693
FXUS63 KICT 091948
AFDICT
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
248 PM CDT THU OCT 9 2025
KEY MESSAGES
- ISOLATED STORMS POSSIBLE FRIDAY MORNING, SEVERE WEATHER IS NOT
EXPECTED.
- WARMING TREND THROUGH THE WEEKEND WITH WELL ABOVE NORMAL
TEMPERATURES.
- COOLER TEMPERATURES AND RAIN CHANCES RETURN EARLY NEXT WEEK.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 244 PM CDT THU OCT 9 2025
CURRENT WATER VAPOR IMAGERY AND REGIONAL SOUNDINGS INDICATE A
RELATIVELY MOIST COLUMN THROUGH 700MB. MODEST MOISTURE ADVECTION
CONTINUES THIS AFTERNOON ACROSS THE EASTERN HALF OF THE STATE WITH
1.25+ PWATS ADVECTING IN FROM THE SOUTH. A WEAK WARM FRONTAL
BOUNDARY IS LIFTING NORTHEAST INTO THE AREA AND INTERACTING WITH THE
MOISTURE LEADING TO LOW CLOUDS ACROSS SOUTH-CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST
KANSAS THROUGH THE MORNING AND EARLY AFTERNOON HOURS. THE WARMING
TREND CONTINUES TODAY AS THE UPPER-LEVEL RIDGE BUILDS INTO THE
REGION WITH TEMPERATURES REACHING INTO THE UPPER 70S TO LOWER
80S AREAWIDE. TONIGHT INTO FRIDAY MORNING, A SHORTWAVE DARTING
ACROSS THE GREAT LAKES WILL DRAG A WEAK FRONTAL BOUNDARY ACROSS
THE PLAINS. A FEW SHOWERS AND STORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE AHEAD AND
ALONG THE BOUNDARY AS IT PASSES THROUGH EASTERN KANSAS DURING
THE EARLY AM HOURS. STRONG OR SEVERE STORMS ARE NOT EXPECTED.
THROUGH THE WEEKEND, THE UPPER-LEVEL RIDGE WILL CONTINUE TO BUILD
OVER THE SOUTHERN AND CENTRAL PLAINS. THIS FEATURE WILL LEAD TO
DRIER WEATHER AND WARMING TEMPERATURES ACROSS THE REGION.
TEMPERATURES FOR THE FORECAST AREA WILL REACH INTO THE 80S AREAWIDE
FOR FRIDAY THROUGH SUNDAY WHICH IS BETWEEN 10-15 DEGREES ABOVE
NORMAL FOR THIS TIME OF YEAR. WITH THE RIDGE DOMINATING THE PATTERN,
NEAR ZERO PRECIP CHANCES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THE WEEKEND. BUT AS
THE DEEP TROUGH APPROACHES THE PLAINS AND PUSHES THE RIDGE EAST, THE
CORRESPONDING SURFACE PRESSURE GRADIENT WILL TIGHTEN ACROSS THE
CENTRAL PLAINS OVER THE WEEKEND. SOUTHERLY WINDS WILL BEGIN
INCREASING ON SATURDAY AND WILL LAST THROUGH SUNDAY WITH SUSTAINED
WINDS BETWEEN 15-25 MPH AND WIND GUSTS BETWEEN 30-35 MPH DURING THE
AFTERNOON HOURS.
ON SUNDAY NIGHT INTO MONDAY, A PIECE OF ENERGY FROM THE WESTERN
TROUGH WILL EJECT NORTHEASTWARD OVER THE NORTHERN PLAINS. THIS WILL
PUSH A WEAK FRONTAL BOUNDARY SOUTHEASTWARD ACROSS THE CENTRAL PLAINS
ON MONDAY. TEMPERATURES FOR MON-WED LOOK TO REMAIN NEAR OR JUST
ABOVE NORMAL FOR THIS TIME OF YEAR BUT WILL COOL OFF COMPARED TO THE
WEEKEND INTO THE 70S AND LOWER 80S. THE SLOW MOVING BOUNDARY WILL
MEANDER OVER THE STATE FOR THE BEGINNING OF THE WEEK LEADING TO ON
AND OFF RAIN AND STORM CHANCES ACROSS THE AREA.
AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z FRIDAY/
ISSUED AT 1226 PM CDT THU OCT 9 2025
MVFR CEILINGS AT ICT WILL CONTINUE TO LIFT OUT, RETURNING TO
VFR CEILINGS BY EARLY AFTERNOON. VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
THROUGH THIS TAF PERIOD. BREEZY SOUTHERLY WINDS WITH GUSTS UP TO
25 KTS ARE EXPECTED AT RSL, GBD, AND SLN THROUGH SUNSET. LLWS
IS POSSIBLE TONIGHT IN CENTRAL AND SOUTH-CENTRAL KS, BUT
CONFIDENCE WAS NOT HIGH ENOUGH TO INCLUDE IN THIS TAF ISSUANCE.
SOUTHERLY WINDS AT RSL AND SLN ARE EXPECTED TO SHIFT TO EASTERLY
BY EARLY FRIDAY AFTERNOON.
ICT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
DISCUSSION...AMD
AVIATION...GC
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