057
FXUS63 KICT 012026
AFDICT
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
326 PM CDT TUE SEP 1 2026
KEY MESSAGES
- HOT, BREEZY AND DRY THROUGH THE UPCOMING WEEK.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 325 PM CDT TUE SEP 1 2026
CURRENTLY, 12Z UPPER AIR ANALYSIS DEPICTS THE MID/UPPER LEVEL RIDGE
CENTERED OFF TO OUR EAST. WITH THE FORECAST AREA JUST TO THE WEST OF
THE RIDGE, SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW DOMINATES THROUGHOUT THE COLUMN. TO
OUR WEST, A WEAK SURFACE TROUGH EXTENDS ACROSS THE CENTRAL HIGH
PLAINS. SPOTTY RAIN CHANCES ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS WESTERN KANSAS ALONG
THE BOUNDARY WITH DIURNAL HEATING THIS AFTERNOON AND AGAIN ON
WEDNESDAY. OTHERWISE, STRONG RIDGING THAT REFUSES TO BUDGE WILL
DOMINATE THE FORECAST PERIOD LEADING TO DRY WEATHER AND ABOVE NORMAL
TEMPERATURES. WITH THE RIDGE AXIS JUST TO OUR EAST THROUGH THE END
OF THE WORK-WEEK, HIGHS IN THE UPPER 90S TO AROUND 100 DEGREES ARE
EXPECTED. MID RANGE GUIDANCE INDICATES THE RIDGE WILL BUILD BACK
WEST FOR THE WEEKEND INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK LEADING TO INCREASING
HEIGHTS AND CONTINUED WARM TEMPERATURES. HIGH TEMPERATURES IN THE
MIDDLE TO UPPER 90S LOOK LIKELY, WITH 100S REMAINING POSSIBLE
THROUGH THE PERIOD. THERE IS SOME HINTING THAT JUST BEYOND THE
FORECAST TIME FRAME, THE PATTERN MAY BECOME A BIT MORE ACTIVE. A
SERIES OF SHORTWAVES MAY HELP TO PUSH THE RIDGE FURTHER SOUTH LATE
NEXT WEEK, POTENTIALLY GIVING US A BREAK IN THE HEAT.
AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z WEDNESDAY/
ISSUED AT 1225 PM CDT TUE SEP 1 2026
AVIATION CONCERNS ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN ON THE LOW SIDE THROUGH
THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
NOT MUCH IS EXPECTED TO CHANGE IN THE OVERALL PATTERN WITH
STRONG UPPER RIDGING FROM THE TENNESSEE VALLEY THROUGH THE
SOUTHERN PLAINS. THIS WILL KEEP MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES IN PLACE
ALONG WITH GUSTY SOUTHWEST WINDS DURING THE AFTERNOON HOURS.
CONFIDENCE REMAINS HIGH THAT VFR CONDITIONS WILL REMAIN IN PLACE
THROUGH THIS TAF PERIOD.
ICT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
DISCUSSION...AMD
AVIATION...RBL
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