091
FXUS63 KICT 271734
AFDICT
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
1234 PM CDT WED MAY 27 2026
KEY MESSAGES
- SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL LINGER THROUGH THE
UPCOMING WEEK AND INTO THE WEEKEND. GUSTY WINDS AND LOCALLY
HEAVY RAIN MAY BE POSSIBLE WITH THE STRONGEST ACTIVITY.
- SEASONABLE TEMPERATURES ANTICIPATED OVER THE UPCOMING WEEK.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 252 AM CDT WED MAY 27 2026
A SHORTWAVE TROUGH OVER THE SOUTHERN HIGH PLAINS IS PROGGED TO PIVOT
NORTHWARD INTO THE CENTRAL HIGH PLAINS OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. THIS
IS EXPECTED TO RESULT IN AN INCREASE IN AREAL COVERAGE OF AFTERNOON
SHOWERS AND STORMS. THE BEST COVERAGE OF SHOWERS AND MORE WIDELY
SCATTERED STORMS IS EXPECTED DURING THE MID TO LATE AFTERNOON HOURS,
ESPECIALLY ALONG AND WEST OF A LINE FROM NEAR WINFIELD TO
HUTCHINSON TO GREAT BEND. LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN WILL REMAIN
POSSIBLE GIVEN SLOW STORM MOTIONS, TRAINING POTENTIAL AND A
MOIST COLUMN WITH PWATS PROGGED TO RISE TO AROUND 1.6 INCHES
OVER SOUTHERN KS.
THURSDAY-SUNDAY...ONLY SUBTLE AND MINOR CHANGES ARE ANTICIPATED IN
THE LARGER-SCALE PATTERN AS WE MOVE THROUGH THE UPCOMING WEEKEND
WITH SCATTERED STORMS POSSIBLE DURING THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING
HOURS THROUGH MUCH OF THE PERIOD. WINDS ALOFT AND SHEAR ARE PROGGED
TO REMAIN WEAK ACROSS THE REGION AND SEVERE STORMS ARE NOT
ANTICIPATED. LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN AND SPORADIC WIND GUSTS WILL BE
POSSIBLE WITH THE STRONGEST ACTIVITY. SEASONABLY MILD TEMPERATURES
ARE ALSO ANTICIPATED WITH HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO LOW/MID 80S.
MONDAY-TUESDAY...WE MAY BEGIN TO SEE MORE OF A NORTHWEST FLOW REGIME
AS WE MOVE INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK AS THE MID/UPPER RIDGE AMPLIFIES
OVER THE ROCKIES. THIS COULD KEEP SOME LOW POPS IN THE FORECAST AS
IT MAY STEER SOME SUBTLE SHORTWAVE TROUGHS INTO THE REGION BUT
CONFIDENCE IN THE DETAILS REMAINS LOW AT THIS TIME.
AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z THURSDAY/
ISSUED AT 1225 PM CDT WED MAY 27 2026
WINDS WILL REMAIN OUT OF THE EAST THROUGH THE AFTERNOON AND
EVENING HOURS BEFORE BECOMING LIGHT AND VARIABLE OVERNIGHT.
WINDS WILL TURN OUT OF THE NORTHEAST AROUND 12Z, REMAINING UNDER
10 KNOTS.
RAIN CHANCES WILL BEGIN TO INCREASE ACROSS THE AREA OVER THE
NEXT FEW HOURS WITH ISOLATED, BRIEF THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE AT
ALL SITES BETWEEN 21-06Z. AFTER 06Z, LIGHT SCATTERED SHOWERS
WILL PERSIST THROUGH THE END OF THE PERIOD WITH MINIMAL AVIATION
IMPACTS.
CEILINGS WILL REMAIN JUST WITHIN VFR LEVELS THROUGH AROUND 12Z,
AT WHICH POINT CEILINGS ARE EXPECTED TO FALL TO MVFR LEVELS
THROUGH THE END OF THE FORECAST PERIOD. SOME GUIDANCE BRINGS
CEILINGS INTO IFR RANGE, BUT CONFIDENCE REMAINS LOW AT THIS
POINT.
ICT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
DISCUSSION...MWM
AVIATION...AMD
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