253
FXUS63 KICT 241837
AFDICT
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
137 PM CDT FRI JUL 24 2026
KEY MESSAGES
- HOT AND MOSTLY DRY THROUGH THE WEEKEND AND INTO MUCH IF NOT
ALL OF THE UPCOMING WEEK.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 136 PM CDT FRI JUL 24 2026
SOME RESIDUAL LIGHT RAIN SHOWERS WERE MOVING SLOWLY EASTWARD ACROSS
EASTERN KANSAS THIS AFTERNOON WHILE CONTINUING TO SLOWLY DIMINISH AS
THE LLJ/MID-LEVEL WAA WEAKENS. A CAPPING INVERSION IS ANTICIPATED IN
THE WAKE OF THE SHOWER ACTIVITY WITH LITTLE OR NO ADDITIONAL
DEVELOPMENT ANTICIPATED IN IT'S WAKE.
AS WE MOVE INTO THE WEEKEND, THE MID/UPPER RIDGE OVER THE ROCKIES
AND INTERMOUNTAIN REGION IS PROGGED TO TRANSLATE EASTWARD EDGING
INTO THE CENTRAL PLAINS. THIS IS EXPECTED TO RESULT IN MOSTLY DRY
WEATHER CONDITIONS WHILE BRINGING AN INCREASING THREAT FOR EXCESSIVE
HEAT. AFTERNOON HEAT INDICES ARE EXPECTED TO CLIMB INTO THE 105-110
RANGE FOR MUCH OF THE AREA AND A HEAT ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT FOR ALL
OF THE REGION FROM SATURDAY THROUGH TUESDAY. THERE MAY BE AN UPGRADE
TO AN EXCESSIVE HEAT WARNING IN PARTS OF SOUTHEAST KANSAS WHERE
HUMIDITY MAY REMAIN HIGHER.
A SHORTWAVE TROUGH MAY SERVE TO BREAK DOWN THE RIDGE AS WE MOVE INTO
THE TUE-WED TIMEFRAME AS A FRONTAL BOUNDARY TRIES TO SINK SOUTHWARD
INTO KANSAS BEFORE BECOMING DIFFUSE OR STATIONARY BRINGING SOME LOW
POPS INTO PARTS OF CENTRAL AND NORTHERN KANSAS.
THE MID/UPPER RIDGE IS ALSO PROGGED TO RETROGRADE INTO THE ROCKIES
LATER IN THE WEEK BRINGING SOME SUBTLE RELIEF FROM THE HEAT (ABOVE
NORMAL TEMPERATURES CONTINUING) WITH SOME ISOLATED OR WIDELY
SCATTERED NOCTURNAL STORM ACTIVITY ASSOCIATED WITH THE LLJ.
AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z SATURDAY/
ISSUED AT 1213 PM CDT FRI JUL 24 2026
CLEARING CONTINUES FROM WEST TO EAST THIS AFTERNOON AS THE AREA
OF SHOWERS SLOWLY EXITS THE REGION. AN AREA OF LOWER CU HAS
FORMED BEHIND THE OVER ALL COMPLEX OF SHOWERS REDUCING MOST
SITES TO MVFR CONDITIONS. THIS SHOULD ONLY LAST A FEW HOURS AS
THE AREA CONTINUES TO HEAT UP WITH INCREASED SUNSHINE ALLOWING
THE CLOUD DECK TO RISE. KCNU MAY SEE A FEW RAIN SHOWERS AS THE
DYING AREA OF SHOWERS MOVES THROUGH OVER THE NEXT HOUR. WINDS
WILL GENERALLY BE FROM THE SOUTH AT 10-15 KTS WITH SOME HIGHER
GUSTS IN THE 20S AS THE CLOUD COVER RETREATS.
ICT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
HEAT ADVISORY FROM 10 AM SATURDAY TO 8 PM CDT TUESDAY FOR
KSZ032-033-047>053-067>072-082-083-091>096-098>100.
DISCUSSION...MWM
AVIATION...SGS
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