INTO OUR AREA FROM THE WEST.
WARMER TEMPERATURES ARE ON THIS HORIZON IF THIS PATTERN HOLDS!
AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z SUNDAY/
ISSUED AT 1137 AM CST SAT JAN 18 2025
CURRENTLY, MVFR CIGS HAVE CONTINUED TO LINGER ALONG THE I-70
CORRIDOR LATE THIS MORNING, BUT THESE LOWER CLOUDS SHOULD BEGIN
TO DISSIPATE BY THIS AFTERNOON GIVING WAY VFR CONDITIONS AFTER
21Z. MEANWHILE, NORTHERLY WINDS AROUND 15 TO 20 KNOTS WITH GUSTS
AROUND 25 TO 35 KNOTS SHOULD CONTINUE THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF
THE AFTERNOON HOURS. AFTER 00Z, WINDS SHOULD DECREASE TO AROUND
10 KNOTS, BUT WILL REMAIN OUT OF THE NORTH. A FEW FLURRIES ARE
POSSIBLE ACROSS PORTIONS OF CENTRAL AND SOUTH-CENTRAL KANSAS
THIS AFTERNOON, BUT CHANCES OF THIS SHOULD COME TO AN END OVER
THE NEXT FEW HOURS.
ICT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
DISCUSSION...AMD
AVIATION...JC
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