514
FXUS63 KICT 020400
AFDICT
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
1100 PM CDT SAT NOV 1 2025
KEY MESSAGES
- WIDESPREAD FREEZE LATE TONIGHT INTO SUNDAY MORNING.
- WARMING TREND COMMENCES SUNDAY, WITH NEAR TO ABOVE AVERAGE
TEMPERATURES AND DRY WEATHER EXPECTED FOR MOST OF THE
UPCOMING WEEK.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 218 PM CDT SAT NOV 1 2025
SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE IS MOVING ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA TODAY AND
TONIGHT WHICH WILL SET THE STAGE FOR A WIDESPREAD FREEZE ACROSS THE
REGION. CLEAR SKIES AND LIGHT WINDS WILL LEAD TO EXCELLENT
RADIATIONAL COOLING CONDITIONS ACROSS THE AREA WITH THE LOWEST
TEMPERATURES (IN THE UPPER 20S TO NEAR 30 DEGREES) EXPECTED
ACROSS SOUTHEAST KANSAS WHERE THE SURFACE HIGH WILL BE LOCATED
BY SUNRISE ON SUNDAY. AS THE SURFACE HIGH CONTINUES TO SHIFT TO
THE EAST TOMORROW, BREEZY SOUTHERLY WINDS WILL RETURN ACROSS
THE ENTIRE FORECAST AREA HELPING TO BOOST TEMPERATURES BACK INTO
UPPER 50S AND 60S. THE WARMING TREND WILL CONTINUE INTO NEXT
WEEK AS THE UPPER-LEVEL PATTERN TAKES ON A MORE ZONAL FLOW.
HIGH TEMPERATURES ON MONDAY WILL WARM INTO THE 60S AND THEN ON
TUESDAY LOW TO MID 70S WILL RETURN AREA WIDE WITH ANOTHER ROUND
OF BREEZY SOUTHERLY WINDS PRIMARILY ACROSS SOUTHEAST KANSAS. A
COLD FRONT WILL DROP THROUGH THE REGION ON WEDNESDAY WHICH WILL
KNOCK TEMPERATURES BACK MOSTLY INTO THE 60S ALTHOUGH A FEW LOWER
70S STILL LOOK LIKELY FOR SOUTHEAST KANSAS. THIS FRONT WON'T
HAVE ENOUGH MOISTURE TO WORK WITH, HENCE NO RAINFALL IS
EXPECTED.
ANOTHER UPPER-LEVEL WAVE WILL APPROACH THE REGION ON THURSDAY. THIS
ONE WILL HAVE BETTER MOISTURE ADVECTION AHEAD OF IT, ESPECIALLY
ACROSS EASTERN KANSAS WHERE DEWPOINTS ARE EXPECTED TO CLIMB INTO THE
UPPER 50S. AS A COLD FRONT MOVES THROUGH THURSDAY EVENING THERE
MAY BE JUST ENOUGH MOISTURE AND LIFT FOR A FEW SHOWERS TO
DEVELOP PRIMARILY ACROSS SOUTHEAST KANSAS WHERE A 10%-20% CHANCE
OF RAIN IS CURRENTLY FORECAST FOR THURSDAY NIGHT INTO FRIDAY
MORNING. UPPER-LEVEL TROUGHING IS EXPECTED TO CLIP THE AREA NEXT
WEEKEND WHICH WILL LEAD TO A SLIGHT COOL DOWN ALTHOUGH RAIN
CHANCES LOOK TO REMAIN NORTH AND WEST OF OUR AREA.
AVIATION /00Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z MONDAY/
ISSUED AT 1100 PM CDT SAT NOV 1 2025
VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL AT ALL SITES THROUGH THE END OF THE
PERIOD. LIGHT SOUTH WINDS TONIGHT WILL GRADUALLY STRENGTHEN BY
MID-MORNING, WITH SUSTAINED SPEEDS IN THE 12-17 KT RANGE AND
GUSTS UP TO 25 KTS POSSIBLE BY AFTERNOON IN CENTRAL KS. GUSTS
WILL QUICKLY DIE DOWN AFTER SUNSET WITH SPEEDS AROUND 10 KTS.
ICT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
FREEZE WARNING UNTIL 8 AM CDT SUNDAY FOR KSZ052-053-068>072-
083-091>096-098>100.
DISCUSSION...WI
AVIATION...JWK
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