738
FXUS63 KICT 190832
AFDICT
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
225 AM CST WED FEB 19 2025
KEY MESSAGES
- PERIODIC LIGHT SNOW AND FLURRIES TODAY, WITH LITTLE TO NO
ACCUMULATION EXPECTED.
- DANGEROUSLY COLD ARCTIC AIR PERSISTING THROUGH EARLY FRIDAY,
WITH WIND CHILLS AS COLD AS 15 TO 25 DEGREES BELOW ZERO AT
TIMES.
- MILD ABOVE AVERAGE TEMPERATURES BY LATE WEEKEND INTO NEXT
WEEK.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 213 AM CST WED FEB 19 2025
LIGHT SNOW/FLURRIES THROUGH TODAY...
ANOTHER LOBE OF UPPER ENERGY APPROACHING FROM THE NORTHWEST
WILL SUPPORT AREAS OF LIGHT SNOW AND FLURRIES SPREADING
SOUTHEAST ACROSS CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST KANSAS THIS MORNING.
LITTLE TO NO ACCUMULATION IS EXPECTED. PATCHY LIGHT FLURRIES MAY
LINGER THROUGH THE AFTERNOON AREAWIDE, GIVEN SCATTERED LOW
CLOUDS AMIDST THE VERY COLD AIRMASS.
DANGEROUSLY COLD WIND CHILLS THROUGH ...
PER DETERMINISTIC AND ENSEMBLE CONSENSUS, THE INFLUENCE OF
ARCTIC HIGH PRESSURE WILL PERSIST ACROSS THE REGION THROUGH LATE
WEEK. SEVERAL RECORD LOW TEMPERATURES AND RECORD COLD HIGH
TEMPERATURES ARE IN JEOPARDY TODAY THROUGH THURSDAY, AND
POSSIBLY THURSDAY NIGHT. TONIGHT WILL BE THE COLDEST NIGHT THIS
WEEK, WITH FORECAST LOWS REACHING 10 TO 15 BELOW ZERO. WIND
CHILLS WILL BE LOWEST EARLY THIS MORNING, RANGING FROM 20 TO 25
BELOW ZERO. WINDS GO LIGHT TONIGHT AND THURSDAY, TEMPERING WIND
CHILLS SOME, BUT STILL 10 TO 20 BELOW ZERO. WIND CHILLS EARLY
FRIDAY MORNING COULD GET AS COLD AS 10 TO 15 BELOW ZERO.
WARMING TREND WEEKEND INTO NEXT WEEK...
DETERMINISTIC AND ENSEMBLE CONSENSUS SUPPORTS A WARMING TREND
STARTING THIS WEEKEND AS HEIGHTS/THICKNESS INCREASE OVER MID-
AMERICAS, WITH ABOVE AVERAGE TEMPERATURES LIKELY BY SUNDAY-
MONDAY. CONSENSUS FAVORS 50S-60S FOR DAYTIME HIGH TEMPERATURES
BY MONDAY- TUESDAY, ALTHOUGH THESE READINGS WILL LIKELY BE
TEMPERED SOME GIVEN THE LIKELIHOOD OF AN EXTENSIVE SNOW PACK
ACROSS THE REGION.
AVIATION /00Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z THURSDAY/
ISSUED AT 1008 PM CST TUE FEB 18 2025
VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED AT ALL SITES BESIDES CNU, WHERE
MVFR CEILINGS ARE LIKELY UNTIL 08Z. GUSTY NORTH WINDS WILL
SLOWLY DIMINISH WITH SPEEDS OF 5-10 KNOTS LATE IN THE DAY ON
WEDNESDAY.
CLIMATE
ISSUED AT 213 AM CST WED FEB 19 2025
RECORD COLD TEMPERATURES ARE LIKELY THE NEXT FEW DAYS. BELOW IS
A LIST OF DAILY RECORDS AND FORECAST TEMPERATURES FOR WICHITA,
SALINA, CHANUTE, AND RUSSELL.
RECORD LOWS TODAY:
WICHITA... FORECAST LOW: -3 RECORD LOW: 2 IN 1975
SALINA... FORECAST LOW: -4 RECORD LOW: -3 IN 1978
CHANUTE... FORECAST LOW: -1 RECORD LOW: -1 IN 1903
RUSSELL... FORECAST LOW: -6 RECORD LOW: 3 IN 1978
RECORD LOWS THURSDAY:
WICHITA... FORECAST LOW: -7 RECORD LOW: 3 IN 1918
SALINA... FORECAST LOW: -12 RECORD LOW: 0 IN 1918
CHANUTE... FORECAST LOW: -7 RECORD LOW: 4 IN 1918
RUSSELL... FORECAST LOW: -11 RECORD LOW: 6 IN 1955
RECORD COLD HIGHS TODAY:
WICHITA... FORECAST HIGH: 10 RECORD COLD HIGH: 20 IN 1889
SALINA... FORECAST HIGH: 9 RECORD COLD HIGH: 17 IN 1929
CHANUTE... FORECAST HIGH: 12 RECORD COLD HIGH: 22 IN 2006
RUSSELL... FORECAST HIGH: 6 RECORD COLD HIGH: 16 IN 1955
RECORD COLD HIGHS THURSDAY:
WICHITA... FORECAST HIGH: 14 RECORD COLD HIGH: 15 IN 1918
SALINA... FORECAST HIGH: 13 RECORD COLD HIGH: 13 IN 1918
CHANUTE... FORECAST HIGH: 16 RECORD COLD HIGH: 21 IN 1918
RUSSELL... FORECAST HIGH: 11 RECORD COLD HIGH: 21 IN 1966
ICT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
EXTREME COLD WARNING UNTIL NOON CST THURSDAY FOR KSZ032-033-
047>053-067>072-082-083-091>096-098>100.
DISCUSSION...ADK
AVIATION...GC/MWM
CLIMATE...ADK/JC
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