243
FXUS63 KICT 202033
AFDICT
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
333 PM CDT FRI JUN 20 2025
KEY MESSAGES
- ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES CONTINUE THROUGH THE WEEKEND.
- STRONG SOUTH-SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS CONTINUE THROUGH SATURDAY
WITH A HIGH WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL
AND SOUTH-CENTRAL KANSAS ON SATURDAY AFTERNOON.
- PRECIP CHANCES WILL START TO INCREASE FOR MON NIGHT THROUGH
TUESDAY, ESPECIALLY ACROSS CENTRAL KANSAS.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 331 PM CDT FRI JUN 20 2025
MOSTLY CLEAR TO PARTLY CLOUDY SKIES, BREEZY SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS, AND
HOT CONDITIONS ARE BEING SEEN ACROSS CENTRAL AND SOUTH-CENTRAL
KANSAS THIS AFTERNOON. THIS TREND WILL CONTINUE TOMORROW WITH BOTH
WINDS AND TEMPERATURES DIMINISHING SOME ON SUNDAY.
A STRONG MID-LEVEL RIDGE IS CENTERED OVER THE PLAINS. AT THE SURFACE,
A HIGH PRESSURE IS LOCATED OVER THE EASTERN U.S. WITH A LOW PRESSURE
OVER THE ROCKIES. THE RIDGE WILL SLOWLY SHIFT EAST OVER THE NEXT
COUPLE OF DAYS, BUT HIGH TEMPERATURES IN THE MID TO UPPER 90S WILL
CONTINUE, WITH A FEW LOCATIONS IN CENTRAL KANSAS REACHING NEAR 100.
DEW POINTS WILL REMAIN ELEVATED ACROSS THE REGION, HOVERING IN THE
MIDDLE TO UPPER 60S, LEADING TO HEAT INDICES AROUND 100 FOR SATURDAY
AND SUNDAY, WITH THOSE IN CENTRAL KANSAS SEEING HEAT INDEX VALUES
REACH INTO THE 100-104 RANGE ON SATURDAY AFTERNOON. A HEAT ADVISORY
IS NOT NEEDED AT THIS TIME, BUT CONTINUE TO EXERCISE HEAT SAFETY IF
OUTSIDE FOR EXTENDED PERIODS.
DUE TO THE PRESSURE GRADIENT BETWEEN THE SURFACE HIGH TO OUR EAST
AND THE LOW OVER THE ROCKIES, STOUT SOUTH-SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS
BETWEEN 20-30 MPH ARE EXPECTED WITH SOME GUSTS IN CENTRAL KANSAS
REACHING UP TO 45 MPH ON SATURDAY AFTERNOON. A WIND ADVISORY HAS
BEEN ISSUED FROM 10A-8P ON SATURDAY ACROSS PORTIONS OF CENTRAL
KANSAS TO COVER THE AREA OF HIGHEST WINDS. BY SUNDAY, THE PRESSURE
GRADIENT RELAXES SOME, BUT BREEZY CONDITIONS WILL PERSIST WITH GUSTS
BETWEEN 35-40 MPH STILL POSSIBLE.
FOR NEXT WEEK, THE UPPER-LEVEL RIDGE WILL CONTINUE TO SHIFT FURTHER
EAST AND THE TROUGH TO OUR WEST WILL CREEP INTO THE PLAINS. THIS
WILL LEAD TO INCREASING PRECIPITATION CHANCES ACROSS CENTRAL KANSAS
AS A FEW IMPULSES GRAZE THE AREA BEGINNING ON MONDAY EVENING. ON AND
OFF ISOLATED RAIN CHANCES WILL GRADUALLY SHIFT EAST ACROSS THE
FORECAST AREA THROUGH THE WEEK AS THE TROUGH EASES INTO THE AREA.
THIS SHIFT IN THE OVERALL PATTERN WILL ALSO ALLOW TEMPERATURES TO
COOL OFF CLOSER TO NORMAL WITH HIGHS NEXT WEEK ONLY WARMING INTO THE
LOWER TO MIDDLE 90S.
AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z SATURDAY/
ISSUED AT 1227 PM CDT FRI JUN 20 2025
VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO PERSIST OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS
DESPITE WINDY CONDITIONS AND LLWS BEING CONCERNS FOR AVIATION
INTERESTS.
SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST WINDS TODAY WILL LIKELY CONTINUE TO BE
SUSTAINED BETWEEN 15 AND 25 KNOTS WITH GUSTS BETWEEN 25 AND 40
KNOTS THIS AFTERNOON INTO THE EARLY EVENING. WHILE GUSTS SHOULD
DECREASE SOME AFTER SUNSET, SUSTAINED WINDS WILL LIKELY REMAIN
AROUND 15 TO 25 KNOTS TONIGHT. ADDITIONALLY, LOW LEVEL WIND
SHEAR IS EXPECTED OVERNIGHT AND WILL LIKELY IMPACT ALL TAF SITES
THROUGH 15-17Z SATURDAY MORNING. SURFACE WINDS WILL LIKELY
INCREASE AGAIN SATURDAY AFTERNOON.
ICT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
WIND ADVISORY FROM 10 AM TO 8 PM CDT SATURDAY FOR KSZ032-033-
047>053-067-068.
DISCUSSION...AMD
AVIATION...JC
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