225
FXUS63 KICT 032008
AFDICT
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
208 PM CST SAT JAN 3 2026
KEY MESSAGES
- PATCHY FOG POSSIBLE IN SOUTHEAST KS SUNDAY MORNING.
- BREEZY SOUTHERLY WINDS ARE EXPECTED ON SUNDAY.
- DRY AND MILD CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH MID NEXT WEEK
WITH POSSIBLE PRECIPITATION CHANCES RETURNING LATE NEXT WEEK.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 206 PM CST SAT JAN 3 2026
CURRENTLY, UPPER-LEVEL RIDGING IS OVER THE WESTERN CONUS, BUILDING
INTO THE PLAINS, RESULTING IN NORTHWESTERLY FLOW ALOFT IN OUR AREA.
AN UPPER-LEVEL SHORTWAVE TROUGH IS MOVING ACROSS THE TENNESSEE
VALLEY WITH AN ADDITIONAL TROUGH OFF THE COAST OF THE WESTERN US. AT
THE SURFACE, LOW PRESSURE SITS OVER EASTERN MT WITH SURFACE
TROUGHING EXTENDING DOWN INTO EASTERN CO. HIGH PRESSURE STRETCHES
FROM THE UPPER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY DOWN INTO EASTERN KS. LOW STRATUS
CLOUDS PERSIST OVER AREAS OF EASTERN KS.
THIS EVENING INTO TONIGHT, SKIES WILL CLEAR OUT, ALLOWING FOR
EFFECTIVE RADIATIONAL COOLING. GIVEN LIGHT WINDS ARE FORECAST FOR
SOUTHEAST KS COMBINED WITH SMALL DEWPOINT DEPRESSIONS, PATCHY FOG IS
POSSIBLE TO DEVELOP LATE TONIGHT INTO EARLY SUNDAY MORNING. BY LATE
SUNDAY MORNING, A SURFACE LOW WILL MOVE INTO CENTRAL SOUTH DAKOTA,
INCREASING THE PRESSURE GRADIENT AND SOUTHERLY FLOW IN THE CENTRAL
PLAINS. SUSTAINED WINDS WILL INCREASE TO 15-20 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO
30 MPH IN CENTRAL AND SOUTH-CENTRAL KS. GIVEN INCREASED SOUTHERLY
FLOW, WARMER TEMPERATURES ARE FORECAST FOR SUNDAY. HIGH TEMPERATURES
WILL RETURN TO THE 50S ACROSS MOST OF THE AREA WITH HIGHS RISING
INTO THE 60S IN CENTRAL KS. AS WE MOVE INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK, FLOW
ALOFT WILL BECOME MORE ZONAL, KEEPING ABOVE NORMAL HIGH TEMPERATURES
IN THE 60S THROUGH WEDNESDAY. DRY CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO
CONTINUE THROUGH MID WEEK. PRECIPITATION CHANCES MAY RETURN LATE
NEXT WEEK TO THE AREA AS GUIDANCE IS IN AGREEMENT OF AN UPPER-LEVEL
TROUGH MOVING OUT OF THE SOUTHWESTERN CONUS INTO THE SOUTHERN
PLAINS; HOWEVER, THIS FAR OUT, UNCERTAINTY REMAINS HIGH WITH THE
TRACK OF THIS SYSTEM.
AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z SUNDAY/
ISSUED AT 1138 AM CST SAT JAN 3 2026
LOW CLOUDS QUICKLY CONTINUE TO DISSOLVE ACROSS CENTRAL KANSAS
EARLY THIS AFTERNOON WITH VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED FOR THE
REMAINDER OF THE 24HR PERIOD. THERE COULD BE SOME PATCHY FOG
REDEVELOP OVER SOUTHEAST KANSAS DURING THE EARLY MORNING HOURS
ON SUNDAY.
ICT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
DISCUSSION...GC
AVIATION...CDJ
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