045
FXUS63 KICT 252328
AFDICT
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
ISSUED BY NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS
528 PM CST SUN JAN 25 2026
KEY MESSAGES
- FRIGID WIND CHILLS EXPECTED MONDAY MORNING, WITH VALUES RANGING FROM
10 TO 20 DEGREES BELOW ZERO.
- QUIET WEATHER AND BELOW NORMAL TEMPERATURES EXPECTED THROUGH
THE END OF THE WEEK.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 149 PM CST SUN JAN 25 2026
CURRENT WATER VAPOR IMAGERY AND RAP ANALYSIS HIGHLIGHT A
LIFTING MID/UPPER TROUGH CENTERED OVER THE SOUTHERN ROCKIES WITH
THE ASSOCIATED SPEED MAX OVER THE OHIO RIVER VALLEY. A
SECONDARY VORT MAX IS DIVING TO THE SOUTHEAST OVER THE CENTRAL
ROCKIES, AND LIGHT SNOW HAS BEEN OBSERVED OVER PORTIONS OF THE
NORTHERN PLAINS. AT THE SURFACE, RELATIVELY LIGHT WINDS WITH A
PREDOMINATELY NORTHERN COMPONENT HAVE BEEN OBSERVED THROUGHOUT
THE FORECAST AREA SO FAR TODAY.
UPPER ENERGY IS PROGGED TO CONTINUE ROLLING TO THE SOUTH/SOUTHEAST
AND INTO THE REGION LATER TONIGHT INTO MONDAY MORNING. SHORT-
TERM MODELS CONTINUE TO CARRY LIGHT SNOW ACROSS WESTERN KANSAS
WITH LITTLE TO NO IMPACTS REACHING THE FORECAST AREA. HOWEVER,
CLOUD COVER ASSOCIATED WITH BROAD MIDLEVEL WAA OVER CENTRAL AND
SOUTH CENTRAL KS MAY PREVENT AS MUCH RADIATIVE COOLING AS
PREVIOUSLY THOUGHT. WELL STILL REMAIN PLENTY CHILLY WITH AMBIENT
TEMPERATURES NEAR/BELOW ZERO AND WIND CHILLS MONDAY MORNING
RANGING FROM 10 TO 20 DEGREES BELOW. THE COLDEST WIND CHILLS
CONTINUE TO BE EXPECTED ACROSS CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST KS.
NORTHWEST FLOW ALOFT WILL RESUME TO BEGIN THE WORK WEEK AND
KEEP CONDITIONS DRY. AFTER A DAY OF CHILLY HIGHS IN THE UPPER
TEENS AND 20S ON MONDAY, SHORTWAVE ENERGY IS FORECAST TO DIVE
SOUTHEAST OVER THE GREAT LAKES ON TUESDAY AND DRIVE A COLD FRONT
THROUGH THE CENTRAL PLAINS. CURRENTLY NOT EXPECTING
PRECIPITATION WITH THIS BOUNDARY, BUT THE TRAILING AIRMASS WILL
KEEP HIGH TEMPERATURES BELOW AVERAGE IN THE LOW 30S. FOLLOWING A
BRIEF WARMUP INTO THE 30S AND EVEN LOW 40S ON WEDNESDAY,
ANOTHER FRONT PASSING THROUGH THE AREA THURSDAY WILL KNOCK HIGHS
BACK INTO THE 20S TO CLOSE OUT THE WEEK.
AVIATION /00Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z TUESDAY/
ISSUED AT 527 PM CST SUN JAN 25 2026
VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED THROUGH THE PERIOD. LIGHT, NORTHWESTERLY
WINDS WILL TURN SOUTHWESTERLY BETWEEN 09-13Z. SOUTHWESTERLY
WINDS WILL THEN INCREASE BY AROUND 18Z WITH GUSTS BETWEEN 20-25
KNOTS EXPECTED. LOW PROBABILITY FOR LIGHT SNOW SHOWERS OR
FLURRIES FOR RSL AND GBD BETWEEN 03-06Z, BUT DID NOT INCLUDE IT
AS CHANCES REMAIN LOW AND IMPACTS WOULD BE MINIMAL.
ICT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
COLD WEATHER ADVISORY UNTIL NOON CST MONDAY FOR KSZ032-033-
047>053-067>072-082-083-091>096-098>100.
DISCUSSION...JWK
AVIATION...TOP
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