722
FXUS63 KICT 120349
AFDICT
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
1049 PM CDT TUE AUG 11 2026
KEY MESSAGES
- HEAT WILL PERSIST INTO THE BEGINNING OF THE WEEKEND WITH AN
EXCESSIVE HEAT WARNING IN EFFECT THROUGH FRIDAY.
- WIDELY SCATTERED STORMS MAY RETURN TO PARTS OF CENTRAL KS
DURING THE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT HOURS THU WHILE LINGERING
INTO THE WEEKEND.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 152 PM CDT TUE AUG 11 2026
THE MID/UPPER RIDGE WAS SITUATED OVER THE ROCKIES WHILE THE RIDGE
AXIS EXTENDS ESE ACROSS THE SOUTHERN AND PORTIONS OF THE CENTRAL
PLAINS. THIS WILL ALLOW FOR A PERSISTENCE TYPE FORECAST THROUGH THE
UPCOMING WEEK AND INTO THE BEGINNING OF THE WEEKEND WITH TRIPLE
DIGIT HEAT LINGERING OVER THE AREA THROUGH THE PERIOD. THE HEAT
ADVISORY WAS UPGRADED TO AN EXCESSIVE HEAT WARNING THROUGH FRIDAY
WITH MULTIPLE CONSECUTIVE DAYS OF TRIPLE DIGIT HEAT INDICES
ANTICIPATED.
AS MOVE INTO THE DAY ON THURSDAY, A SHORTWAVE TROUGH MOVING ACROSS
THE NORTHERN PLAINS MAY HELP TO DRIVE A FRONTAL BOUNDARY SOUTHWARD
INTO NORTHERN KANSAS. THIS FRONT COULD BECOME A FOCUS FOR SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS BUT CONFIDENCE IN HOW FAR SOUTH THE FRONT
PROGRESSES REMAINS FAIRLY LOW AT THIS TIME. THIS MAY BRING SOME
SUBTLE RELIEF FROM THE HEAT FOR THOSE ALONG THE I-70 CORRIDOR BUT
SOUTHERN KANSAS IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN HOT. REPEATED ROUNDS OF
SHOWERS/STORMS ON FRI-SAT COULD DRIVE THE EFFECTIVE FRONTAL BOUNDARY
FURTHER SOUTHWARD AS WE MOVE INTO THE WEEKEND BUT CONFIDENCE IN HOW
FAR SOUTH REMAINS FAIRLY LOW.
BY SUNDAY, THE FRONT IS PROGGED TO MOVE SOUTHWARD NEAR THE OK STATE
LINE WHICH IS EXPECTED TO BRING SOME TEMPORARY RELIEF FROM THE HEAT.
ANOTHER SHORTWAVE TROUGH COULD ALSO BRING SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
TO THE AREA SUNDAY NIGHT INTO EARLY MONDAY. THE MID/UPPER RIDGE IS
PROGGED TO AMPLIFY OVER THE CENTRAL PLAINS ONCE AGAIN BY TUE-WED
BRINGING RISING HEIGHTS/INCREASING THICKNESS AND RISING TEMPERATURES
ONCE AGAIN.
AVIATION /00Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z THURSDAY/
ISSUED AT 1047 PM CDT TUE AUG 11 2026
WINDS HAVE DIMINISHED ACROSS THE AREA THIS EVENING, BUT THE
RESPITE WILL BE BRIEF AS WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO INCREASE FOR
NEARLY ALL SITES OVER THE NEXT FEW HOURS AS THE LLJ INCREASES
AND WINDS MIX DOWN. THIS WILL ALSO CONTRIBUTE TO LLWS DEVELOPING
ACROSS THE EASTERN HALF OF KANSAS, LASTING THROUGH DAYBREAK.
GUSTY SOUTH-SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO INCREASE THROUGH
THE MORNING AND EARLY AFTERNOON HOURS WITH GUSTS BETWEEN 20-25
KNOTS EXPECTED.
CLIMATE
ISSUED AT 152 PM CDT TUE AUG 11 2026
-------------------
WEDNESDAY AUGUST 12
-------------------
LOCATION FORECAST HIGH RECORD HIGH
------------------------------------------------
WICHITA 104 114-1936
SALINA 106 117-1936
CHANUTE 102 109-1934
RUSSELL 107 105-2021
-------------------
THURSDAY AUGUST 13
-------------------
LOCATION FORECAST HIGH RECORD HIGH
------------------------------------------------
WICHITA 104 110-1936
SALINA 106 118-1936
CHANUTE 102 109-1936
RUSSELL 104 104-1978
-------------------
FRIDAY AUGUST 14
-------------------
LOCATION FORECAST HIGH RECORD HIGH
------------------------------------------------
WICHITA 100 110-1936
SALINA 100 110-1936
CHANUTE 102 110-1936
RUSSELL 99 106-1952
ICT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
EXTREME HEAT WARNING UNTIL 7 PM CDT FRIDAY FOR KSZ032-033-
047>053-067>072-082-083-091>096-098>100.
DISCUSSION...MWM
AVIATION...AMD
CLIMATE...MWM
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