872
FXUS63 KICT 060827
AFDICT
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
327 AM CDT MON JUL 6 2026
KEY MESSAGES
- CAN'T COMPLETELY RULE OUT AN ISOLATED THUNDERSTORM OVER
EASTERN KANSAS LATER TODAY, ALTHOUGH THESE CHANCES ARE FAIRLY
LOW.
- DRY WEATHER EXPECTED THROUGH WEDNESDAY, WITH OFF-AND-ON
THUNDERSTORM CHANCES WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT OR
SATURDAY.
- A GRADUAL WARMING TREND EXPECTED THROUGH LATE WEEK.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 325 AM CDT MON JUL 6 2026
FOG:
EARLY THIS MORNING...WITH HIGH PRESSURE SETTLING SOUTH, ALONG WITH
LIGHT WINDS AND CLEARING SKIES, CAN'T RULE OUT SOME PATCHY/SHALLOW
FOG EARLY THIS MORNING THROUGH ABOUT 9 AM OVER PORTIONS OF EASTERN
AND SOUTHEAST KS WHERE DEWPOINT DEPRESSIONS ARE SMALLEST. DEFINITELY
NOT EXPECTING WIDESPREAD DENSE FOG.
THUNDERSTORM CHANCES:
THIS AFTERNOON--EVENING...SIMILAR TO YESTERDAY, THE WESTERN
INFLUENCE OF A DEPARTING UPPER LOW ALONG WITH SOMEWHAT COOLER
TEMPERATURES ALOFT MAY SUPPORT AN ISOLATED SHOWER/THUNDERSTORM LATER
THIS AFTERNOON INTO THE EVENING OVER FAR EASTERN KANSAS. A FEW CAM
SOLUTIONS INDICATE THIS ISOLATED ACTIVITY. CHANCES ARE QUITE LOW AND
SLIGHTLY BETTER JUST EAST OF THE FORECAST AREA, SO DID NOT INCLUDE
MENTION IN THE FORECAST.
TONIGHT--WEDNESDAY...BUILDING UPPER RIDGING SHOULD SUPPORT DRY
WEATHER ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA TONIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY.
WEDNESDAY NIGHT--SATURDAY...AS WE HEAD INTO MID-LATE WEEK, THE UPPER
RIDGE IS EXPECTED TO FLATTEN SOME AS A FEW SHORTWAVES TRAVERSE THE
WESTERN AND CENTRAL CONUS. THIS SHOULD ALLOW A FRONTAL ZONE TO OOZE
SOUTH INTO MID-AMERICA, SETTING THE STAGE FOR OFF-AND-ON
THUNDERSTORM CHANCES ACROSS THE REGION WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH
ROUGHLY FRIDAY NIGHT OR SATURDAY. STAY TUNED AS WE REFINE FORECAST
DETAILS IN THE COMING DAYS.
TEMPERATURES:
A SLIGHT WARMING TREND IS EXPECTED FOR WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY,
ALTHOUGH TEMPERATURES WILL LIKELY BE NO MORE THAN ABOUT 5 DEGREES
WARMER THAN AVERAGE. THE HIGHEST HEAT INDICES SHOULD BE THURSDAY
OVER SOUTHERN AND SOUTHEAST KS, WHEN/WHERE A FEW LOCATIONS COULD
TOUCH 105. A FRONTAL BOUNDARY DRAPED ACROSS THE REGION SHOULD
SUPPORT AN EVER-SO-SLIGHT COOL DOWN FRIDAY AND SATURDAY, BEFORE
ANOTHER WARMING TREND COMMENCES.
AS WE TAKE A LOOK AHEAD TO NEXT WEEK (THE WEEK OF JULY 13TH),
DETERMINISTIC AND ENSEMBLE CONSENSUS CONTINUES TO SUPPORT A RATHER
ANOMALOUS UPPER RIDGE BUILDING ACROSS THE CENTRAL AND WESTERN CONUS.
IF THIS FORECAST VERIFIES, IT WOULD LIKELY SUPPORT A PROLONGED
PERIOD OF HOT AND DRY WEATHER.
AVIATION /06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z TUESDAY/
ISSUED AT 1220 AM CDT MON JUL 6 2026
MOSTLY QUIET VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED FOR MOST SITES THE
NEXT 24 HOURS.
THE ONLY CAVEAT COULD BE INTERMITTENT PATCHY 3-5SM BR
VISIBILITIES IN/AROUND THE CNU TAF SITE OVERNIGHT THROUGH 14Z
MONDAY. COVERAGE SHOULD BE FAIRLY SPOTTY, SO DID NOT INCLUDE IN
THE 06Z TAF ISSUANCE.
ICT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
DISCUSSION...ADK
AVIATION...ADK
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