503
FXUS63 KICT 190840
AFDICT
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
240 AM CST SUN JAN 19 2025
KEY MESSAGES
- BELOW AVERAGE TEMPERATURES THROUGH TUESDAY.
- LIGHT SNOW AND SNOW FLURRIES ON MONDAY.
- WARMING TREND ANTICIPATED MID TO LATE WEEK.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 235 AM CST SUN JAN 19 2025
HIGH PRESSURE AT THE SURFACE WILL OVERSPREAD EASTERN KANSAS TODAY
BRINGING LIGHT WINDS AND PARTLY TO MOSTLY SUNNY CONDITIONS.
TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN WELL BELOW AVERAGE FOR LATE JAN RANGING
FROM THE UPPER TEENS TO LOWER 20S FOR MOST AREAS. A SUBTLE SYSTEM
OVER THE ROCKIES WILL APPROACH THE AREA LATE TONIGHT BRINGING
INCREASING CLOUDS AS WE MOVE INTO THE PREDAWN HOURS.
MONDAY...WE EXPECT A PERIOD OF SNOW TO DEVELOP ON MONDAY AS A ROBUST
AREA OF FRONTOGENESIS SWEEPS OVER SOUTHWEST KS BRUSHING PORTIONS OF
SOUTH CENTRAL KANSAS DURING THE AFTERNOON HOURS. SOME LIGHT
ACCUMULATIONS AROUND 1 TO PERHAPS 2 INCHES WILL BE POSSIBLE IN PARTS
OF SOUTH CENTRAL KANSAS. THE BETTER SIGNAL FOR ACCUMULATING SNOW
MAY REMAIN JUST WEST OF OUR AREA ACROSS PORTIONS OF SOUTHWEST KANSAS.
ANOTHER PUSH OF COLD AIR WILL FOLLOW THIS SUBTLE SYSTEM ON MONDAY
AND AS THE 1040+ MB HIGH SETTLES OVER THE AREA LATE MONDAY
NIGHT/EARLY TUE, WE'LL SEE STRONG RADIATIONAL COOLING. AREAS WITH A
DUSTING OF FRESH SNOW WILL LIKELY SEE MINIMUM TEMPERATURES FALL INTO
THE 5 BELOW RANGE OR POSSIBLY LOWER.
TUE-SAT...AS HIGH PRESSURE TRANSLATES SOUTHEAST OVER THE MIDDLE
MISSISSIPPI VALLEY AREA ON TUESDAY, BREEZY SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL
RETURN TO KANSAS ALLOWING TEMPERATURES TO BEGIN TO MODERATE. IT'LL
REMAIN WELL BELOW NORMAL FOR LATE JAN WITH HIGHS RANGING FROM THE
MID TO UPPER 20S. A CLIPPER SYSTEM IS PROGGED TO MOVE ACROSS THE
NORTHERN PLAINS ON WED WITH SOME INCREASING CLOUDS EXPECTED ACROSS
THE AREA. ANY LIGHT PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN NORTH OF THE
AREA. A COLD FRONT IN THE WAKE OF THIS MID-WEEK SYSTEM WILL USHER IN
SOME SEASONABLY COOL AIR ON THU WITH HIGHS REMAINING IN THE MID AND
UPPER 30S FOR MOST AREAS. THE MID/UPPER FLOW WILL TRANSITION TO
SOUTHWESTERLY ACROSS THE CENTRAL CONUS LATE IN THE WEEK AS A
MID/UPPER TROUGH DEEPENS OVER THE CENTRAL GREAT BASIN AREA. THIS
WILL RESULT IN BREEZY SOUTHERLY WINDS AND RISING TEMPERATURES WITH
HIGHS ON SAT CLIMBING INTO THE LOWER 50S FOR SOUTHEAST KANSAS.
AVIATION /00Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z MONDAY/
ISSUED AT 1029 PM CST SAT JAN 18 2025
VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL THROUGH SUNRISE ON SUNDAY AT ALL
TAF SITES WITH GRADUALLY DIMINISHING NORTHERLY WINDS. AFTER
SUNRISE A LOWER CLOUD DECK IS EXPECTED TO MOVE SOUTHEAST ACROSS
CENTRAL KANSAS. AT THIS TIME THESE CEILINGS SHOULD REMAIN JUST
ABOVE MVFR CRITERIA HOWEVER BRIEF MVFR CONDITIONS MAY BE
POSSIBLE AT RSL, GBD, HUT, AND ICT. WINDS WILL BECOME LIGHT AND
VARIABLE SUNDAY EVENING AT ALL SITES.
ICT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
DISCUSSION...MWM
AVIATION...WI
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