246
FXUS63 KICT 020856
AFDICT
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
356 AM CDT WED SEP 2 2026
KEY MESSAGES
- HOT, BREEZY AND DRY THROUGH THE UPCOMING WEEK.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 356 AM CDT WED SEP 2 2026
THE MID/UPPER RIDGE HAS SHIFTED EASTWARD TOWARD THE OHIO VALLEY AREA
AS A WSW JET STREAK EXTENDS FROM THE CENTRAL GREAT BASIN/CENTRAL
ROCKIES ENE INTO THE CENTRAL AND NORTHERN PLAINS. THIS MAY ALLOW A
SUBTLE DECREASE IN TEMPERATURES ACROSS THE AREA TODAY BUT IT WILL
LIKELY BE OFFSET BY A SUBTLE INCREASE IN LOW LEVEL MOISTURE LEADING
TO HIGHER HEAT INDICES AND A HEAT ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT FOR MUCH
OF THE AREA THROUGH FRIDAY. LOW LEVEL SOUTHERLY FLOW WILL GRADUALLY
ADVECT HIGHER DEWPOINTS INTO THE AREA TODAY AND ESPECIALLY ON
THURSDAY-FRIDAY. DEEP MIXING WITHIN THE PBL MAY MIX OUT SOME OF THIS
MOISTURE, ESPECIALLY IN PARTS OF CENTRAL AND SOUTH CENTRAL KS BUT A
STEADY INCREASE IN LOW LEVEL MOISTURE IS STILL ANTICIPATED AS WE
MOVE INTO THU-FRI. THIS WILL DRIVE HEAT INDICES INTO THE 105-108
RANGE FOR MANY AREAS. THE MID/UPPER RIDGE IS STILL PROGGED TO
AMPLIFY AS WE MOVE INTO FRI-SUN PERIODS WHILE REMAINING DRAPED
ACROSS THE REGION INTO THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK. THIS WILL RESULT IN
A CONTINUATION OF MUCH ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES ACROSS THE AREA
THIS WEEKEND AND PERSISTING INTO AT LEAST THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK
BEFORE WE SEE A PATTERN CHANGE. SOME RECORD HIGH/RECORD WARM MINIMUM
TEMPERATURES MAY BE POSSIBLE AT TIMES THROUGH THE UPCOMING WEEK.
CHANCES FOR MEANINGFUL PRECIPITATION ARE ALSO EXPECTED TO
REMAIN LOW THROUGH THE UPCOMING WEEK.
AVIATION /06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z THURSDAY/
ISSUED AT 1127 PM CDT TUE SEP 1 2026
VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THE TAF PERIOD. MARGINAL
LLWS CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE AT RSL/GBD OVERNIGHT BUT MAGNITUDES
FALL SHORT OF CRITERIA AND HAVE OPTED TO NOT INCLUDE AT THIS
POINT. SOUTHERLY WINDS WILL INCREASE TO NEAR 15 KT WITH GUSTS UP
TO 25 KT BY MID-MORNING WEDNESDAY.
ICT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
HEAT ADVISORY FROM 1 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 9 PM CDT FRIDAY FOR
KSZ049-051>053-067>072-082-083-091>096-098>100.
DISCUSSION...MWM
AVIATION...BRF
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