228
FXUS63 KICT 272041
AFDICT
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
241 PM CST TUE JAN 27 2026
KEY MESSAGES
- A BRIEF WARM-UP ON WEDNESDAY BEFORE ANOTHER SURGE OF ARCTIC
AIR ARRIVES LATE IN THE WEEK LINGERING INTO THE WEEKEND.
- PERIODIC FLURRIES OR LIGHT SNOW MAY IMPACT PARTS OF CENTRAL KS
FROM THURSDAY NIGHT AND LINGERING INTO THE WEEKEND, BUT WE ARE
NOT ANTICIPATING BIG IMPACTS AT THIS TIME.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 230 PM CST TUE JAN 27 2026
A WEAK FRONTAL BOUNDARY WAS MOVING ACROSS SOUTHERN KANSAS THIS
AFTERNOON WITH LIGHT NORTHERLY WINDS IN IT'S WAKE. AS SFC HIGH
PRESSURE IN THE WAKE OF THE FRONT PROPAGATES SOUTH AND EAST INTO THE
SOUTHERN PLAINS LATE TONIGHT, LIGHT SOUTHWEST WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO
OVERSPREAD THE AREA. SOME MID AND HIGH CLOUDS MAY HAMPER RADIATIONAL
COOLING EARLY, BUT WITH CLEARING LATE IN THE NIGHT, SOME GOOD
RADIATIONAL COOLING WILL OCCUR, ESPECIALLY IN AREAS WITH DEEPER
SNOWPACK.
RISING HEIGHTS/INCREASING THICKNESS ARE PROGGED ON WEDNESDAY WITH
SOUTHWESTERLY DOWNSLOPE FLOW THROUGH MUCH OF THE DAY. THIS IS
EXPECTED TO BRING RISING TEMPERATURES AND MELTING SNOW WITH HIGHS
APPROACHING AVERAGE FOR SOME LOCATIONS. LOCATIONS WITH THE DEEPEST
SNOWPACK MAY STILL STRUGGLE TO CLIMB OUT OF THE MID AND UPPER 30S.
THURSDAY-SUNDAY...A DEEP MID/UPPER TROUGH IS PROGGED TO MEANDER OVER
THE GREAT LAKES AREA ON THURSDAY WHILE ANOTHER SHORTWAVE TROUGH
ROTATES INTO THE UPPER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY AREA FORCING A COLD FRONT
SOUTHWARD OVER THE CENTRAL PLAINS. H85 COLD AIR ADVECTION IS PROGGED
TO INCREASE AND PERSIST FROM THURSDAY INTO EARLY SATURDAY BEFORE LOW
LEVEL SOUTHERLY FLOW RETURNS ALLOWING TEMPERATURES TO MODERATE. WE
COULD SEE A BRIEF PERIOD OF LIGHT SNOW OR SNOW FLURRIES AS A COUPLE
OF SUBTLE PV ANOMALIES ROTATE OVER THE AREA IN NORTHWEST MID/UPPER
FLOW LATE IN THE WEEK AND INTO THE WEEKEND. AS THE PREVIOUS SHIFT
NOTED, THIS ISN'T LOOKING LIKE A BIG EVENT AT THIS TIME.
SUNDAY-TUESDAY...A SHORTWAVE TROUGH DIGGING OVER THE NORTHERN PLAINS
AND INTO THE MIDDLE MISSISSIPPI VALLEY AREA LATE THIS WEEKEND MAY
BRING ANOTHER ROUND OF LIGHT SNOW TO THE AREA ALTHOUGH HIGHER
PROBABILITIES ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN NORTH AND EAST OF THE FORECAST
AREA AT THIS TIME. RISING HEIGHTS/INCREASING THICKNESS EARLY IN THE
WEEK IS EXPECTED TO RESULT IN RISING TEMPERATURES ONCE AGAIN. A
PROGRESSIVE PATTERN WILL BRING ANOTHER SHORTWAVE TROUGH INTO THE
AREA TOWARDS THE MIDDLE OF THE WEEK. IMPACTS TO SENSIBLE WEATHER MAY
REMAIN NORTH AND EAST OF OUR FORECAST AREA WITH SEASONABLE AND DRY
WEATHER CONDITIONS ANTICIPATED AT THIS TIME.
AVIATION /12Z TAFS THROUGH 12Z WEDNESDAY/
ISSUED AT 1057 AM CST TUE JAN 27 2026
VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO PREVAIL OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
A SURFACE TROUGH SAGGING ACROSS THE AREA WILL SUPPORT LIGHT
WINDS ACROSS THE AREA THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING. SCT TO BKN
MID LEVEL CLOUDS CONTINUE TO OVERSPREAD THE REGION, AND THESE
SHOULD SHIFT EASTWARD BY TONIGHT OR WEDNESDAY MORNING.
ICT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
DISCUSSION...MWM
AVIATION...JC
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