971
FXUS63 KICT 270755
AFDICT
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
255 AM CDT WED MAY 27 2026
KEY MESSAGES
- SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL LINGER THROUGH THE
UPCOMING WEEK AND INTO THE WEEKEND. GUSTY WINDS AND LOCALLY
HEAVY RAIN MAY BE POSSIBLE WITH THE STRONGEST ACTIVITY.
- SEASONABLE TEMPERATURES ANTICIPATED OVER THE UPCOMING WEEK.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 252 AM CDT WED MAY 27 2026
A SHORTWAVE TROUGH OVER THE SOUTHERN HIGH PLAINS IS PROGGED TO PIVOT
NORTHWARD INTO THE CENTRAL HIGH PLAINS OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. THIS
IS EXPECTED TO RESULT IN AN INCREASE IN AREAL COVERAGE OF AFTERNOON
SHOWERS AND STORMS. THE BEST COVERAGE OF SHOWERS AND MORE WIDELY
SCATTERED STORMS IS EXPECTED DURING THE MID TO LATE AFTERNOON HOURS,
ESPECIALLY ALONG AND WEST OF A LINE FROM NEAR WINFIELD TO
HUTCHINSON TO GREAT BEND. LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN WILL REMAIN
POSSIBLE GIVEN SLOW STORM MOTIONS, TRAINING POTENTIAL AND A
MOIST COLUMN WITH PWATS PROGGED TO RISE TO AROUND 1.6 INCHES
OVER SOUTHERN KS.
THURSDAY-SUNDAY...ONLY SUBTLE AND MINOR CHANGES ARE ANTICIPATED IN
THE LARGER-SCALE PATTERN AS WE MOVE THROUGH THE UPCOMING WEEKEND
WITH SCATTERED STORMS POSSIBLE DURING THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING
HOURS THROUGH MUCH OF THE PERIOD. WINDS ALOFT AND SHEAR ARE PROGGED
TO REMAIN WEAK ACROSS THE REGION AND SEVERE STORMS ARE NOT
ANTICIPATED. LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN AND SPORADIC WIND GUSTS WILL BE
POSSIBLE WITH THE STRONGEST ACTIVITY. SEASONABLY MILD TEMPERATURES
ARE ALSO ANTICIPATED WITH HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO LOW/MID 80S.
MONDAY-TUESDAY...WE MAY BEGIN TO SEE MORE OF A NORTHWEST FLOW REGIME
AS WE MOVE INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK AS THE MID/UPPER RIDGE AMPLIFIES
OVER THE ROCKIES. THIS COULD KEEP SOME LOW POPS IN THE FORECAST AS
IT MAY STEER SOME SUBTLE SHORTWAVE TROUGHS INTO THE REGION BUT
CONFIDENCE IN THE DETAILS REMAINS LOW AT THIS TIME.
AVIATION /06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z THURSDAY/
ISSUED AT 1122 PM CDT TUE MAY 26 2026
VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH MUCH OF THE TAF PERIOD.
PATCHY FOG CANNOT BE ENTIRELY RULED OUT ACROSS SOUTHEAST KS BUT
CONFIDENCE IN IMPACTS AT CNU ARE TOO LOW FOR INTRODUCTION. WINDS
WILL REMAIN FROM THE SOUTHEAST AROUND 10 KT AT ALL SITES. SHOWER
AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL INCREASE FROM SOUTH TO NORTH DURING THE
EVENING AND OVERNIGHT. TO ACCOUNT FOR THIS, A PROB30 MENTION HAS
BEEN ADDED AT GBD, HUT, AND ICT.
ICT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
DISCUSSION...MWM
AVIATION...BRF
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