763
FXUS63 KICT 262306
AFDICT
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
606 PM CDT TUE MAY 26 2026
..UPDATED AVIATION DISCUSSION
KEY MESSAGES
- ACTIVE PATTERN, WITH SCATTERED SHOWERS/THUNDERSTORMS JUST
ABOUT EVERY DAY WEDNESDAY THROUGH THE WEEKEND, MAINLY DURING
THE LATE MORNING HOURS THROUGH THE EVENING HOURS. LOCALLY
HEAVY RAINFALL WITH ISOLATED INSTANCES OF FLOODING WILL BE
THE PRIMARY THREAT.
- SEASONABLE TEMPERATURES EXPECTED THROUGH AT LEAST THE NEXT 7
DAYS.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 250 PM CDT TUE MAY 26 2026
RAIN/THUNDERSTORM CHANCES:
THIS AFTERNOON-EVENING...A WEAK/SUBTLE UPPER LOW OVER OKLAHOMA
COMBINED WITH AN UNCAPPED AND MODESTLY UNSTABLE AIRMASS MAY SUPPORT
A FEW ISOLATED SHOWERS/THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH ABOUT 10 PM THIS
EVENING OVER SOUTHERN KS, MAINLY SOUTH OF HIGHWAY 54. STRONG OR
SEVERE STORMS ARE NOT EXPECTED, ALTHOUGH SEASONABLY RICH
PRECIPITABLE WATERS AND SLOW STORM MOTIONS MAY SUPPORT LOCALLY HEAVY
RAINFALL.
WEDNESDAY--SUNDAY:
THIS WILL BE AN UNSETTLED WEATHER PATTERN, WITH CHANCES FOR
SCATTERED SHOWERS/THUNDERSTORMS JUST ABOUT EVERY DAY FROM THE LATE
MORNING HOURS THROUGH THE EVENING HOURS. THE CULPRITS WILL BE A
HANDFUL OF SLOW-MOVING UPPER LOWS AMIDST ABOVE AVERAGE PRECIPITABLE
WATERS AND UNCAPPED THERMAL PROFILES. WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY MAY
HAVE THE GREATEST COVERAGE OF STORMS GIVEN THE UPPER FORCING,
ALTHOUGH SATURDAY-SUNDAY HAVE POTENTIAL TO HAVE DECENT COVERAGE AS
WELL. THE OVERALL SETUP OF RELATIVELY WEAK SHEAR WITH MODEST
INSTABILITY AND POOR MID-LEVEL LAPSE RATES SHOULD PRECLUDE SEVERE
WEATHER, ALTHOUGH A SLIGHT UPTICK IN DEEP LAYER SHEAR FRIDAY-
SATURDAY MAY SUPPORT AN ISOLATED LOW-END SEVERE RISK THOSE DAYS.
ADDITIONALLY, THE RICH PRECIPITABLE WATERS COMBINED WITH SLOW
STORM MOTIONS WILL PROMOTE LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL AND ISOLATED
FLOODING CONCERNS.
TEMPERATURES:
FAIRLY UNIFORM TEMPERATURES IN THE UPPER 70S TO MID 80S ARE EXPECTED
EACH DAY THROUGH THE NEXT 7 DAYS, WITH OVERNIGHT LOWS IN THE UPPER
50S TO MID 60S. THESE VALUES ARE VERY CLOSE TO NORMAL FOR THIS TIME
OF YEAR. DEWPOINTS CLIMBING THROUGH THE 60S WILL SUPPORT AFTERNOON
HEAT INDICES A FEW DEGREES HIGHER THAN AFTERNOON TEMPERATURES.
AVIATION /00Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z THURSDAY/
ISSUED AT 606 PM CDT TUE MAY 26 2026
VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO PREVAIL AT ALL SITES THROUGH THE END
OF THE PERIOD. RELATIVELY LIGHT EAST/SOUTHEAST WINDS WILL PERSIST
THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT HOURS BEFORE PICKING BACK UP AFTER SUNRISE.
COULD SEE SOME SCATTERED SHOWERS AND STORMS LATER ON IN THE PERIOD
ESPECIALLY AT CENTRAL AND SOUTH CENTRAL SITES, BUT CONFIDENCE IN
IMPACTS IS TOO LOW FOR A MENTION WITH THIS CYCLE.
ICT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
DISCUSSION...ADK
AVIATION...JWK
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