306
FXUS63 KICT 031127
AFDICT
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
627 AM CDT THU SEP 3 2026
KEY MESSAGES
- CONTINUED HOT AND MOSTLY DRY THROUGH THE NEXT 7 DAYS.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 226 AM CDT THU SEP 3 2026
A MID/UPPER RIDGE CONTINUES TO DOMINATE THE WEATHER OVER THE REGION
WITH THE CENTER OF THE H5 RIDGE LOCATED OVER THE OHIO VALLEY AREA
EARLY THIS MORNING. MEANWHILE, THE LOW LEVEL THERMAL RIDGE WAS
SITUATED ACROSS THE CENTRAL PLAINS AND THIS IS EXPECTED TO PERSIST
THOUGH THE UPCOMING WEEK. AS WE MOVE INTO FRIDAY AND SATURDAY, THE
MID/UPPER RIDGE IS PROGGED TO RETROGRADE AND BUILD BACK OVER THE
CENTRAL PLAINS ONCE AGAIN. MUCH ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES ARE
EXPECTED TO PERSIST ACROSS THE AREA OVER THE UPCOMING 7 DAYS
WITH MINIMAL CHANCES FOR MEANINGFUL PRECIPITATION. UNCERTAINTY
BEGINS TO INCREASE AS WE MOVE INTO THE TUE-WED TIMEFRAME. A
ROBUST SHORTWAVE TROUGH RACING EASTWARD ACROSS SOUTHERN CANADA
MAY DRIVE A FRONTAL BOUNDARY SOUTHWARD INTO THE CENTRAL PLAINS.
CONFIDENCE IN THIS SCENARIO REMAINS FAIRLY LOW AT THIS TIME WITH
CONSIDERABLE UNCERTAINTY IN THE SOUTHWARD EXTENT OF THE
EFFECTIVE FRONT.
AVIATION /12Z TAFS THROUGH 12Z FRIDAY/
ISSUED AT 625 AM CDT THU SEP 3 2026
AVIATION CONCERNS WILL REMAIN MINIMAL THROUGH THE NEXT 24
HOURS.
A SWATH OF MID CLOUDS AROUND 10K FT WAS IMPACTING CENTRAL
KANSAS WHERE AN ISOLATED SPRINKLE OR SHOWER WILL REMAIN POSSIBLE
THROUGH AROUND 15Z BEFORE DIMINISHING. GUSTY SSW WINDS GUSTING
OVER 25 KNOTS AT TIMES IS EXPECTED BY MID-MORNING WHILE
LINGERING THROUGH THE AFTERNOON HOURS BEFORE GRADUALLY
DIMINISHING THIS EVENING. IT WILL REMAIN BREEZY TONIGHT,
ESPECIALLY ACROSS OUR CENTRAL KS TAF SITES. VFR IS EXPECTED TO
PREVAIL THROUGH THE 24-HOUR PERIOD.
ICT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
HEAT ADVISORY UNTIL 9 PM CDT SATURDAY FOR KSZ032-033-047>053-
067>072-082-083-091>096-098>100.
DISCUSSION...MWM
AVIATION...MWM
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