915
FXUS63 KICT 011135
AFDICT
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
635 AM CDT WED JUL 1 2026
KEY MESSAGES
- ISOLATED STRONG/SEVERE STORMS COULD IMPACT PARTS OF CENTRAL
KANSAS THIS EVENING.
- HEAT WILL CONTINUE TO PERSIST OVER THE REGION WITH THE HOTTEST
TEMPERATURES/HIGHEST HEAT INDICES EXPECTED FOR FRI/SAT.
- NEXT CHANCES FOR STORMS LOOKS TO AFFECT THE REGION SATURDAY
NIGHT INTO SUNDAY.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 253 AM CDT WED JUL 1 2026
CURRENTLY, AN EXPANSIVE RIDGE DOMINATES THE EASTERN US WITH
TROUGHING ACROSS THE WESTERN US. AT THE SURFACE, A STATIONARY
BOUNDARY IS DRAPED FROM THE UPPER MIDWEST INTO THE CENTRAL PLAINS.
AN OUTFLOW BOUNDARY FROM YESTERDAY EVENING'S STORMS BISECTS THE
FORECAST AREA FROM SALINA TO MED LODGE AND A FEW WEAK ATTEMPTS AT
SHOWERS HIGHLIGHT THIS FEATURE. AS THE STATE CONTINUES TO BE PINCHED
BETWEEN THE ANOMALOUS HIGH PRESSURE TO OUR EAST AND THE LEE TROUGH
TO THE WEST, BREEZY SOUTHERLY WINDS WILL PERSIST THROUGH THE DAY.
A REPEAT OF YESTERDAY'S STORMS IS EXPECTED AGAIN THIS EVENING AS
ANOTHER SHORTWAVE PASSES ACROSS THE ROCKIES AND INTO THE NORTHERN
PLAINS. THE DEEPENING LEE SURFACE TROUGH WILL SHARPEN THE ASSOCIATED
DRY LINE IN WESTERN KANSAS. CONVECTION WILL ONCE AGAIN DEVELOP OVER
THE CENTRAL HIGH PLAINS ALONG THE DRY LINE AND PROGRESS EASTWARD
THROUGH THE EVENING HOURS. A FEW STORMS, SOME OF THEM STRONG TO
SEVERE, COULD IMPACT OUR CENTRAL KANSAS COUNTIES LATER THIS
EVENING/INTO THE OVERNIGHT. THE STRONGEST STORMS WOULD BE CAPABLE OF
SOME GUSTY WINDS AND SMALL HAIL.
THEN, A SLIGHT PATTERN CHANGE MIGHT BE IN STORE FOR THE SECOND HALF
OF THE FORECAST PERIOD. AN UPPER LEVEL WAVE LOOKS TO TRAVERSE THE
DAKOTAS ON SATURDAY NIGHT WHICH WOULD SUPPORT RAIN/STORM CHANCES
SATURDAY EVENING INTO SUNDAY MORNING. ADDITIONAL SPOTTY RAIN AND
STORM CHANCES EXIST GOING INTO NEXT WEEK WHEN UPPER LEVEL FLOW TURNS
NORTHWESTERLY AS THE RIDGE AXIS SHIFTS WEST.
AFTERNOON HIGHS ARE EXPECTED TO REACH INTO THE LOWER TO MIDDLE 90S
THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS. WITH HIGHS IN THE 90S AND DEWPOINTS AROUND 70
DEGREES, HEAT INDEX VALUES WILL APPROACH 105 DEGREES THE NEXT COUPLE
DAYS. A HEAT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH THURSDAY. HEIGHTS
WILL INCREASE THROUGH THE END OF THE WEEK, INDICATING HEAT WILL
CONTINUE TO BUILD OVER THE SUNFLOWER STATE. BY FRIDAY AND SATURDAY,
HIGHS WILL APPROACH 100 DEGREES FOR MANY ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA.
WITH THE PATTERN SHIFT FOR THE LATTER HALF OF THE FORECAST PERIOD,
HIGHS WILL BE CLOSER TO NORMAL FOR SUNDAY INTO NEXT WEEK, TOPPING
OUT IN THE LOWER 90S.
AVIATION /12Z TAFS THROUGH 12Z THURSDAY/
ISSUED AT 633 AM CDT WED JUL 1 2026
BREEZY SOUTHERLY WINDS WILL REMAIN THE MAIN AVIATION CONCERN
OVER THE FORECAST PERIOD AS WIND GUSTS THROUGH THE DAY WILL
REACH AROUND 25 KNOTS.
A FEW LINGERING SHOWERS MAY IMPACT CENTRAL KANSAS SITES WITH
MINIMAL IMPACTS EXPECTED. ADDITIONAL THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED
LATER THIS EVENING FOR RSL AND GBD. GUSTY WINDS AND MVFR VIS ARE
THE MOST LIKELY IMPACTS.
ICT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
HEAT ADVISORY UNTIL 8 PM CDT THURSDAY FOR KSZ032-033-047>053-
067>072-082-083-091>096-098>100.
DISCUSSION...AMD
AVIATION...AMD
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