112
FXUS63 KICT 250844
AFDICT
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
244 AM CST SUN JAN 25 2026
KEY MESSAGES
- SNOW WILL BE EXITING SOUTHEAST KANSAS THIS MORNING WITH
DANGEROUS COLD REMAINING IN PLACE THROUGH MONDAY MORNING.
- BELOW NORMAL TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH ALL OF NEXT
WEEK.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 244 AM CST SUN JAN 25 2026
WATER VAPOR IMAGERY CURRENTLY SHOWS TWO UPPER LEVEL SOUTHERN
STREAM IMPULSES. ONE SLIDING ACROSS SOUTHERN TX WITH ANOTHER
DIGGING OVER THE DESERT SOUTHWEST. FURTHER NORTH, ONE VORT LOBE
IS TRACKING SOUTH ACROSS THE NORTHERN ROCKIES WITH ADDITIONAL
ENERGY TRACKING SOUTHEAST ACROSS THE NORTHERN/CENTRAL PLAINS. AT
THE SURFACE, ARCTIC AIR REMAINS THROUGH ALL OF THE PLAINS INTO
THE MISSISSIPPI VALLEY.
WIDESPREAD PRECIP REMAINS ACROSS THE SOUTHERN PLAINS AHEAD OF A
MID LEVEL TROUGH THAT EXTENDS FROM CENTRAL MO INTO THE TX
PANHANDLE. THIS TROUGH WILL CONTINUE TO SLIDE SOUTHEAST, TAKING
THE SNOW CHANCES WITH IT. SO CURRENTLY EXPECTING SNOW TO BE OUT
OF OUR SOUTHEAST KS COUNTIES BY 15Z AT THE LATEST. SO FOR THE
FIRST TIME IN A FEW DAYS, WE SHOULD FINALLY SEE SOME SUNSHINE
TODAY. ALTHOUGH WITH PLENTY OF SNOW ON THE GROUND, HIGHS TODAY
WILL STILL BE 25 TO 30 DEGREES BELOW NORMAL. WITH MOSTLY CLEAR
SKIES IN PLACE ALONG WITH SNOW COVER, LOWS MON MORNING ARE
EXPECTED TO FALL TO BELOW ZERO FOR THE ENTIRE AREA WITH MOST
READINGS FALLING TO AROUND 5 BELOW. A COUPLE LOW TEMP RECORDS
WILL ALSO BE IN JEOPARDY MON MORNING, MOST NOTABLY WICHITA(-6)
AND CHANUTE(-4). BY 00Z MON, MODELS CONTINUE TO AGREE ON ONE
LAST VORT LOBE SINKING SOUTH ACROSS THE CENTRAL ROCKIES/HIGH
PLAINS WITH ANY SNOW ASSOCIATED WITH THIS FEATURE STAYING WEST
OF OUR FORECAST AREA.
TO START THE WORK WEEK WE WILL REMAIN IN NORTHWEST FLOW ALOFT
WITH A SHARP UPPER RIDGE DEVELOPING OVER THE GREAT BASIN.
PATTERN WILL REMAIN ACTIVE WITH AN UPPER IMPULSE TRACKING ACROSS
THE UPPER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY AND INTO THE WESTERN GREAT LAKES ON
TUE WITH THE SAME SCENARIO PLAYING OUT FOR WED. EVEN THOUGH
TEMPS WILL BE WARMER THAN THEY ARE NOW, THIS SETUP WILL ALLOW
BELOW NORMAL TEMPS TO REMAIN IN PLACE. THERE ARE SOME HINTS AT
SOME SNOW ON FRI ACROSS THE HIGH PLAINS IN AN AREA OF 850-700MB
WARM ADVECTION BUT MODELS HAVE NOT BEEN VERY CONSISTENT IN THIS
SIGNAL, SO CONFIDENCE IS LOW AT THIS TIME. HOWEVER, MODELS DO
AGREE WELL ON ANOTHER SURGE OF COLD AIR MOVING-IN FRI AND
REMAINING THROUGH SAT WITH HIGHS LIKELY NOT MAKING IT OUT OF THE
20S.
AVIATION /06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z MONDAY/
ISSUED AT 1125 PM CST SAT JAN 24 2026
SNOW HAS MOVED OUT OF CENTRAL KS WITH CIGS RETURNING TO VFR AT RSL,
SLN, AND GBD. LIGHT SNOW CONTINUES IN SOUTH-CENTRAL KS, WITH
CONDITIONS EXPECTED TO IMPROVE AND RETURN TO VFR BETWEEN
10-12Z. CNU WILL BE THE LAST TO RETURN TO VFR WITH SNOW EXPECTED
TO END AROUND 15Z. NORTHERLY TO NORTHWESTERLY WINDS WILL
CONTINUE THROUGH THIS PERIOD AROUND 10 KTS.
ICT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
COLD WEATHER ADVISORY UNTIL NOON CST MONDAY FOR KSZ032-033-
047>053-067>072-082-083-091>096-098>100.
WINTER STORM WARNING UNTIL NOON CST TODAY FOR KSZ049>053-
067>072-082-083-091>096-098>100.
DISCUSSION...RBL
AVIATION...GC
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