377
FXUS63 KICT 291927
AFDICT
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
227 PM CDT SAT AUG 29 2026
KEY MESSAGES
- HOT AND BREEZY CONDITIONS EXPECTED THROUGH NEXT WEEK.
- ISOLATED SHOWERS AND STORMS POSSIBLE ACROSS CENTRAL KANSAS
SUNDAY NIGHT INTO EARLY MONDAY, THOUGH WIDESPREAD MEANINGFUL
PRECIPITATION CONTINUES TO APPEAR UNLIKELY.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 226 PM CDT SAT AUG 29 2026
WATER VAPOR IMAGERY AND RAP ANALYSIS THIS AFTERNOON DEPICT BROAD
RIDGING OVER THE CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN PLAINS. AT THE SURFACE, A
SURFACE TROUGH EXTENDS FROM FAR WESTERN KANSAS NORTHEAST INTO THE
NORTHERN PLAINS. A TIGHTENED SURFACE PRESSURE GRADIENT AHEAD OF THIS
BOUNDARY HAS PROMOTED BREEZY SOUTH WINDS SO FAR TODAY, AND THESE ARE
FORECAST TO CONTINUE OVERNIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY ALONGSIDE DRY
CONDITIONS. SIMILAR TO TODAY, HIGH TEMPERATURES TO CLOSE OUT THE
WEEKEND WILL CLIMB INTO THE 100-105 DEGREE RANGE. A FEW SHOWERS AND
STORMS DEVELOPING ACROSS THE HIGH PLAINS SUNDAY EVENING MAY FIND
THEIR WAY INTO PORTIONS OF CENTRAL KS LATE SUNDAY NIGHT INTO EARLY
MONDAY MORNING, THOUGH THESE SHOULD REMAIN ISOLATED AND LOW-IMPACT.
HOT, BREEZY, AND MOSTLY DRY CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE
ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA THROUGH THE UPCOMING WEEK WITH RIDGING
OVERHEAD. CHANCES FOR RAIN WILL LIKELY RESIDE WELL TO OUR WEST
THROUGH AT LEAST MID-WEEK BEHIND THE AFOREMENTIONED SURFACE TROUGH
STALLED ACROSS WESTERN KS. HOT DAYTIME HIGH TEMPERATURES WILL BE
LIKELY AS WELL WITH VALUES IN THE 100-104 DEGREE RANGE THROUGH AT
LEAST WEDNESDAY AND PERHAPS BEYOND. TOWARD THE END OF THE WEEK, LONG-
RANGE MODELS HINT AT ISOLATED RAIN CHANCES SHIFTING EAST INTO
CENTRAL KS AS THE RIDGE TRANSLATES TOWARD THE EASTERN CONUS, THOUGH
CONFIDENCE IN THESE REMAINS LOW THIS FAR OUT. AS SUCH, MEANINGFUL
RAINFALL IN THE FORECAST AREA APPEARS UNLIKELY THROUGH THE UPCOMING
WEEK.
AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z SUNDAY/
ISSUED AT 1243 PM CDT SAT AUG 29 2026
AVIATION CONCERNS ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN ON THE LOW SIDE THROUGH
THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
UPPER RIDGING WILL REMAIN IN PLACE FROM THE DESERT SOUTHWEST
THROUGH THE SOUTHERN PLAINS. GUSTY SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL BACK
AROUND TO THE SOUTHEAST AND DECREASE THIS EVENING. SOUTHWEST
WINDS ON SUNDAY WILL BE A BIT STRONGER THAN TODAY, WITH MOST
SITES SEEING SUSTAINED SPEEDS AROUND 20KTS AND GUSTS IN THE
28-30KT RANGE. CONFIDENCE REMAINS HIGH THAT VFR CONDITIONS WILL
REMAIN IN PLACE THROUGH THIS TAF PERIOD.
FIRE WEATHER
ISSUED AT 226 PM CDT SAT AUG 29 2026
BREEZY SOUTH WINDS COMBINED WITH MINIMUM RH VALUES IN THE 20-25%
RANGE WILL RESULT IN VERY HIGH GRASSLAND FIRE DANGER ACROSS
PORTIONS OF CENTRAL AND SOUTH CENTRAL KANSAS THIS AFTERNOON,
THEN AGAIN ACROSS PORTIONS OF SOUTH CENTRAL KANSAS SUNDAY
AFTERNOON.
CLIMATE
ISSUED AT 226 PM CDT SAT AUG 29 2026
-------------------------------------
SUNDAY
-------------------------------------
RECORD HI FORECAST MAXT
ICT 105-1939 104
SLN 106-1939 104
CNU 103-1947 102
RSL 103-1990 105
-------------------------------------
MONDAY
-------------------------------------
RECORD HI FORECAST MAXT
ICT 108-2011 103
SLN 108-1922 104
CNU 106-1985 103
RSL 106-1985 104
ICT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
DISCUSSION...JWK
AVIATION...RBL
FIRE WEATHER...JWK
CLIMATE...JWK/MWM
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