058
FXUS63 KICT 051718
AFDICT
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
1218 PM CDT TUE AUG 5 2025
KEY MESSAGES
- SLIGHTLY BELOW NORMAL TEMPERATURES EXPECTED TODAY WITH A WARM-UP
STARTING WEDNESDAY.
- MINIMAL PRECIPITATION CHANCES THROUGH THE WORK WEEK.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 320 AM CDT TUE AUG 5 2025
CURRENTLY, AN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE IS SITUATED OVER THE DESERT
SOUTHWEST WITH AN UPPER TROUGH OVER THE UPPER MIDWEST. AT THE
SURFACE, THIS TRANSLATES TO A LOW PRESSURE OVER THE ROCKIES AND AN
EXPANSIVE SURFACE HIGH OVER THE GREAT LAKES REGION. THIS MORNING, WE
HAVE GENERALLY LIGHT SOUTHEASTERLY WINDS ACROSS THE STATE, BUT AS
THE UPPER RIDGE SLOWLY BUILDS INTO THE REGION, THE PRESSURE GRADIENT
AT THE SURFACE WILL TIGHTEN LEADING TO BREEZY CONDITIONS OVER OUR
CENTRAL KANSAS COUNTIES THIS AFTERNOON. TEMPERATURES WILL
CONTINUE THEIR UPWARD TREND WITH HIGHS REACHING INTO THE UPPER
80S TO LOWER 90S ACROSS THE AREA. WITH THE RIDGE NUDGING INTO
THE CENTRAL PLAINS, OUR PRECIP CHANCES HAVE BEEN EFFECTIVELY
SHUT OFF FOR THE TIME BEING.
FOR WEDNESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY, THE RIDGE WILL EXTEND ACROSS THE
CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN PLAINS. THIS FEATURE DOESN'T LOOK TO BE TOO
STRONG, NOR WILL IT BE CENTERED DIRECTLY OVER THE PLAINS. SO WHILE
WE ARE ANTICIPATING A WARMUP THROUGH THE END OF THE WEEK, AN
EXTENSIVE HEAT WAVE IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. TEMPERATURES ON
WEDNESDAY WILL BE NEAR NORMAL FOR THIS TIME OF YEAR WITH LOWER TO
MIDDLE 90S FOR SOUTH-CENTRAL AND SOUTHEASTERN KANSAS WHILE UPPER 90S
WILL BEGIN TO CREEP INTO CENTRAL KANSAS. THE HOTTEST DAYS CURRENTLY
LOOK TO BE THURSDAY/FRIDAY WITH HIGHS REACHING INTO THE UPPER 90S
ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA. A FEW LOCATIONS ACROSS CENTRAL KANSAS
COULD SEE TEMPERATURES AT THE END OF THE WEEK TOPPING OUT AROUND THE
100 DEGREE MARK. A TIGHT PRESSURE GRADIENT WILL REMAIN ACROSS
THE STATE LEADING TO ONGOING BREEZY CONDITIONS FOR WEDNESDAY AND
THURSDAY WITH GUSTS BETWEEN 20-30 MPH. WITH THE RIDGE OVERHEAD,
PRECIP CHANCES WILL CONTINUE TO BE LIMITED THROUGH THE WEEK.
FOR THE WEEKEND INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK A SHORT WAVE TROUGH LOOKS TO
DIP INTO THE NORTHERN PLAINS AND ACT TO SHIFT THE RIDGE FURTHER
SOUTHWEST. THIS FEATURE COULD THEN SEND A WEAK FRONTAL BOUNDARY INTO
THE STATE FOR SATURDAY NIGHT/SUNDAY CAUSING TEMPERATURES TO DIP BACK
INTO THE UPPER 80S TO LOWER 90S FOR SUNDAY-TUESDAY AND LEAD TO
SLIGHTLY HIGHER PRECIPITATION CHANCES FOR THE END OF THE FORECAST
PERIOD.
AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z WEDNESDAY/
ISSUED AT 1204 PM CDT TUE AUG 5 2025
VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED THROUGHOUT THE TAF PERIOD FOR ALL
SITES. A LAYER OF MID CLOUD IS CURRENTLY MOVING INTO THE AREA
FROM THE WEST LEFTOVER FROM A FEW SHOWERS THIS MORNING.
SOUTHERLY WINDS SHOULD START TO PICK UP WITH GUSTS OF 20-25 KTS
BY THE AFTERNOON. THE LOW LEVEL JET LOOKS TO RAMP UP BY
TOMORROW MORNING MAKING LOW LEVEL WIND SHEAR A CONCERN FOR ALL
SITES EXCEPT KCNU AND POSSIBLY KICT. MAY NEED TO INCLUDE KICT
WIND WITH LATER ISSUANCE.
ICT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
DISCUSSION...AMD
AVIATION...SGS
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