044
FXUS63 KICT 291804
AFDICT
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
104 PM CDT SAT AUG 29 2026
KEY MESSAGES
- HOT AND BREEZY THROUGH NEXT WEEK.
- AN ISOLATED STORM OR TWO CAN'T BE RULED OUT ACROSS CENTRAL KANSAS
EARLY NEXT WEEK, THOUGH WIDESPREAD MEANINGFUL PRECIPITATION
APPEARS UNLIKELY.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 231 AM CDT SAT AUG 29 2026
THE MID/UPPER RIDGE OVER THE SOUTHERN ROCKIES IS PROGGED TO
TRANSLATE EASTWARD OVER THE WEEKEND BRINGING RISING
HEIGHTS/INCREASING THICKNESS AND RISING TEMPERATURES TO THE AREA
ONCE AGAIN. THE AIRMASS IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN CAPPED WITH MOST
LOCATIONS REMAINING DRY. A SMALL CLUSTER OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS OVER NORTHWEST KANSAS WAS DRIFTING EASTWARD ACROSS
NORTHERN KANSAS ALONG THE EASTERN PERIPHERY OF THE LLJ. THIS ACTIVITY
IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN NORTH OF OUR FORECAST AREA EARLY IN THE
PERIOD BEFORE DISSIPATING. A CAPPING INVERSION SHOULD PRECLUDE
ANY STORM ACTIVITY THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT AND AGAIN ON
SUNDAY. BREEZY SOUTHERLY WINDS AND A DEEPLY MIXED PBL WILL
RESULT IN LOWER HUMIDITY THIS WEEKEND, SIMILAR TO YESTERDAY
WHICH COULD HELP BOOST TEMPERATURES INTO THE 102-105 RANGE FOR
MUCH OF THE AREA. AS WE MOVE INTO SUNDAY NIGHT, SOME STORM
ACTIVITY MAY DEVELOP OVER THE HIGH PLAINS OF WESTERN KANSAS
WHILE DRIFTING EASTWARD SUNDAY NIGHT. SOME OF THIS ACTIVITY
COULD APPROACH OUR CENTRAL KS COUNTIES BEFORE DISSIPATING.
HOT AND BREEZY CONDITIONS WITH MOSTLY DRY WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED TO PERSIST THROUGH MUCH IF NOT ALL OF THE UPCOMING WEEK AS
THE MID/UPPER RIDGE TRANSLATES EASTWARD THROUGH THE MIDDLE OF THE
WEEK BEFORE BUILDING BACK INTO THE SOUTHERN AND CENTRAL PLAINS LATER
IN THE WEEK. A PERSISTENCE TYPE FORECAST IS ANTICIPATED WITH TRIPLE
DIGIT HEAT AND SOME RECORD HIGH TEMPERATURES POSSIBLE AT TIMES.
AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z SUNDAY/
ISSUED AT 1243 PM CDT SAT AUG 29 2026
AVIATION CONCERNS ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN ON THE LOW SIDE THROUGH
THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
UPPER RIDGING WILL REMAIN IN PLACE FROM THE DESERT SOUTHWEST
THROUGH THE SOUTHERN PLAINS. GUSTY SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL BACK
AROUND TO THE SOUTHEAST AND DECREASE THIS EVENING. SOUTHWEST
WINDS ON SUNDAY WILL BE A BIT STRONGER THAN TODAY, WITH MOST
SITES SEEING SUSTAINED SPEEDS AROUND 20KTS AND GUSTS IN THE
28-30KT RANGE. CONFIDENCE REMAINS HIGH THAT VFR CONDITIONS WILL
REMAIN IN PLACE THROUGH THIS TAF PERIOD.
FIRE WEATHER
ISSUED AT 402 AM CDT SAT AUG 29 2026
BREEZY SOUTHERLY WINDS GUSTING TO AROUND 30 MPH AT TIMES WILL
COMBINE WITH MINIMUM AFTERNOON RELATIVE HUMIDITY AROUND 25
PERCENT RESULTING IN A VERY HIGH GRASSLAND FIRE DANGER THIS
AFTERNOON AND AGAIN ON SUNDAY AFTERNOON FOR PARTS OF SOUTH
CENTRAL KANSAS.
CLIMATE
ISSUED AT 231 AM CDT SAT AUG 29 2026
-------------------------------------
TODAY
-------------------------------------
RECORD HI FORECAST MAXT
ICT 110-1984 102
SLN 106-1954 100
CNU 105-1954 99
RSL 104-1954 103
-------------------------------------
SUNDAY
-------------------------------------
RECORD HI FORECAST MAXT
ICT 105-1939 102
SLN 106-1939 103
CNU 103-1947 101
RSL 103-1990 104
-------------------------------------
MONDAY
-------------------------------------
RECORD HI FORECAST MAXT
ICT 108-2011 102
SLN 108-1922 103
CNU 106-1985 102
RSL 106-1985 102
ICT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
DISCUSSION...MWM
AVIATION...RBL
FIRE WEATHER...MWM
CLIMATE...MWM
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