697
FXUS63 KICT 030549
AFDICT
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
1149 PM CST SUN NOV 2 2025
KEY MESSAGES
- MOSTLY ABOVE AVERAGE TEMPERATURES LIKELY THROUGH FRIDAY, WITH
A POTENTIAL COOL DOWN BY NEXT SATURDAY OR SUNDAY.
- LOW TO NO PRECIPITATION CHANCES THE NEXT 7-10 DAYS.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 227 PM CST SUN NOV 2 2025
THE SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE HAS SCOOTED EAST OF THE FORECAST AREA THIS
AFTERNOON WHICH HAS BROUGHT A RETURN OF BREEZY SOUTHERLY WINDS.
BUT THESE WINDS WILL QUICKLY DIMINISH AROUND SUNSET. IT WILL BE
A MUCH WARMER NIGHT TONIGHT AS LOW TEMPERATURES ONLY DROP BACK
TO AROUND 40 DEGREES. A WEAK COLD FRONT WILL SLIDE THROUGH LATE
TONIGHT INTO EARLY MONDAY MORNING SHIFTING WINDS AROUND TO THE
NORTH. BEHIND THIS FRONT SOME PATCHY FOG MAY BE POSSIBLE
PRIMARILY ACROSS SOUTH CENTRAL AND SOUTHEASTERN KANSAS MONDAY
MORNING. THE AIRMASS BEHIND THE FRONT IS NOT OVERLY COOL AND
WITH UPPER-LEVEL RIDGING MOVING OVER THE AREA COMBINED WITH
PLENTY OF SUNSHINE, HIGH TEMPERATURES WILL ACTUALLY BE WARMER
ON MONDAY IN THE MID TO UPPER 60S. NEARLY ZONAL FLOW WILL
PERSIST OVER THE FORECAST AREA THROUGH THURSDAY WHICH WILL KEEP
OUR STRETCH OF ABOVE AVERAGE TEMPERATURES GOING. CURRENTLY
APPEARS THAT TUESDAY WILL BE THE WARMEST DAY OF THE WEEK AS
ANOTHER ROUND OF BREEZY SOUTHERLY WINDS HELPS TO BOOST
TEMPERATURES INTO THE LOW TO MID 70S. ANOTHER COLD FRONT WILL
DROP THROUGH THE REGION ON WEDNESDAY WHICH WILL KNOCK
TEMPERATURES BACK INTO THE MID 60S ACROSS CENTRAL KANSAS AND THE
LOWER 70S ACROSS SOUTHEAST KANSAS WHERE THE COLD FRONT WILL BE
SLIGHTLY DELAYED. THIS FRONT WON'T HAVE ENOUGH MOISTURE TO WORK
WITH HENCE THE AREA WILL REMAIN DRY.
ANOTHER UPPER-LEVEL WAVE WILL APPROACH THE REGION ON THURSDAY. THIS
ONE WILL HAVE SLIGHTLY BETTER MOISTURE ADVECTION AHEAD OF IT,
ESPECIALLY ACROSS FAR EASTERN KANSAS WHERE DEWPOINTS ARE EXPECTED TO
CLIMB INTO THE UPPER 50S. AS A COLD FRONT MOVES THROUGH THURSDAY
EVENING, THERE MAY BE JUST ENOUGH MOISTURE AND LIFT FOR A FEW
SHOWERS TO DEVELOP PRIMARILY ACROSS FAR EASTERN KANSAS WHICH IS
WHERE A 10%-20% CHANCE OF RAIN IS CURRENTLY FORECAST. UPPER-LEVEL
TROUGHING IS EXPECTED TO EXPAND ACROSS THE CENTRAL PART OF THE
COUNTRY NEXT WEEKEND WHICH MAY LEAD TO A SLIGHT COOL DOWN
ESPECIALLY ON SUNDAY BUT THE AREA LOOKS TO REMAIN DRY.
AVIATION /06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z TUESDAY/
ISSUED AT 1148 PM CST SUN NOV 2 2025
VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL AT ALL SITES THROUGH THE END OF THE
PERIOD.
LLWS ACROSS SOUTH CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST SITES WILL GRADUALLY
DISSIPATE LATER THIS MORNING AS A WEAK COLD FRONT SLOWLY PUSHES
THROUGH THE AREA. THIS BOUNDARY WILL RESULT IN WINDS BECOMING
NORTHERLY BEFORE VEERING TO THE NORTHEAST AND THEN SOUTHEAST
TOWARD THE END OF THE PERIOD.
ICT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
DISCUSSION...WI
AVIATION...JWK
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