356
FXUS63 KICT 040935
AFDICT
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
335 AM CST SUN JAN 4 2026
KEY MESSAGES
- WARM AND DRY PATTERN THROUGH THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK
- PRECIPITATION CHANCES (20-30%) RETURN LATE NEXT WEEK
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 334 AM CST SUN JAN 4 2026
AS OF 330 AM SUNDAY, MIDLEVEL HEIGHTS CONTINUE TO INCREASE ACROSS
THE PLAINS AS A RIDGE AXIS SLIDES OVERHEAD. AN AREA OF SURFACE HIGH
PRESSURE CONTINUES TO DRIFT EAST AND CURRENTLY RESIDES WITHIN THE MS
VALLEY. LIGHT WINDS AND SMALL DEW POINT DEPRESSIONS ON THE WESTERN
PERIPHERY OF THE AREA OF HIGH PRESSURE ARE PRODUCING PATCHY FOG
FORMATION ACROSS SOUTHEAST KS. THIS FOG WILL DISSIPATE SHORTLY AFTER
SUNRISE. TRANSITIONING INTO THIS AFTERNOON, A SHORTWAVE TROUGH WILL
SLIDE ACROSS THE NORTHERN PLAINS WITH AN ASSOCIATED SURFACE TROUGH
DEEPENING ACROSS THE HIGH PLAINS. THIS WILL PROMOTE INCREASING
SOUTHERLY LOW-LEVEL FLOW WITH WIND GUSTS UP TO 35 MPH, ESPECIALLY
FOR AREAS NORTH WEST OF THE KS TURNPIKE. THIS SOUTHERLY FLOW WILL
PROMOTE WARMER TEMPERATURES WITH HIGHS RANGING FROM THE LOW 50S
ACROSS SOUTHEAST KS TO THE MID 60S ACROSS CENTRAL KS. THE WARMING
TREND WILL CONTINUE INTO NEXT WEEK WITH WIDESPREAD 60S THROUGH THE
MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK. MID TO LONG RANGE GUIDANCE CONTINUES TO SUGGEST
THE NEXT POTENTIAL FOR PRECIPITATION ARRIVES TOWARDS THE LATTER HALF
OF NEXT WEEK AS A SOUTHWESTERN TROUGH EJECTS INTO THE
CENTRAL/SOUTHERN PLAINS. THERE REMAINS LARGE SPREAD IN DETERMINISTIC
AND ENSEMBLE TRACK OF THE TROUGH, THEREFORE CONFIDENCE REMAINS LOW
FOR WIDESPREAD PRECIPITATION AT THIS POINT. STAY TUNED.
AVIATION /06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z MONDAY/
ISSUED AT 1136 PM CST SAT JAN 3 2026
VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO PREVAIL AT ALL SITES THROUGH THE END
OF THE PERIOD, THOUGH A FEW IMPACTS ARE POSSIBLE OVER THE NEXT
24 HOURS. CONFIDENCE IN PATCHY FOG ACROSS SOUTHEAST KS
CONTINUES TO DECREASE, SO KEPT A MENTION OUT OF CNU AT THIS
TIME. LLWS IS EXPECTED AT CENTRAL KS SITES AFTER SUNRISE BEFORE
DISSIPATING BY MID/LATE MORNING.
LIGHT SOUTH WINDS OVERNIGHT WILL CONTINUE TO STRENGTHEN BY SUNRISE
SUNDAY FROM WEST TO EAST ACROSS CENTRAL AND SOUTH CENTRAL KS.
SUSTAINED SPEEDS AROUND 15 KTS ARE FORECAST WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 KTS
POSSIBLE ESPECIALLY IN CENTRAL KS IN THE LATE MORNING/EARLY
AFTERNOON HOURS. THESE WILL WEAKEN BY LATE AFTERNOON AND GIVE WAY TO
SPEEDS AROUND/BELOW 10 KTS AFTER SUNDOWN.
ICT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
DISCUSSION...BRF
AVIATION...JWK
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