244
FXUS63 KICT 271153
AFDICT
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
653 AM CDT WED MAY 27 2026
KEY MESSAGES
- SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL LINGER THROUGH THE
UPCOMING WEEK AND INTO THE WEEKEND. GUSTY WINDS AND LOCALLY
HEAVY RAIN MAY BE POSSIBLE WITH THE STRONGEST ACTIVITY.
- SEASONABLE TEMPERATURES ANTICIPATED OVER THE UPCOMING WEEK.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 252 AM CDT WED MAY 27 2026
A SHORTWAVE TROUGH OVER THE SOUTHERN HIGH PLAINS IS PROGGED TO PIVOT
NORTHWARD INTO THE CENTRAL HIGH PLAINS OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. THIS
IS EXPECTED TO RESULT IN AN INCREASE IN AREAL COVERAGE OF AFTERNOON
SHOWERS AND STORMS. THE BEST COVERAGE OF SHOWERS AND MORE WIDELY
SCATTERED STORMS IS EXPECTED DURING THE MID TO LATE AFTERNOON HOURS,
ESPECIALLY ALONG AND WEST OF A LINE FROM NEAR WINFIELD TO
HUTCHINSON TO GREAT BEND. LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN WILL REMAIN
POSSIBLE GIVEN SLOW STORM MOTIONS, TRAINING POTENTIAL AND A
MOIST COLUMN WITH PWATS PROGGED TO RISE TO AROUND 1.6 INCHES
OVER SOUTHERN KS.
THURSDAY-SUNDAY...ONLY SUBTLE AND MINOR CHANGES ARE ANTICIPATED IN
THE LARGER-SCALE PATTERN AS WE MOVE THROUGH THE UPCOMING WEEKEND
WITH SCATTERED STORMS POSSIBLE DURING THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING
HOURS THROUGH MUCH OF THE PERIOD. WINDS ALOFT AND SHEAR ARE PROGGED
TO REMAIN WEAK ACROSS THE REGION AND SEVERE STORMS ARE NOT
ANTICIPATED. LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN AND SPORADIC WIND GUSTS WILL BE
POSSIBLE WITH THE STRONGEST ACTIVITY. SEASONABLY MILD TEMPERATURES
ARE ALSO ANTICIPATED WITH HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO LOW/MID 80S.
MONDAY-TUESDAY...WE MAY BEGIN TO SEE MORE OF A NORTHWEST FLOW REGIME
AS WE MOVE INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK AS THE MID/UPPER RIDGE AMPLIFIES
OVER THE ROCKIES. THIS COULD KEEP SOME LOW POPS IN THE FORECAST AS
IT MAY STEER SOME SUBTLE SHORTWAVE TROUGHS INTO THE REGION BUT
CONFIDENCE IN THE DETAILS REMAINS LOW AT THIS TIME.
AVIATION /12Z TAFS THROUGH 12Z THURSDAY/
ISSUED AT 649 AM CDT WED MAY 27 2026
SOME PATCHY FOG WAS IMPACTING SOUTHEAST KS BUT SHOULD QUICKLY
DISSIPATE. LIGHT EASTERLY WINDS WILL PREVAIL ACROSS THE AREA
TODAY WITH SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS DEVELOPING THIS
AFTERNOON. PROB30 GROUPS WERE ADDED TO ALL TERMINALS AS WE MOVE
INTO THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING HOURS WITH SOME SHOWER ACTIVITY
POSSIBLY LINGERING INTO THE OVERNIGHT HOURS.
ICT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
DISCUSSION...MWM
AVIATION...MWM
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