333
FXUS63 KICT 041737
AFDICT
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
1137 AM CST SUN JAN 4 2026
KEY MESSAGES
- WARM AND DRY PATTERN THROUGH THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK
- PRECIPITATION CHANCES (20-30%) RETURN LATE NEXT WEEK
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 334 AM CST SUN JAN 4 2026
AS OF 330 AM SUNDAY, MIDLEVEL HEIGHTS CONTINUE TO INCREASE ACROSS
THE PLAINS AS A RIDGE AXIS SLIDES OVERHEAD. AN AREA OF SURFACE HIGH
PRESSURE CONTINUES TO DRIFT EAST AND CURRENTLY RESIDES WITHIN THE MS
VALLEY. LIGHT WINDS AND SMALL DEW POINT DEPRESSIONS ON THE WESTERN
PERIPHERY OF THE AREA OF HIGH PRESSURE ARE PRODUCING PATCHY FOG
FORMATION ACROSS SOUTHEAST KS. THIS FOG WILL DISSIPATE SHORTLY AFTER
SUNRISE. TRANSITIONING INTO THIS AFTERNOON, A SHORTWAVE TROUGH WILL
SLIDE ACROSS THE NORTHERN PLAINS WITH AN ASSOCIATED SURFACE TROUGH
DEEPENING ACROSS THE HIGH PLAINS. THIS WILL PROMOTE INCREASING
SOUTHERLY LOW-LEVEL FLOW WITH WIND GUSTS UP TO 35 MPH, ESPECIALLY
FOR AREAS NORTH WEST OF THE KS TURNPIKE. THIS SOUTHERLY FLOW WILL
PROMOTE WARMER TEMPERATURES WITH HIGHS RANGING FROM THE LOW 50S
ACROSS SOUTHEAST KS TO THE MID 60S ACROSS CENTRAL KS. THE WARMING
TREND WILL CONTINUE INTO NEXT WEEK WITH WIDESPREAD 60S THROUGH THE
MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK. MID TO LONG RANGE GUIDANCE CONTINUES TO SUGGEST
THE NEXT POTENTIAL FOR PRECIPITATION ARRIVES TOWARDS THE LATTER HALF
OF NEXT WEEK AS A SOUTHWESTERN TROUGH EJECTS INTO THE
CENTRAL/SOUTHERN PLAINS. THERE REMAINS LARGE SPREAD IN DETERMINISTIC
AND ENSEMBLE TRACK OF THE TROUGH, THEREFORE CONFIDENCE REMAINS LOW
FOR WIDESPREAD PRECIPITATION AT THIS POINT. STAY TUNED.
AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z MONDAY/
ISSUED AT 1131 AM CST SUN JAN 4 2026
VFR CONDITIONS AND GUSTY SOUTH WINDS ARE EXPECTED DURING THE
DAYTIME HOURS. WINDS WILL DIMINISH AROUND SUNSET AND REMAIN ON
THE LIGHTER SIDE THROUGH THE NIGHT. LOW LEVEL WIND SHEAR LOOKS
TO IMPACT CNU SITE FOR A FEW HOURS LATE TONIGHT. OTHERWISE
LOW LEVEL MOISTURE WILL BEGIN TO STREAM NORTHWARD INTO
SOUTHEAST KANSAS FOR LATE TONIGHT. THIS WILL GENERATE LOW CLOUDS
IN THE IFR OR LIFR CATEGORY DURING THE MORNING HOURS ON MONDAY.
ICT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
DISCUSSION...BRF
AVIATION...CDJ
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