495
FXUS63 KICT 011050
AFDICT
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
550 AM CDT MON JUN 1 2026
KEY MESSAGES
- THUNDERSTORMS WILL EXIT THE AREA LATER THIS MORNING
- A SLIGHT CHANCE EXISTS FOR THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS CENTRAL KS
THIS AFTERNOON
- THUNDERSTORM CHANCES BECOME LIKELY TONIGHT ACROSS PORTIONS OF
CENTRAL AND SOUTH-CENTRAL KS
- ADDITIONAL THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE EACH DAY TUESDAY
THROUGH SATURDAY
- SEASONAL TEMPERATURES OVER THE NEXT WEEK WITH HIGHS IN THE
80S TO NEAR 90
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 308 AM CDT MON JUN 1 2026
AS OF 245 AM MONDAY MORNING, SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS CONTINUE TO
PROGRESS EAST ACROSS SOUTHEAST KS. THESE ARE LARGELY DRIVEN BY WEAK
LOW-LEVEL WAA. LATEST IR SATELLITE TRENDS REVEAL WARMING CLOUD TOPS
WHICH SUGGEST THE POTENTIAL FOR ANY SEVERE WEATHER IS DECREASING.
FURTHER WEST, MIDLEVEL CYCLONIC FLOW CONTINUES TO OVERSPREAD THE
CENTRAL AND NORTHERN HIGH PLAINS. A SURFACE LOW WILL CONTINUE TO
GRADUALLY DEEPEN ACROSS NORTHEAST NM OR SOUTHEAST CO THROUGHOUT THE
DAY TODAY. FURTHER NORTH, AN AREA OF SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE WILL
SETTLE ACROSS PORTIONS OF NE AND SD. THE COMBINATION OF THE SURFACE
LOW AND HIGH PRESSURE WILL ENHANCE UPSLOPE FLOW ACROSS WESTERN KS
AND EASTERN CO. ISOLATED TO SCATTERED THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT IS
EXPECTED TO GROW UPSCALE INTO AN MCS OR STORM CLUSTERS LATE THIS
EVENING INTO MONDAY NIGHT. THESE ARE LIKELY TO PROPAGATE
SOUTHEASTWARD WITHIN A HIGH PW ENVIRONMENT. THIS WOULD STEER THE MCS
AND/OR CLUSTERS INTO PORTIONS OF CENTRAL AND SOUTH-CENTRAL KS LATE
THIS EVENING INTO TUESDAY MORNING. DAMAGING WINDS UP TO 60 MPH AND
HEAVY RAINFALL ARE THE MAIN CONCERNS WITH THE CONVECTION TONIGHT
INTO TUESDAY MORNING.
THE ACTIVE WEATHER PATTERN WILL CONTINUE TUESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY
WITH THE FOCUS FOR THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE WESTERN HALF OF KS. RAIN
CHANCES WILL EXPAND TO EASTERN KS FOR LATE THIS WEEK INTO THE
WEEKEND AS THE RIDGE AXIS SHIFTS EAST. AT THIS POINT, THE POTENTIAL
FOR WIDESPREAD SEVERE WEATHER APPEARS LOW. TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN
SEASONABLE WITH HIGHS IN THE 80S TO NEAR 90.
AVIATION /12Z TAFS THROUGH 12Z TUESDAY/
ISSUED AT 546 AM CDT MON JUN 1 2026
SHALLOW GROUND FOG AT ICT WILL CONTINUE THROUGH 13Z, ALTHOUGH
VSBY SHOULD REMAIN PREDOMINATELY VFR. WINDS WILL BECOME EASTERLY
AT 10-15 KT AT RSL/GBD/SLN/HUT/ICT BY MID TO LATE MORNING.
THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP ACROSS EASTERN CO AND
WESTERN KS THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING AND MOVE EAST TOWARDS
CENTRAL KS. GBD AND RSL STAND THE GREATEST POTENTIAL FOR
RECEIVING IMPACTS FROM -TSRA. AS SUCH, INTRODUCED A PREVAILING
SHRA AND VCTS. CONFIDENCE DECREASES WITH EASTERN EXTENT,
THEREFORE A PROB30 HAS BEEN INTRODUCED AT SLN/HUT/ICT AFTER 06Z.
ICT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
DISCUSSION...BRF
AVIATION...BRF
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