359
FXUS63 KICT 201124
AFDICT
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
624 AM CDT FRI JUN 20 2025
KEY MESSAGES
- UNSEASONABLY HOT TEMPERATURES TODAY THROUGH THE WEEKEND.
- STRONG SOUTHWEST WINDS THIS AFTERNOON AND ESPECIALLY FOR
SATURDAY AFTERNOON.
- PRECIP CHANCES WILL START TO INCREASE FOR MON NIGHT THROUGH
TUESDAY, ESPECIALLY ACROSS CENTRAL KANSAS.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 257 AM CDT FRI JUN 20 2025
CURRENTLY HAVE SOME BROAD UPPER RIDGING OVER THE PLAINS WITH AN
UPPER LOW APPROACHING THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST. AT THE SURFACE, LOW
PRESSURE IS SITUATED OVER THE HIGH PLAINS OF EASTERN WY/EASTERN
CO.
UPPER LOW APPROACHING THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST WILL CONTINUE TO
SLOWLY MIGRATE EAST AND BY TONIGHT WILL BE MOVING INTO THE
NORTHERN INTERMOUNTAIN AND INTO THE NORTHERN ROCKIES BY SUN
AFTERNOON. SURFACE PATTERN ISN'T EXPECTED TO CHANGE MUCH FOR
TODAY AND SAT WITH LEE TROUGHING FROM WESTERN NEBRASKA INTO
EASTERN CO AND HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE SOUTHEAST CONUS. THIS WILL
SETUP A STRONG PRESSURE GRADIENT AND WITH GOOD MIXING, WILL
BRING STRONG SOUTHWEST WINDS FOR TODAY AND ESPECIALLY SAT.
CONSIDERED GOING WITH A WIND ADVISORY TODAY ACROSS PARTS OF
CENTRAL KS WITH THE THINKING SUSTAINED SPEEDS AROUND 30 MPH
WILL NOT BE TOO HARD TO REACH. HOWEVER, NOT CONFIDENT IN WINDS
LASTING MORE THAN A FEW HOURS AND WITH SATURDAY'S WINDS LOOKING
STRONGER, WILL HOLD OFF FOR TODAY.
CONFIDENCE REMAINS HIGH IN ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES STARTING
TODAY AND CONTINUING THROUGH SUNDAY. NORMAL HIGHS FOR THIS TIME
OF YEAR ARE IN THE UPPER 80S TO AROUND 90 AND WE WILL SEE A FEW
SITES IN CENTRAL KS APPROACH 100 FOR TODAY AND SATURDAY. WE
SHOULD SEE A SLIGHT DECREASE IN TEMPS FOR SUN AS THE WARMER
850MB TEMPS SLIDE BACK TO THE WEST.
UPPER LOW IS EXPECTED TO SHEAR OUT AS IT QUICKLY LIFTS INTO THE
NORTHERN PLAINS FOR SUN NIGHT INTO MON. THIS WILL ALLOW A
SURFACE TROUGH/WEAK COLD FRONT TO PUSH SOUTH AND MAY BRING SOME
STORMS TO NORTHWEST AND CENTRAL KS SUN NIGHT. HOWEVER, IT LOOKS
LIKE WE SHOULD SEE SOME HIGHER STORM CHANCES OVER CENTRAL KS FOR
MON AFTERNOON THROUGH TUE AS THE FRONT CONTINUES TO SLOWLY MOVE
SOUTH AND SOME UPPER ENERGY MOVES OUT OF THE SOUTHERN ROCKIES.
FRONT DOESN'T LOOK TO MAKE IT THROUGH THE FORECAST AREA, SO
CONFIDENCE IS HIGH THAT ABOVE NORMAL TEMPS WILL REMAIN IN PLACE
ACROSS SOUTH CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST KS THROUGH MOST OF NEXT WEEK.
AVIATION /12Z TAFS THROUGH 12Z SATURDAY/
ISSUED AT 618 AM CDT FRI JUN 20 2025
MAIN AVIATION CONCERN WILL BE GUSTY SOUTHWEST WINDS TODAY.
SURFACE LEE TROUGHING WILL CONTINUE TO DEEPEN TODAY AND WILL
RESULT IN STRONG SOUTHWEST WINDS, ESPECIALLY ACROSS CENTRAL KS.
BY THE AFTERNOON HOURS, WE ARE LOOKING FOR SOUTHWEST WINDS
ACROSS CENTRAL KS TO BE SUSTAINED AROUND 25KTS WITH GUSTS AROUND
35KTS. FOR AN HOUR OR TWO WE MAY EVEN SEE SPEEDS SLIGHTLY
HIGHER. WIND SPEEDS WILL BE SLIGHTLY LOWER ACROSS THE FLINT
HILLS INTO SOUTHEAST KS. CONFIDENCE REMAINS HIGH THAT CLEAR
SKIES WILL REMAIN IN PLACE THROUGH THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
ICT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
DISCUSSION...RBL
AVIATION...RBL
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