280
FXUS63 KICT 061744
AFDICT
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
1244 PM CDT WED MAY 6 2026
KEY MESSAGES
- UNSEASONABLY COOL TONIGHT WITH SOME RECORD OR NEAR RECORD LOWS
POSSIBLE EARLY THURSDAY MORNING.
- WARMING TREND BEGINNING THURSDAY.
- ISOLATED LATE DAY STORM IN SOUTHEAST KS ON FRIDAY, ALTHOUGH
HIGHER PROBABILITIES FOR STORMS MAY ARRIVE ON SATURDAY.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 1243 PM CDT WED MAY 6 2026
LIGHT RAIN SHOWERS OVER PARTS OF CENTRAL KANSAS WILL GRADUALLY
DIMINISH AS WE MOVE THROUGH THE DAY AND WITH INCREASING LARGE-SCALE
FORCING FOR SUBSIDENCE THIS EVENING AND TONIGHT WE EXPECT SOME
CLEARING AS WE MOVE THROUGH THE EVENING HOURS. RADIATIONAL COOLING
WILL FOLLOW BUT WE CONTINUE TO SEE SUPPORT FOR SOME MIXING IN OUR
CENTRAL KS COUNTIES WHICH MAY KEEP TEMPERATURES FROM BOTTOMING OUT
ALONG THE I-70 CORRIDOR. EITHER WAY, SOME PATCHY FROST WILL BE HARD
TO RULE OUT FOR AREAS MAINLY WEST HWY 14 WHERE A FROST ADVISORY WILL
BE HOISTED FOR TONIGHT/EARLY THU.
SOUTHWESTERLY LOW LEVEL FLOW, DRY AIR AND FULL INSOLATION WILL ALLOW
TEMPERATURES TO RETURN TO MORE SEASONABLE VALUES ON THURSDAY
AFTERNOON WITH HIGHS CLIMBING INTO THE LOW TO MID 70S FOR MUCH OF
THE AREA ALTHOUGH SOUTHEAST KS MAY LAG A BIT.
FRI-SAT...A PROGRESSIVE NORTHWEST MID/UPPER FLOW WILL ALLOW ONE
SHORTWAVE TROUGH TO ARRIVE LATE IN THE DAY ON FRI WHICH COULD RESULT
IN AN ISOLATED STORM OR TWO ALONG AN ADVANCING FRONTAL BOUNDARY IN
FAR SOUTHEAST KS ALTHOUGH HIGHER PROBABILITIES ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN
SOUTH AND EAST OF THE AREA. ANOTHER SHORTWAVE TROUGH IS PROGGED TO
ARRIVE RIGHT ON IT'S HEELS ON SATURDAY. LOW LEVEL MOISTURE IS
PROGGED TO REMAIN SCARCE BUT WITH 40-45 KNOTS OF DEEP LAYER SHEAR,
WE COULD SEE A STRONG STORM OR TWO BEFORE A REINFORCING SHOT OF
DRIER AIR ARRIVES FORCING THE LOW LEVEL MOISTURE WELL SOUTH OF THE
AREA AS WE MOVE INTO SUNDAY. MILD TEMPERATURES ARE ANTICIPATED
THROUGH THE PERIOD WITH HIGHS IN THE 70S AND 80S, COOLEST ON SUNDAY
AS WE SEE A STABLE POST-FRONTAL REGIME BUILD OVER THE AREA.
MON-WED...A MID/UPPER RIDGE OVER THE WESTERN CONUS IS PROGGED TO
TRANSLATE EASTWARD INTO THE CENTRAL CONUS EARLY NEXT WEEK BRINGING
RISING HEIGHTS/INCREASING THICKNESS AND RISING TEMPERATURES. WE
COULD SEE HIGHS CLIMB INTO THE 90S FOR PARTS OF THE AREA THROUGH THE
PERIOD WHILE MOSTLY DRY WEATHER CONDITIONS PREVAIL.
AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z THURSDAY/
ISSUED AT 1232 PM CDT WED MAY 6 2026
WITH LOW CLOUDS CLEARING OUT EARLY THIS AFTERNOON, VFR
CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO DOMINATE THE AREA THROUGH THE TAF
PERIOD. SOME LINGERING VERY LIGHT RAIN SHOWERS ARE POSSIBLE
ALONG THE I-70 CORRIDOR THIS AFTERNOON, BUT RAIN CHANCES SHOULD
BE COMING TO AN END SOON.
LIGHT NORTHERLY TO NORTHEASTERLY WINDS SHOULD CONTINUE THIS
AFTERNOON AND NIGHT, THEN WINDS WILL SHIFT TO WESTERLY OVERNIGHT
INTO EARLY THURSDAY MORNING. WIND SPEED SHOULD REMAIN UNDER 10
KNOTS UNTIL THE END OF THE TAF PERIOD.
CLIMATE
ISSUED AT 1243 PM CDT WED MAY 6 2026
LOW TEMPERATURES FOR TONIGHT-EARLY THURSDAY...
FORECAST RECORD LOW YEAR
WICHITA 39 37 1908
SALINA 37 35 1951
CHANUTE 39 36 1989
RUSSELL 34 34 1960
ICT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
FROST ADVISORY FROM 3 AM TO 8 AM CDT THURSDAY FOR KSZ032-047-
050-067-082-091.
DISCUSSION...MWM
AVIATION...JC
CLIMATE...MWM
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.
Main Text Page