463
FXUS63 KICT 261955
AFDICT
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
255 PM CDT TUE MAY 26 2026
KEY MESSAGES
- ACTIVE PATTERN, WITH SCATTERED SHOWERS/THUNDERSTORMS JUST
ABOUT EVERY DAY WEDNESDAY THROUGH THE WEEKEND, MAINLY DURING
THE LATE MORNING HOURS THROUGH THE EVENING HOURS. LOCALLY
HEAVY RAINFALL WITH ISOLATED INSTANCES OF FLOODING WILL BE
THE PRIMARY THREAT.
- SEASONABLE TEMPERATURES EXPECTED THROUGH AT LEAST THE NEXT 7
DAYS.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 250 PM CDT TUE MAY 26 2026
RAIN/THUNDERSTORM CHANCES:
THIS AFTERNOON-EVENING...A WEAK/SUBTLE UPPER LOW OVER OKLAHOMA
COMBINED WITH AN UNCAPPED AND MODESTLY UNSTABLE AIRMASS MAY SUPPORT
A FEW ISOLATED SHOWERS/THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH ABOUT 10 PM THIS
EVENING OVER SOUTHERN KS, MAINLY SOUTH OF HIGHWAY 54. STRONG OR
SEVERE STORMS ARE NOT EXPECTED, ALTHOUGH SEASONABLY RICH
PRECIPITABLE WATERS AND SLOW STORM MOTIONS MAY SUPPORT LOCALLY HEAVY
RAINFALL.
WEDNESDAY--SUNDAY:
THIS WILL BE AN UNSETTLED WEATHER PATTERN, WITH CHANCES FOR
SCATTERED SHOWERS/THUNDERSTORMS JUST ABOUT EVERY DAY FROM THE LATE
MORNING HOURS THROUGH THE EVENING HOURS. THE CULPRITS WILL BE A
HANDFUL OF SLOW-MOVING UPPER LOWS AMIDST ABOVE AVERAGE PRECIPITABLE
WATERS AND UNCAPPED THERMAL PROFILES. WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY MAY
HAVE THE GREATEST COVERAGE OF STORMS GIVEN THE UPPER FORCING,
ALTHOUGH SATURDAY-SUNDAY HAVE POTENTIAL TO HAVE DECENT COVERAGE AS
WELL. THE OVERALL SETUP OF RELATIVELY WEAK SHEAR WITH MODEST
INSTABILITY AND POOR MID-LEVEL LAPSE RATES SHOULD PRECLUDE SEVERE
WEATHER, ALTHOUGH A SLIGHT UPTICK IN DEEP LAYER SHEAR FRIDAY-
SATURDAY MAY SUPPORT AN ISOLATED LOW-END SEVERE RISK THOSE DAYS.
ADDITIONALLY, THE RICH PRECIPITABLE WATERS COMBINED WITH SLOW
STORM MOTIONS WILL PROMOTE LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL AND ISOLATED
FLOODING CONCERNS.
TEMPERATURES:
FAIRLY UNIFORM TEMPERATURES IN THE UPPER 70S TO MID 80S ARE EXPECTED
EACH DAY THROUGH THE NEXT 7 DAYS, WITH OVERNIGHT LOWS IN THE UPPER
50S TO MID 60S. THESE VALUES ARE VERY CLOSE TO NORMAL FOR THIS TIME
OF YEAR. DEWPOINTS CLIMBING THROUGH THE 60S WILL SUPPORT AFTERNOON
HEAT INDICES A FEW DEGREES HIGHER THAN AFTERNOON TEMPERATURES.
AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z WEDNESDAY/
ISSUED AT 1117 AM CDT TUE MAY 26 2026
AVIATION CONCERNS ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN ON THE LOW SIDE THROUGH
THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
CURRENTLY HAVE AN UPPER IMPULSE OVER SOUTHWEST TX WITH ANOTHER
UPPER WAVE OVER NORTHERN AR. WIDESPREAD CU WILL BE IN PLACE
TODAY AT ALL SITES ALONG WITH SOUTHEAST WINDS. CURRENT THINKING
IS THAT THE BULK OF THE SCT SHOWERS AND STORMS WILL STAY SOUTH
OF THE AREA THROUGH WED AFTERNOON AS THE SOUTHERN STREAM WAVE
CONTINUES TO LIFT NORTHEAST. SO AT THIS POINT WILL GO WITH VFR
AT ALL SITES THROUGH 18Z WED.
ICT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
DISCUSSION...ADK
AVIATION...RBL
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.
Main Text Page